Obama 2: Hide this jihad That I know see (Obama's appointments: No jihad please, we're Americans)

January 9, 2013

Wait a minute, you have-nots Heard anything yet. Jolson Al

I do not believe that Soviet Russia desires war. What she wants, it is the fruits of war and unlimited expansion of its power and its doctrines. However, what we have to consider here today while there is still time, is the permanent prevention of war and the realization of the conditions of peace and democracy as rapidly as possible in all countries . We do not come to overcome the difficulties and dangers we face veiling. We do will not disappear just waiting to see what will happen, we do not will waive either by a policy of appeasement. What is needed is an understanding and more we delay the conclusion, it will be more difficult to find and the dangers that threaten us become important. What I could see from our Russian friends and allies during the war, convinced me that there is nothing they admire so much as strength and nothing unless they comply weakness, especially the military weakness. That is why the old doctrine of a balance of forces is risky. We can not afford, if we can avoid it, to rely on narrow margins and thus arouse temptations to a trial of strength. If the Western democracies unite in strict compliance with the principles of the UN Charter, their influence in the spread of these principles will be immense and no one will be able to molest. But if they are divided, if they fail in their duty and they leak these years how important O, then a catastrophe actually may befall us all. The last time I saw it all coming and I cried to my own people and the world but nobody paid attention. Until 1933 or even until 1935, Germany might have been saved from the terrible fate that has befallen her and we might be able to escape all the miseries Hitler let loose upon mankind . Never in the history of war could have been avoided easily by an action taken in a timely manner as that just ravage so vast expanses of the globe. This war could have been avoided in my opinion without firing a shot, and Germany might be powerful, prosperous and honored today, but no one would listen and one by one we all Furnes sucked into the awful whirlpool . We absolutely must make, ladies and gentlemen, that does not happen again. Churchill (Fulton, Missouri, 1946)

If the United States Actually Demonstrates That It Will work to help advance Rather than thwart Iranian Interests, the course of Iranian politics as well as the future of US-Iranian Relations Could Be forever altered. John Brennan

They are not jihadists, for jihad is a holy struggle, an attempt to purify for a Legitimate purpose, and there is nothing-absolutely nothing-holy or pure gold Legitimate or Islamic about murdering innocent men, women and children. (...) We are not waging a war against terrorism Because terrorism is a tactic aimed That Will Never be Defeated, any, more than a tactics of war Will. (...) In all my travels the city I have come to love MOST is al-Quds, Jerusalem, Where three great faiths come together (...) (20 percent Recidivism rate for terrorists released from Guantanamo Bay prison) Is not that bad " (...) People sometimes use That figure, 20 percent, say 'Oh my goodness, one out of five Detainees returned to Some kind of extremist activity, "(...)" You know, the American penal system, the Recidivism rate is up to something about 50 percent or so, as far as return to crime. Twenty percent Is not that bad. "(...)" violent extremists "are victims of" political, Economic and social forces. "(...)" Hezbollah is a very interesting organization "(...)" There is Certainly the Elements of Hezbollah That are truly a concern to us what they're doing. And what we need to do is to find ways to diminish Their influences Within the organization and to try to build up the more moderate elements. "John Brennan

The FBI gave a guided tour of one of our MOST sensitive counter-terrorism facilities to a known Hamas operative. Gaffney

John Brennan is the man under Whom President Obama HAS Consolidated Unprecedented power of the assassination. He Directly Oversees and controls all aspects of the program That HAD beens calculated previously divided Between the Pentagon, the CIA, and other Officials. Patrick Poole

U.S. drones have liquidated more people than the total number of detainees at Guantanamo. Can we be certain that there was among them no cases of mistaken identity or innocent deaths? Guantanamo prisoners had at least a chance to establish their identity, to be examined by a Monitoring Committee and, in most cases, be released. Those who remain at Guantanamo have been tested and ultimately will face some form of judicial proceedings. Those who have been killed by drone strikes, whatever they were, have disappeared. And that's all. Kurt Volker

Not since 1988 (...) Has the U.S. government Focused on the Iranian military strength SPECIFICALLY That Protects the country's Islamic order and MOST Often attacks abroad, variously called Expired the Sepah Pasdaran in Persian or Iranian Revolutionary Guard and the Corps or IRGC in English. This Roughly 125,000-strong elite force created in 1980 Has an outsized role in Iran's Political and Economic Life. It Possesses icts own army, navy, and air forces units, it controls ballistic missile programs, and it shares control over the country's nuclear program. It runs the Basij, All which Enforces strict Islamic mores on the Iranian public. Its military strength are more significant than the regular armed forces. Its Quds Force of about 15,000 agents spread the Khomeini revolution abroad via infiltration and assassination. Its graduates staff key positions in the Iranian government. The IRGC HAS played a lead role attacking Americans, Their Allies, and Their Interests, Especially When one includes the IRGC's Many Documented surrogates and partners,: such as Hezbollah, Hamas, the Muqtada al-Sadr movement, odd the Taliban and al-Qaeda. IRGC accomplishments include the 1983 Marine barracks and U.S. Embassy bombings in Lebanon, the 1992 and 1994 bombings of Jewish targets in Argentina, the 1996 Khobar barracks bombing in Saudi Arabia, the 2011 Attempt to kill the Saudi ambassador in Washington, and provisioning with Hamas missiles icts for 2012 war with Israel (All which are already Being re-provisioned). In all, IRGC attacks-have Caused the Deaths of more than 1,000 American soldiers, and many more members of armed force and other non-combatants. The U.S. government HAS Condemned the IRGC as a state sponsor of terrorism and designated it as a proliferator of weapons of mass destruction. (...) Washington Confrontation means clustering exploits "the full range of options available to curb the IRGC short of preventive attacks on nuclear sites." He Argues That U.S. Forces-have the right to target and shoulds factories and storage facilities for arms, facilities Associated with the IRGC (bases, ports, trucks, planes, ships) Shipments arms about to be Exported, and IRGC units. Sofaer's goal is not just to to curb violence IRGC goal aussi to "Undermine IRGC credibility and influence, and help Convince Iran to negotiate in earnest" icts over nuclear weapon program. Daniel Pipes

Nobody in the British leadership Said, "I have a great idea. Let's help fascist regimes take power and Then they'll be our friends and Become more moderate! That's the equivalent of what Brennan does. (...) What Would Have Happened if President Harry Truman turned over American defense, diplomacy, and intelligence in 1946 to Those Who Said That Stalin wanted peace and That Communist rule in Central Europe WAS a good thing? (...) Of course, Hezbollah Does not need to stage terrorist attacks if it holds state power! Terrorism is only a tactic to control of sixteen countries. If you give revolutionaries Their goal Then why do they need to continue using Such a tactic? Yet putting em in power Does not Increase stability, Improve the lives of people, or benefit U.S. Interests. If al-Qaeda, for example, overthrew the Iraqi government or Saudi Would you see a sharp decline in terrorist attacks! If the Muslim Brotherhood rules Egypt, Tunisia, Syria or It Does not need to send suicide bombers into the marketplaces. (...) The same, by the way, Would apply to anywhere else in the world. If Communist rebels Took power in Latin American or Asian countries You Would not find 'em hanging out in the jungles raiding isolated villages. In Brennan's terms, that' the problem means clustering Would Be solved. Instead, the proper response is parallel to Winston Churchill's Point In His 1946 Fulton, Missouri, speech: "I do not believe That Soviet Russia desires war. What they desire is the fruits of war and the indefinite expansion of Their power and doctrines "This is what Brennan -. And the Obama Administration - Fails to Understand Regarding this issue. The threat is not terrorism goal dangerous revolutionary movement odd That Becomes more dangerous if it controls Entire states, Their resources, and Their military forces. Barry Rubin

While a second administration Obama who has liquidated over the world with its drones that will not imprisoned Guantanamo she had promised to close ...

Present for critical positions of Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense and Director of CIA ...

A remarkable trio of champions declared appeasement or the outright denial face the jihadist threat ...

While the former Democratic presidential candidate in 2000 and the Nobel Peace Al Gore sells its cable channel owners Jihad TV and Tunis to Timbuktu handlers propagators of jihad global ...

How not to think, with the commentator Barry Ruben, Churchill's famous warning at the beginning of the Cold War against the Soviet threat?

Security: Barack Obama places his pawns

USA - At the edge of his second term, Bush has named three of his men in key positions of national security.

An environment that makes a great noise. U.S. President Monday appointed new Secretary of State for Defence and Chief of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), respectively Chuck Hagel and John Brennan. Both positions are critical to the national security of the United States. Problem: the first is anti-Israel and flexible vis-à-vis Iran deemed the second drags a scandal about his muscular interrogation methods.

Chuck Hagel, 66, is Accused His past positions, Including His Supposed warmth Toward Israel and Its rejection of sanctions against Tehran. HOWEVER, Said Monday That there is "no proof that I'm anti-Israel, not a single vote because That Could harm to Israel. " For icts hand, the president Praised "the leader That our troops deserve." Indeed, Hagel is a form reconnu military wounded in action and decorated. "Chuck knows That the war is not an abstraction, Has Dealt Obama. He knows That sending young Americans to fight and be wounded in the dust and mud is something we absolutely do Only When Necessary. "Hagel WAS PARTICULARLY Opposed to the decision of George W. Bush to invade Iraq in 2003.

Drones and muscular questions

John Brennan, 57, counterterrorism adviser to the Currently president, Generates more controversy. Highlighted aussi Its highlights research on drones to carry out armed attacks, he Strongly supports. Republican Senator John McCain Military, train and train senior presidential candidate in 2008, opened hostilities "The appointment of Brennan Asks a lot of questions. Including icts role in the so-called Expired interrogation programs Advanced 'Within the CIA and Its commitment to' em. "Barack Obama, he puts forward his" valuable knowledge "of foreign affairs. During His twenty-five years in the CIA, He Was Among other agency head in Saudi Arabia and the Middle East knows well.

Would Hagel and Brennan join Senator John Kerry, calculated previously appointed Secretary of State. A Holy Trinity for the second term of Barack Obama might indicato That has changed in the foreign policy of the United States in the Middle East.

20 minutes

08/01/2013

U.S. President Barack Obama (C) announces the appointment of Chuck Hagel (G) at the Pentagon and John Brennan (D) to the CIA in Washington January 7, 2013.

U.S. President Barack Obama (C) announces the appointment of Chuck Hagel (G) at the Pentagon and John Brennan (D) to the CIA in Washington January 7, 2013. / Kevin Lamarque Reuters

POLICY - The Task Will Be difficulties for the U.S. president, Have you must confirm the appointments of atypical conservative Chuck Hagel, Criticized For Some Time of the Old remarks, and John Brennan, calculated previously advisor to the president for counterterrorism, Some bind to methods of "enhanced interrogation "used by the Bush administration ...

With the arrival of Chuck Hagel and John Brennan, respectively as Secretary of Defense and the head of the CIA, All which complement the appointment of Senator John Kerry at the head of the State Department team issues National Security President Barack Obama is now complete. HOWEVER, thesis two choices May be controversial.

The choice of Chuck Hagel, an atypical conservative, to replace the current incumbent minister of Defense Leon Panetta May Indeed difficulty to pass the Senate, All which must approve Both appointments and when to the allies of the Democratic president Does not-have the qualified Majority needed to Overcome a Republican filibuster.

An "incredibly controversial choice"

Critics of the Republican senator from Nebraska train reminder That not only sanctions against Iran Opposed to Libya and, goal aussi Criticized the impact of what he called Expired the "Jewish lobby" in Washington. The President: stressed That The choice of Chuck Hagel WAS consistent with a significant bipartisan tradition more than ever, According To him, Washington.

Elected Republicans About did not hide That Sunday the process of Confirming the appointment of Chuck Hagel Would be difficult. Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, Who has Often Expressed on the subject, spoke on CNN of "incredibly controversial choice." Critics say Chuck Hagel, Have you left the Senate in 2008, is sometimes opposite to the Interests of Israel, voting Repeatedly against the U.S. sanctions against Iran. His supporters counter That Support for Israel is not to Demonstrate.

Forcing

Before the Senate, Chuck Hagel Will aussi explain Reviews some of His remarks. In 1998 He Had Considered a candidate for a post of ambassador qualified Was Not Because He Was "Openly gay aggressively." He Has since apologized for the remarks. Chuck Hagel, Have you Approached Barack Obama When They Were Both Senators Because of Their common opposition to the Iraq war, one of the aussi WAS MOST fervent advocates of easing U.S. sanctions against Cuba. In 2011, in an interview with the Financial Times, he Advocated a "slimmed "to the Pentagon.

Confirmation of the appointment of Chuck Hagel Suggests That Barack Obama Did not want to APPEAR weak position seeming to get to His Opponents and be forced to choose someone other than His favorite for a very prominent position. Already, he HAD to give to entrust the management of U.S. diplomacy Susan Rice, Permanent Representative of the United States to the UN, Because of opposition from Republicans. The risk for the Democratic president, by the forcing to the appointment of Chuck Hagel, is committed to the political capital he Needs for the next round of budget negotiations with Republicans.

"Questioning pushed"

The appointment of John Brennan, adviser to the president for counterterrorism since His first term, to succeed General David Petraeus, Have you HAD to resign from the U.S. spy agency in hand Effective November revelation of the year extramarital affair, May Also make waves in Washington. John Brennan Seems to always-have-been the choice of Barack Obama to head the CIA. Goal Could the opposition come from associations defending human rights.

John Brennan, Who has Worked for 25 years at the CIA, Was Not used for the management of the intelligence agency in 2008 in light of issues raised by the methods of "enhanced interrogation" Some similar to the torture used on people Suspected of Terrorism under the Bush administration. John Brennan WAS at the time denied Any link with thesis interrogation methods, goal withdrew His candidacy.

Since man has-beens Praised for icts role in the preparation of the operation That led to the elimination of Osama bin Laden in Pakistan in May 2011. His supporters believe That this episode Will help to quiet critics and Will pass His appointment. "The service reports Brennan (...) Were Prepared to be an outstanding director of the CIA. Brennan Has the full confidence of the president, a senior Obama administration Said. oven For years, he saw the President every day, and WAS at His side for His MOST difficulties decisions. "

BD with Reuters

Barry Rubin

January 8, 2013

The Obama Administration Followed this advice falling on icts first two years with the result Being total failure. The theme of the 2008 Article caries over to His view of the Muslim Brotherhood. If the United States shows it is friendly, helpful, and Does not opposed Their revolutionary Islamists taking power Then Will Become moderate.

For example, he proposed a également U.S. policy, "to tolerate, and to encourage odd, Greater assimilation of Hezbollah into Lebanon's political system ...." This step, he Suggests Will for reduce "the impact of violent extremists in the organization."

Of course, Hezbollah Does not need to stage terrorist attacks if it holds state power! Terrorism is only a tactic to control of sixteen countries. If you give revolutionaries Their goal Then why do they need to continue using Such a tactic? Yet putting em in power Does not Increase stability, Improve the lives of people, or benefit U.S. Interests. If al-Qaeda, for example, overthrew the Iraqi government or Saudi Would you see a sharp decline in terrorist attacks! If the Muslim Brotherhood rules Egypt, Tunisia, Syria or It Does not need to send suicide bombers into the marketplaces.

The same, by the way, Would apply to anywhere else in the world. If Communist rebels Took power in Latin American or Asian countries You Would not find 'em hanging out in the jungles raiding isolated villages.

In Brennan's terms, that 'the problem means clustering Would Be solved. Instead, the proper response is parallel to Winston Churchill's Point In His 1946 Fulton, Missouri, speech: "I do not believe That Soviet Russia desires war. What they desire is the fruits of war and the indefinite expansion of Their power and doctrines. "

This is what Brennan - and the Obama Administration - Fails to Understand Regarding this issue. The threat is not terrorism goal dangerous revolutionary movement odd That Becomes more dangerous if it controls Entire states, Their resources, and Their military forces.

Arnold Ahlert

January 8, 2013

FrontPage

President Obama's determination to keep His Middle East outreach agenda alive, no matter how at odds with reality, continuous. Yesterday, John Brennan, Deputy National Security Adviser for Homeland Security and Counterterrorism, Washington Nominated to head the CIA, the replacing scandal-scarred David Petraeus. "John knows what our national security Demands," Obama Announced.

"John Has an invaluable perspective on the strengths, the history, the culture, the politics, economics, the desire for human dignity driving so much of the currency in today's world ... He knows the Risks That our intelligence professionals face every day."

At best, the 25-year CIA veteran's record is a mixed bag. At worst, he Becomes Reviews another link in the administration's efforts to normalize relationships with Islamic terrorists.

Brennan WAS Considered to run the CIA Effective WAS the President Elected for the first time in 2008. Purpose he withdrew from consideration Effective His Name His critics derided for supporting the Bush administration's enhanced interrogation techniques, in charge he denied. "It has-been immaterial to the critics That I Have Been a strong opponent of Many of the policies of the Bush administration: such as the pre-emptive war in Iraq and coercive interrogation tactics, to include waterboarding," Brennan wrote at the time.

In 2009, Brennan cam under fire again, as the result of the colossal intelligence failure That allowed terrorist Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab to board Northwest Airlines Flight 253 on Christmas Day 2009, falling on All which he Attempted to detonate an underwear bomb. Abdulmutallab WAS ble to board the fight DESPITE several red flags, Including intercepted conversations Between Abdulmutallab and American terror cleric Anwar al-Awlaki, a British visa rejection, and a warning from His own father, Have you Went to the U.S. embassy in Abuja, Where he Officials Told of receiving send a letter in All which His Son Talked about "Sacrificing himself."

After His calls for resignation, Brennan Responded to the criticism in a USA Today editorial. "Politically motivated criticism and fear-mongering Unfounded only serve the goals of al-Qaeda," he wrote. "Terrorists are not 100-feet tall. Nor do they deserve the abject fear They seek to instill. "Those One suspects on board Flight 253 might disagree. Yet Brennan Doubled down, and insisted on treating Display Abdulmutallab as a criminal, Rather than an enemy combatant, contending That It is "naive to think That Transferring Abdulmutallab to military custody Would Have caused an outpouring of information. There is little Difference between military and civilian custody, other than an interrogator with a uniform. The suspect gets access to a lawyer, and interrogation rules are Nearly Identical, "Brennan contended.

Brennan further cemented His soft-on-terror credentials only days later in a February 13, 2010 speech at New York University law school's Islamic Center. In front of a Largely Muslim audience, he called Expired for Trying 9/11 terrorist Khalid Sheikh Mohammed in a civilian court. "We are Trying to push this forward as best we can, we aim aussi need non-obstruction from some strength in our government," he contended. "There are stiff winds delaying us from Bringing this man to justice." Those stiff winds cam from the Obama administration Itself, All which rejected a guilty plea from KSM in 2008 in order to try him in civilian court.

During the same speech, Brennan endorsed the administration's determination to delete words like "jihadist" and "war on terror" from icts lexicon. "They are not jihadists, for jihad is a holy struggle, an attempt to purify for a Legitimate purpose, and there is nothing-absolutely nothing-holy or pure gold Legitimate or Islamic about murdering innocent men, women and children," Brennan insisted. "We are not waging a war against terrorism Because terrorism is goal Tactic That Will Never be Defeated, any, more than a tactics of war Will." In Another telling moment, Brennan's first Referred to Jerusalem as al-Quds, All which is icts Arabic name. "In all my travels the city I have come to love MOST is al-Quds, Jerusalem, Where three great faiths come together," he said.

During the Question and answer period, Brennan contended That 20 percent Recidivism rate for terrorists released from Guantanamo Bay prison "Is not that bad" when Compared to the American penal system. "People sometimes use That figure, 20 percent, say 'Oh my goodness, one out of five Detainees returned to Some kind of extremist activity," Brennan said. "You know, the American penal system, the Recidivism rate is up to something about 50 percent or so, as far as return to crime. Twenty percent Is not that bad. "That Could Brennan compares one-in-five hardcore terrorists returning to the task of waging war against the West with regular criminals of all kinds, Demonstrates Either a monumental level of naiveté, gold disingenuousness Bordering on delusion.

In Another speech Given in May 2010 at the Nixon Center, Brennan upped the ante yet again, Asserting Take That "violent extremists" are victims of "political, Economic and social forces." Reuters Reveals Brennan made additional comments, Following His return from Lebanon :

"Hezbollah is a very interesting organization," Brennan Told conference in Washington, Citing Its Evolution from "Purely a terrorist organization" to a militia to an organization now That HAS members Within the parliament and the cabinet. "There is Certainly the Elements of Hezbollah That are truly a concern to us what they're doing. And what we need to do is to find ways to diminish Their influences Within the organization and to try to build up the more moderate Elements, "Brennan said."

Again, one might be forgiven for wondering what deriving their a "moderate" in an organization That HAS the carried out a series of worldwide terror attacks over the course of Decades, yearns for Israel's annihilation and, prior to 9/11 WAS responsible for killing more Americans than Any Other terrorist organization in the world.

Unfortunately, Brennan's infatuation with outreach is not limited to Hezbollah. In 2010, columnist Patrick Poole Revealed That Hamas operative Kifah Mustapha WAS Given a guided tour of the "National Counterterrorism Center and other secure government facilities, Including the FBI's training center at Quantico." Mustapha Was an unindicted co-conspirator in the Holy Land Foundation box falling on All which His colleagues Were Convicted of funding Hamas, Yet Another US-designated terrorist organization. Center for Security Policy Frank Gaffney chief, to form Reagan administration official, Demanded Brennan's resignation as a result. "The FBI gave a guided tour of one of our MOST sensitive counter-terrorism facilities to a known Hamas operative," Gaffney said. "It is clear That The cluelessness fostered by Mr. Brennan is Causing an empowering of the wrong spells of Muslims in America and endangering the American people."

Brennan penchant for revealing America's secrets Continued in 2012. When the United States thwarted Reviews Reviews another would-be underwear bomber last May, Brennan inadvertently Revealed We had a double agent working on the case When He Briefed being counter-terrorism advisors subsequently Have you got work Commentators have TV. He Told Them That the bomber WAS never a threat Because America had "inside control" of the situation. Reached The Train advisors the inexorable conclusions shortly thereafter. May the month WAS also Judicial Watch finally Obtained documents via a Freedom of Information Act from the U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) and the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) revealing That Brennan and Defense Department Officials Disclosed Hollywood filmmakers to the identity of the SEAL Team Six operator and commander Involved in taking out Osama Bin Laden. A transcript of Held a meeting July 14, 2011 Reveals That "reference paper seemingly John O. Brennan, Chief Counterterrorism Advisor to President Obama and Denis McDonough, President Obama Have you got reserved's Deputy National Security Advisor. "

"These documents, Which Took nine months and a federal lawsuit to disgorge from the Obama administration, politically-connected Show That movie makers Were giving extraordinary and secret access to bin Laden raid information, Including the identity of a Seal Team Six leader," Said Judicial Watch President Tom Fitton. "It is Both ironic and hypocritical That The Obama administration stonewalled Judicial Watch's pursuit of the bin Laden death photos, national Citing security Concerns, yet Seemed willing to share intimate details Regarding the raid to help Hollywood filmmakers release a movie 'perfectly timed to give a home-stretch boost' to the Obama campaign. "

All of the above Suggests That John Brennan is, at the least, an extremely dubious pick to head the CIA. But a story by Associated Press columnist Kimberly Dozier Entitled "Who Will U.S. Drones Target? Decide Who Will? "Paints an odd more disturbing picture of Brennan, she contends Have you has "Seized the lead in guiding the debate on All All which terror leaders Will Be Targeted for drone attacks or raids, Establishing a new procedure to vet Both CIA and military targets. The move concentrates power over the use of lethal force outside war zones U.S. at the White House, "she writes. while She further Noted That Some intelligence Officials are comfortable with the new process, others Expressed concern about "how easy It Has Become to kill someone."

PJ Media's Patrick Poole puts it more Directly: "John Brennan is the man under Whom President Obama HAS Consolidated Unprecedented power of the assassination. He Directly Oversees and controls all aspects of the program That HAD beens Calculated calculated previously divided Between the Pentagon, the CIA, and other Officials, "he writes.

A soft-on-terror approach, combined with an appetite for Unprecedented powers, John Brennan Makes a perfect fit for a president with the same proclivities. So does a dubious mixture of incompetence and arrogance. It remains to be seen Whether the Senate thinks Such qualities work for the nation as a whole. Since the Senate is controlled by Democrats, one suspects That Brennan's confirmation Will Be little more than a formality.

Finally, see:

Using Cold War Tactics to Confront Iran
Daniel Pipes
The Washington Times
January 9, 2013
As Americans seek to find alternative year to the stark and unappetizing choice of Accepting Iran's nuclear weapons HAVING rabid leadership or pre-emptively bombing icts nuclear facilities, one analyst offers a credible third path. Interestingly, it's inspired by a long-ago Policy Toward a different foe - the Reagan administration's ways of handling the Soviet Union - yet this model offers a Unlikely Useful prototype.
Abraham D. Sofaer, a former U.S. district judge and legal adviser to the State Department, now a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, Argues in Taking On Iran: Strength, Diplomacy and the Iranian Threat (Hoover Institution, 2013) That since the fall of the shah During the Carter administration, Washington "has Responded to Iranian aggression with ineffective sanctions and warnings and convictions; empty."
Not since 1988, he notes, Has the U.S. government Focused on the Iranian military strength SPECIFICALLY That Protects the country's Islamic order and MOST Often attacks abroad, variously called Expired Expired the Sepah Pasdaran in Persian or Iranian Revolutionary Guard and the Corps or IRGC in English. This Roughly 125,000-strong elite forces created in 1980 Has an outsized role in Iran's Political and Economic Life. It Possesses icts own army, navy, and air force units, it controls ballistic missile programs, and it shares control over the country's nuclear program. It runs the Basij, All All which Enforces strict Islamic mores on the Iranian public. Its military strength are more significant than the regular armed forces. Its Quds Force of about 15,000 agents spread the Khomeini revolution abroad via infiltration and assassination. graduates Its key staff positions in the Iranian government.
The IRGC HAS played a lead role attacking Americans, Their Allies, and Their Interests, Especially When one includes the IRGC's Many Documented surrogates and partners,: such as Hezbollah, Hamas, the Muqtada al-Sadr movement, odd the Taliban and al-Qaeda . IRGC accomplishments include the 1983 Marine barracks and U.S. Embassy bombings in Lebanon, the 1992 and 1994 bombings of Jewish targets in Argentina, the 1996 Khobar barracks bombing in Saudi Arabia, the 2011 Attempt to kill the Saudi ambassador in Washington, and provisioning with Hamas missiles icts for 2012 war with Israel (All All which are already Being re-provisioned).
In all, IRGC attacks-have Caused the Deaths of more than 1,000 American soldiers, and many more members of armed forces and other non-combatants. Condemned The U.S. government HAS the IRGC as a state sponsor of terrorism and designated it as a proliferator of weapons of mass destruction.
Sofaer advocates a two-pronged approach to supple Tehran: "IRGC aggression Directly confront and negotiate with Iran."
Confrontation means clustering clustering Washington exploits "the full range of options available to curb the IRGC short of preventive attacks on nuclear sites." He Argues That U.S. Forces-have the right to target and shoulds factories and storage facilities for arms, facilities Associated with the IRGC (bases, ports, trucks, planes, ships) Shipments arms about to be Exported, and IRGC units. Sofaer's goal is not just to to curb violence IRGC goal as to "Undermine IRGC credibility and influence, and help Convince Iran to negotiate in earnest "icts over nuclear weapon program.
Negotiations means clustering clustering talking to Tehran about outstanding issues, Rather than Trying to punish it with aloofness. Sofaer quotes James Dobbins, a special U.S. envoy to Afghanistan now, as expressing this view: "It is time to apply the policies to Iran All All which won the Cold War, liberated the Warsaw Pact, and reunited Europe: expansion and containment, communication whenever will Will Be, and confrontation whenever will Will CONSIDERS We spoke to Stalin's Russia We spoke to Mao's China in Both boxes, Greater mutual exposure changed Their system... , not bears. It's time to speak to Iran unconditionally, and comprehensively. " More Broadly, along with Chester A. Crocker, Reviews Reviews another form American diplomat, Sofaer Sees diplomacy as "the Engine That converts raw energy and power into tangible political results Meaningful . "
The IRGC 1996 Khobar Towers bombing Coordinated the barracks in Saudi Arabia, killing 19 U.S. military staff.
Confronting and Negotiating in tandem, Sofaer Expects Will put great pressure on Tehran to Improve icts Generally behavior (eg, Regarding terrorism) and Possibly lead it to shut down the nuclear program, while leaving a preemptive strike available on the table "if all else facts . "
Former secretary of state George P. Shultz, In His foreword to Taking on Iran, calls Sofaer's idea "alternative year That Should Have Been Implemented long ago." Indeed, the time is well overdue to sponds to IRGC atrocities with the language of strength That Iranian leaders only Understand - and Which Has the additional benefit of Avoiding Possibly Greater hostilities.
Mr. Pipes (www.DanielPipes.org) is president of the Middle East Forum.

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Posted by jcdurbant

Diplomacy: It is with fine sentiments that due to poor diplomacy (If you treat him like a statesman, he'll be one)

December 12, 2012

It is with fine sentiments That Made bad literature. André Gide

In the term 'Islamic government', why throw suspicion on the time immediately adjective 'Islamic'? The word 'government' is Sufficient in Itself to arouse the vigilance. Foucault (December 1978)

Khomeini is a kind figure to Gandhi. William Sullivan (U.S. Ambassador to Tehran)

Khomeini (...) is not a 'mujahid crazy, "a man of purpose impeccable integrity and honesty. Bill James (Councillor Carter, Newsweek, February 12, 1979)

That assumes Ayatollah Khomeini is dissembling is Almost iconcevable. His political style is to express His real views defiantly and without concession. Regardless of the consequences. It Has Suddenly Become little incentive to sly to flatter the American public. THUS, portray him as fanatical, reactionary and the bearer of crude prejudices Appears happily and definitely wrong. Also, what is Encouraging Is That His entourage of close advisers is Uniformly Composed of moderate and progressive Individuals. (...) Despite The turmoil, Many non-religious Iranians talk about this period as the heyday of Islam. After Creating a new model of popular revolution based, for the MOST part, on nonviolent tactics, Iran Could Eventually Provide us with the human model of governance desperately needed the Third World. Richard Falk (University of Princeton and adviser to Carter, "Trusting Khomeini," NYT, February 16, 1979)

Number of statements [Iran] are reprehensible Certainly, goal They Do not Constitute incitement to genocide. Nobody HAS Implemented. Roth (President of Human Rights Watch)

The form British hostage in Lebanon, Terry Waite, paid a visit to Beirut last week, 25 Years After He Was kidnapped by Islamic Jihad, a relative of the pro-Iranian group Hezbollah, Sunday reported about a journalist from the Sunday Telegraph That The Accompanied him on His journey. (...) During His Visit, Mr Waite, 73, puts last Monday with the head of International Relations Within the Hezbollah, Ammar Moussawi, for "reconciliation talks". The meeting Lasted Nearly two hours. He Told the British newspaper the Abebooks web sites HAD Lebanese Islamist party to help Syrian Christian Refugees Have you Fled Violence In Their country. Terry Waite is a form emissary of the head of the Anglican Church at the time, Robert Runcie. He Was kidnapped in Lebanon in 1987 while Attempting to negotiate the release of four Western hostages. Accused of Being a spy, He Was Detained by the Islamic Jihad for 1,760 days before Being released in 1991. (...) During His meeting with Mr Moussawi, the British were very critical vis- -vis the current uprisings in the Arab world, denouncing the Islamization of revolutions. "The Arab Spring turned into an oppressive power, not freedom," he Told the head of Hezbollah Have you qualified return of "big man". Orient Day

During the Cuban missile crisis, the United States faced HAS not in Cuba, the Soviet Union goal. HAS not Israel faced in Gaza aim to Iran. Michael B. Oren (Israeli Ambassador to the United States and military historian)

Even for African standards of the 1990s, the RUF HAD set a very high bar for brutality. Were His soldiers mostly abducted children to Their parents, cocaine and amphetamines fed. Funding cam from diamonds. He Had made a real reputation for amputations of His victims. His military Campaigns HAD names like "everything must disappear." In January 1999, six months before the testimony of Ms. Rice of the Senate, the RUF laid siege to the capital, Freetown. "The RUF burned houses With Their occupants still inside, cut with a machete or members ripped the eyes of His victims with a knife, raped and children killed Many people in the street, "wrote Ryan Lizza in The New Republic. "In three weeks, the RUF killed Some 6,000 people, mostly Civilians." What to do with Such a group? Clinton Administration Had an idea. Initiate a peace process. It Did not sccm be a problem Sankoh That WAS Clearly psychotic and probably fatal. Neither he Violated previous agreements to end the war. "If you treat Sankoh as a statesman, He Will," Was the State Department operative theory, According To a staff member quoted by Mr. Lizza Congress. Instead of dealing with Sankoh as share of the problem or the problem Itself, the Department Would be Treated as share of the solution. A representative of the RUF WAS Invited to Washington for talks. Jesse Jackson WAS appointed as a special envoy of President Clinton. A month later (...), Ms. Ricefurent Fulfilled wishes with the signing of the Lomé Peace Agreement. It was an incredible It was a document. In the name of reconciliation, the RUF Were pardoned. Sankoh Became Vice-President of Sierra Leone. To sweeten the deal, he WAS aussi responsible for the commission to monitor the diamond trade of the country. All This Was it President Kabbah. In September 1999, Rice hailed the efforts of "practical" Pastor Jackson, the U.S. Ambassador Joe Melrose "and Many Other" for HAVING Contributed to the signing of the Lomé Agreement. For months thereafter, Rice Celebrated agreements at every opportunity. Pastor Jackson, She Said, had "played a significant role PARTICULARLY," as DID Howard Jeter, His assistant in the Department. During a question and answer session with journalists in Africa February 16, 2000 she Defended the participation of government Sankoh, noting That "there are several cases Where peace agreements in the world-have Considered the conversion of rebel movements political parties." Moreover's, the United States WAS odd willing to give a helping hand to Sankoh Provided it holds well. "Among the institutions of government are Abebooks web ready to help," She Said, "there is of course the Commission All which direct resources Sankoh." Course. Three months later, the RUF Took A 500 peacekeepers hostage and threatened This again Freetown . The Lomé Agreement HAD Become a dead letter. Bret Stephen s

Economic growth That Followed the revolution WAS Stirred and unsustainable, says Gaidar, a repeating theme of His previous book, "The Collapse of an Empire." In "Russia: a long-term vision," he turned the months Quickly That Followed the Soviet . collapse, catastrophic Citing Rating Service impending famine and social disintegration That piled up on his desk in November 1991 He rejected several ideas about what happened at That Time, Including the misconception That Caused the Economic Reform HAD crisis assertion - ie, monetary stabilization, Privatization Liberalization and price HAD led to a catastrophic drop production. Such a claim, for Gaidar, comes from the fact of looking at the problem of bad side. Was Not The Soviet money real money, just as Soviet Production Was Not the real production. The HAS economy created products and services That nobody wanted, through processes destroy That Rather than create value. Stop false incentives to Produce Could only provoquerque the collapse of Production Recorded. Reform WAS Necessary Because The Soviet leaders HAD crisis has inherited the very existence threatened This That of the country. Concludes by Gaidar Assessing the current leaders of Russia. "It is not hard to be popular and political-have support," he wrote, "when you-have ten years of growth of real income to 10 percent per year." Those Purpose days are gone. The plane must now choose Between repression ("tempting goal suicidal") and what he calls "the controlled Liberalization." In Particular, he Argues That Russia must restore freedom of expression, open the process of decision making, Establish year independent Judiciary and conduite a "war against corruption". Taiwan, Spain and Chile are examples for him to follow. Edward Lucas

Reuel Marc Gerecht of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and Brian Katulis of the Center for American Progress argued "Rather Elected Islamist dictators That" (...) Katulis accusé Dictatorships encourages "the kinds of ideologies" that led to 9/11 and Gerecht insisted That It Was the military juntas, not the Islamists, are Generally Have you "the real threat .... The only way to get a more liberal order in the Middle East, it is through the vote believers" who are the Islamists to power . Katulis argued That Elected Islamists exchange and Become Ideological less pragmatic and more, that 'caught in the fray of daily politics They evolve to focus on the "basic needs": such as security and employment (....) In just three months, Morsi Showed That aspire to higher than Mubarak dictatorial powers and his reign Suggests an odd Greater calamity for Egypt as Mubarak. He Has fully Justified our points of view Jasser and to me that's better than dictators Elected Islamists. As I Said falling on the debate, the West Civil shoulds close the door with determination Ideological dictators like the Islamists while putting pressure on greedy dictators They make up society. This is the only way out of this false choice Between Two forms of tyranny. Daniel Pipes

At the time, with missiles Gaza , the Iranian revolution for the umpteenth time HAS to confirm the potential escomter HAD left there more than 40 years icts Franco-American debut at the baptismal fronts ...

And where, from the A to the form Hezbollah hostage Terry Waite , the same Western-righteousness is distributed for a ride with the dubbing of organisms Have you continue to call for the annihilation of one of Their neighbors ...

How not to be touched with the Islamic scholar Daniel Pipes commenting on the new Ongoing experience and live the Egypt ...

By confusing and unwavering consistency with noble souls Have you Govern us which ...

Continues to ignore the lesson for diplomacy Gide on literature ?

Better than Elected Dictators Islamists

Daniel Pipes

The Washington Times

December 11, 2012

Washington Times title: "Islamists are worse than dictators"

Who is worse, President Mohamed Morsi, The Elected Islamist seeking to apply Islamic law in Egypt, President Husni Mubarak gold, the form Ousted dictator for Trying to start a dynasty? Will More Broadly liberal, democratic order more Likely emerge under Islamist ideologues Have you prevail through the ballot box or from greedy dictators with no particular agenda beyond Their Own survival and power?

Morsi's recent Action Provide an answer, yet Establishing That Islamists are worse than dictators.

This cam end up in an interesting debate for Intelligence Squared U.S. in early October Reuel Marc Gerecht When of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies and Brian Katulis of the Center for American Progress argued "Better Elected Islamists than dictators," Zuhdi Jasser of the while American Islamic Forum for Democracy and I argued the counter-argument. Well, no one really argued "for" anyone. The other team About did not endorse Islamists, we celebrate Certainly Did Not dictators. The outcome, RATHER, WAS All which sort of ruler is the lesser of two evils, and can be cudgeled to democracy.

Dictatorships Katulis Blamed for Fostering "the spell of ideologies" that led to 9/11 and military juntas That Gerecht insisted, not Islamists, Generally are "the real threat .... The only way you're going to get a more liberal order in the Middle East is through people of faith "who vote Islamists into office. That Katulis argued Elected Islamists exchange and morph, Ideological Becoming less and more practical; They evolve in response to the rough and tumble of politics to focus on "basic needs": such as security and jobs.

President Mohamed Morsi meeting with Australia's Prime Minister Julie Gillard in Sept. 2012.

In Iraq, Gerecht professed to Find That "a tidal wave of people Who Were ounce hardcore Islamists who ... Have Become pretty Profound democrats, if not liberals." As for Egypt, he approvingly goal inaccurately Noted That "The Muslim Brotherhood is HAVING serious internal debates Because They Have not figured out how to handle [Their success]. That's what we want. 'Em We want to fight it out."

Jasser and I Replied to this catalog of inaccuracies (military juntas led to 9/11?) And wishful thinking (true believers Will compromised On Their goals? A tidal wave of Iraqi Islamists Became liberals?) By first Stating That ideologues are "dictators are steroids "who do not moderate power upon reaching goal Themselves dig in, building foundations To Remain Indefinitely in office. Second, the very ideologues neglect issues That our Opponents: stressed - security and jobs - in favor of Implementing Islamic laws. Greedy dictators, in contrast, short on ideology and vision, do not-have a vision of society and so can be Convinced to move Toward Economic Development, personal Freedoms, an open political process, and rule of law (for example, South Korea).

Lo and behold, Morsi and the Muslim Brotherhood-have Followed Exactly our script. Since taking power in August, Morsi (1) sidelined the military, and Entrenching Then Focused on Expanding Their supremacy, most is notably by Issuing a series of orders on Nov. 22 That autocratic powers arrogated to him and spreading Zionist conspiracy theories about His Opponents. He then (2) rammed through an Islamist-oriented constitution on Nov. 30 and called Expired snap a referendum on it Dec. 15. Consumed with thesis two tasks, he Virtually ignored the myriad issues afflicting Egypt, Especially the looming Economic Crisis and the Lack of funds to pay for imported food.

Morsi's power grab stimulated anti-Islamist Egyptians to join the force as "National Salvation Front" and confront Islamists in violent street clashes The Most in Six Decades, forcing him to retreat from Partially Nov.22 His orders. Ironically, Effective deftly sidelining the military in August, Morsi's overreach created Circumstances That ultimate authority returned to the generals, Who Can Intervene for or against him. By choosing Islamist sympathizers as top military officers and the Offering enhanced privileges in the Proposed Constitution, in all likelihood He Has Won Their support. Martial law Appears Likely next.

In just three months, Morsi That he HAS shown aspire to dictatorial powers Greater Than Mubarak's rule and That His portends to be an odd Greater calamity for Egypt's Mubarak than WAS. He Has neatly vindicated Jasser's and my point better than dictators Elected Islamists. As I Noted in the debate, Westerners shoulds slam the door hard on Ideological dictators like Islamists while pressuring greedy dictators to allow civil society. That offers the only exit from the false choice of two forms of tyranny.

Mr. Pipes (www.DanielPipes.org) is president of the Middle East Forum.

See also:

The Other Susan Rice File

How to embrace psychotic murderers and alienate a continent.

Bret Stephens

The WSJ

December 11, 2012

The trouble with a newspaper column lies in the word limit. Last week, I wrote about Reviews some of Susan Rice's diplomatic misadventures in Africa falling on her years in the Clinton administration: Rwanda, Ethiopia, the Democratic Republic of Congo. Goal Was not there enough space to get to them all.

And Sierra Leone deserves a column of icts own.

On June 8, 1999, before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Ms. Rice, the assistant secretary Then of state for African affairs, Delivered testimony was ranks of issues, and little Sierra Leone WAS high on the list. An Elected civilian government led by a British barrister form named Ahmad Kabbah HAD beens under siege for years by a rebel group known as the Revolutionary United Front, led by a Libyan-trained guerrilla named Foday Sankoh. Events Were coming to a head.

Even by the standards of Africa in the 1990s, the RUF set a high bar for brutality. Its soldiers Were mostly children, abducted from Their parents, fed on a diet of cocaine and speed. Its funding cam from blood diamonds. It was Internationally famous for chopping off the limbs of victims icts. Its military Campaigns boron Such names as "Operation No Living Thing."

In January 1999, six months before Ms. Rice's Senate testimony, the RUF laid siege to the capital city of Freetown. "The RUF burned down houses with occupants still inside Their, hacked off limbs, eyes gouged out with knives, raped children, and gunned down scores of people in the street," wrote Ryan Lizza in the New Republic. "In three weeks, the RUF killed Some 6,000 people, mostly Civilians."

What to do with a group like this? The Clinton administration Had an idea. Initiate a peace process.

It did not matter to sccm That Sankoh WAS demonstrably evil and probably psychotic. It did not matter to sccm, either, That He Had Violated previous agreements to end the war. "If you treat Sankoh like a statesman, he'll be one," Was the operative theory at the State Department, one congressional staffer According To Cited by Mr. Lizza. Instead of treating Display Sankoh as share of the problem, if not the problem Itself, Would treat him as State share of the solution. An RUF representative WAS Invited to Washington for talks. Jesse Jackson WAS appointed to the position of President Clinton's special envoy.

It Would be tempting to blame Rev. Jackson for the debacle That Would soon follow. Purpose as Ms. Rice WAS keen to insist in her Senate testimony That June, It was the Africa hands at the State Department Who Were doing MOST of the heavy lifting.

"It's been through active U.S. diplomacy behind the scenes," she Explained. "It Has not gotten a great deal of press coverage, that 'we and others saw the rebels and the government of Sierra Leone come to the table just Negotiating A couple of weeks ago, in the context of a Negotiated cease-fire, in Which the United States played an important role. "

A month later, Ms. Rice got her wish with the signing of the Lome Peace Agreement. It was an extraordinary document. In the name of reconciliation, RUF fighters Were Given amnesty. Sankoh Was Made Sierra Leone's vice president. To sweeten the deal, he WAS aussi put in load of the commission overseeing the country's diamond trade. All This Was foisted on President Kabbah.

In September 1999, Ms. Rice Praised the "hands-on efforts" of Rev. Jackson, U.S. Ambassador Joe Melrose "and many others" for helping bring about the Lome agreement.

For months thereafter, Ms. Rice cheered the agreements at every opportunity. Rev.Jackson, She Said, had "played a valuable role PARTICULARLY," as HAD Howard Jeter, her deputy at State. In a Feb. 16, 2000 Q & A session with African journalists, she Defended Sankoh's participation in the government, noting That " Where there Are Many peace agreements around the world-have contemplated converting rebel movements Themselves into political party bodies. "

What Was more, the U.S. WAS odd Prepared to lend a helping hand Sankoh Provided he behaved himself. "Among the institutions of government Abebooks web are Prepared to assist," She Said, "is of course the Commission on Resources All All which Mr. Sankoh heads. "

Of course.

Three months later, the RUF Took 500 peacekeepers as hostages and threatening again WAS Freetown. Lome HAD Become a dead letter. Sought The State Department to send Rev. again to the Jackson area, he was so detested His purpose trip That Had To Be Canceled. The UN's Kofi Annan begged for Britain's help. Blair Obliged him.

"Over a number of weeks," Mr. Blair Recalls In His memoirs, British troops "did sort out the RUF Indeed .... The RUF leader Foday Sankoh arrested This This WAS, and falling on the Following months There Was a buildup of the international presence, a collapse of the rebels and over time a comprehensive program of disarmament .... The country's democracy Was Saved. "

Today Mr. Blair is a national hero in Sierra Leone. As for Ms. Rice and the administration she Represented, history Will Deliver icts own verdict.

See also:

Dancing Around Genocide

David Feith

The WSJ

December 5, 2012

Promoting genocide is a human-rights violation? You might think that's an easy question. It Is not aim at Human Rights Watch, Where a bitter debate is raging over how to describe Iran's calls for the destruction of Israel. The infighting Reveals a standard peculiar Regarding Dictatorships and human rights and the Jewish state Especially.

Human Rights Watch is the George Soros-funded operation That HAS outsize impact in Governments, newsrooms and classrooms world-wide. Some at the nonprofit want to denounce Iran's diet for inciting genocide. "Sitting still while Iran claims a 'justification to kill all Jews and annihilate Israel ... is a position unworthy of our great organization, "Sid Sheinberg, the group's vice chairman, wrote to colleagues in a recent email.

Purpose Executive Director Kenneth Roth, Have you runs the nonprofit, strenuously Disagrees.

Asked in 2010 about Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's statement That Israel "must be wiped off the map," Mr. Roth Suggested That The Iranian president has-been misunderstood. "There Was a real issue as to Whether he Actually Said That," Mr. Roth Told The New Republic, Because The Persian language lacks an idiom for wiping off the map. Then again, Mr. Ahmadinejad's own English-language website translated His Words That Way, and the main alternative translation-"eliminated from the pages of history" -is no more benign. Nor is Mr. Ahmadinejad an outlier in the diet. Iran's top military officer Earlier this year Declared That "the Iranian nation is standing for icts Because That Is The full annihilation of Israel."

Mr. Roth's main claim is legalistic: Iran's rhetoric Does not Qualify as "incitement"-which is illegal under the United Nations Genocide Convention of 1948-but Amounts Merely to "advocacy," which is legal.

"The theory" to Human Rights Watch All which subscribes All, He Has written in internal emails, "Is That in the case of advocacy, hateful HOWEVER, there is time to Discourage waste-to-speech with speech Whereas in the case of incitement, Action urged the Being is so imminently connected to the speech in Question That there is no time to Discourage. Incitement must be suppressed Because it is tantamount to action. "

Mr. Roth added in Reviews Reviews another email: "Many of [Iran's] statements are reprehensible Certainly, goal They Are not incitement to genocide HAS ACTED No one on 'em.".

Really?What 'about the Officials, soldiers and scientists behind Iran's nuclear program Mostafa Ahmadi Roshan Was a senior nuclear scientist Until His death in a car explosion this year. His widow afterward boasted: "Mostafa's ultimate goal Was the annihilation of Israel."

Hezbollah, the Lebanese terror group founded by the Tehran diet, also icts unabashed about motivations. Then there's Hamas, the Tehran-backed Palestinian terror group founding charter Whose DECLARED That "Will Israel exist and Will continue to exist Until Islam Will obliterate it, just as it obliterated others before it. "

If building nuclear weapons and Hezbollah and Hamas Deploying arent "action" in Mr. Roth's view, what is? "Incitement to genocide in Rwanda Occur About About did," He Has written to colleagues. "Radio Milles Collines Identified the locations of Tutsis and directed Organized gangs to hunt them down, They All About All which immediately DID, in real time. "

So if genocidal talk Is not Causing genocidal action in "real time," Human Rights Watch must sit on icts hands. Seems That approach to miss the purpose of the Genocide Convention to stop genocide Both before it happens, not simply litigate it afterward-and of human-rights activism Generally.

For Decades Human Rights Watch Good reporting HAS done behind the Iron Curtain, in Saddam Hussein's Iraq, communist China and other dark corners. Yet icts silent on Iran's genocidal rhetoric fits a pattern Toward Israel.

Mr. Roth, When Asked to comment for this article, Said That a Human Rights Watch May committee review Iran's rhetoric, His purpose in view Tehran Is not inciting genocide and claims to the Contrary are "hand of an Attempt to beat the war drums against Iran. " In other words, Will Tehran continued to call for Israel's obliteration, and Human Rights Watch Will continue to sit back and watch.

Mr. Feith is an assistant editorial features editor at the Journal

See more:

Democracy Promotion Promotion or Islamist?
Bruce Thornton
Frontpage Magazine

December 12, 2012

The Hope that democracy in Egypt Would bloom Following our collusion in Removing Hosni Mubarak looks more and more delusional every day. Even our foreign policy wishful thinkers are no peddling along the duck That The Islamist Muslim Brotherhood is "secular" and "moderate" Muslims That proving Malthus Devoted to the global expansion of Islam and Sharia law can be illiberal liberal democrats friendly to our Interests. DESPITE Purpose Being mugged by the Islamist reality, too many democracy promoters in the West still refuse to acknowledge That the Iranian Revolution, not the American Revolution, is the Likely model for the So-Called "Arab Spring."
But do not worry, the new "opposition alliance" endorsed by France and the U.S. is lead by Moaz al-Khatib. As JE Dyer reports , Khatib is "a Muslim Brotherhood member with a history of anti-Semitic, anti-Western statements, Who has castigated as 'revisionists' fellow Muslims (like Alawites) Whose beliefs Differ on the margins, and Who believes That the bombing of Israelis is 'evidence of God's justice. "Yet Despite All the signs That, as Frontpage' s Daniel Greenfield wrote Recently," Syria is coming down to a race Between the Iranian allied Syrian government, the Muslim Brotherhood and Al Qaeda, "According to the London Sunday Times , "The United States is launching a covert operation to send weapons to Syrian rebels for the first time," including "mortars, rocket-propelled grenades and anti-tank missiles." Some of the weapons come from "the stockpiles of Muammar Gaddafi" and "include SA-7 missiles, All which can be used to shoot down aircraft." It's looking more and more like a reprise of the debacle in Libya, Where U.S. military power WAS used to arm and empower jihadist gangs like The One That assassinated four Americans in Benghazi.
So this is what ten years of democracy Promotion in the Middle East-have Brought us: illiberal states increasingly Dominated by unstable mixtures of jihadist terrorists and more tactically savvy Islamists like the Muslim Brotherhood Have you Both share the goal of Creating Some Version of Iran's Islamic government. In short, we will-have colluded in Creating states hostile to our Interests and security, and our closest ally of Those in the area, Israel. Such are the fruits of foreign policy wishful thinking.

Finally, see:

Shock Therapy's Unsung Hero

Edward Lucas

The WSJ

December 11, 2012

The causes of modern Economic Growth are one great mystery, the source of Russia's plight Reviews another. Only someone with the intellectual ambition of Yegor Gaidar Would try to Penetrate Both mysteries in a single volume.

Gaidar for Two Decades WAS one of the Most Important intellectual force in Russia. As deputy prime minister he Launched the country's sprint to a market economy in November 1991 amid the ruins of the Soviet system. Personally austere and intellectually Rigorous, he despised the corruption and cronyism That Took root in Russia in the 1990s. Purpose He Was still more disillusioned by the authoritarian race Plotted by Vladimir Putin Effective he Became president in 2000. Gaidar died in 2009 at age 53.

"Russia: A Long View" synthesizes this remarkable man's thinking about economics, history and politics. It ranges from the puzzles of Slowing GDP per capita in the agrarian societies of the Neolithic Age to the quirks of alcohol consumption in 19th-century Germany. It is an uncompromising tombstone of a book, first published in Russia in 2005 year in order exemplary translation by Antonina W., only posthumously in English Bouis.

DESPITE icts Russo-centric title, Anders Aslund, the Swedish economist, Describes "Russia: A Long View," in the book's foreword, as one of the best single-volume histories of the world Economic ever written.

It opens with a survey of Marxist analysis of Economic growth. Gaidar Has some sympathy for Karl Marx himself, Who in Gaidar's view saw the Weaknesses in His own theories Clearly more than His followers DID.Purpose he blasts the Marxist simplicities That much surrounded Soviet-era thinking about Economic Development, in Particular the Marxian assumption That economies in Accordance to "the iron laws of history." Far from obeying iron laws, Gaidar says, modern economies subject to find Themselves "an incomplete, Continuing process of dynamic transformations without precedent in world history."

Having His theoretical framework, Established, Gaidar turns to the root causes of Russia's backwardness. He places special emphasis on the eclipse of the self-governing republic of medieval Novgorod in northern Russia, a polity akin, he says, to Italy's then-thriving city -states.

When Novgorod WAS Subjugated by Moscow in the 15th century, Becoming share of Russia's vast feudal apparatus, Russia Became separated "Culturally, religiously, politically and ideologically from the center of Western Europe Innovation That WAS Rapidly Becoming." Whereas Elements of a "Taxpayers' based democracy "Were Becoming entrenched in Europe, Russia's system of WAS the" Eastern despotic kind "based on Maximizing the resources the state That Could extract from the peasant population.

In the years before the Russian Revolution, Argues Gaidar, the country WAS Beginning to shed the burden of past icts, with urbanization and fast narrowing the gap with Europe Economic Growth. Brought goal communist economics HAS Sharply different race, marked by the state ownership of property, the bureaucratic allocation of resources, forced industrialization, militarism and ruthless political repression.

The economic growth That Followed the revolution WAS fitful and unsustainable, Gaidar notes, recapitulating a theme of His Earlier book, "Collapse of an Empire." In "Russia: A Long View," Quickly he turns to the Soviet collapse the Effective months, Citing the graphic memoranda about impending famine and social breakdown That piled up on his desk in November 1991. He rejects several ideas about what happened at That Time, Including the bogus claim That Caused the Economic Reform crisis-ie, that 'price Liberalization, Privatization and monetary stabilization resulted in a catastrophic fall in output.

Such a claim, Gaidar says, comes from viewing the problem the wrong way round. Was Soviet money not real money, just as Soviet Was not real output production. The economy created goods and services That nobody wanted via processes That destroyed value Rather than Creating it. Ending phony incentives to Produce WAS bound to send Recorded output crashing down. WAS Reform Necessary Because The Soviet leadership bequeathed WAS HAD That crisis threatened This This is the country's very existence.

Concludes by Gaidar Assessing Russia's current leadership. "It is not hard to be popular and political-have support," he writes, "when you-have ten years of growth of real income at 10 percent a year." Purpose That era is over . The diet must now choose Between repression ("tempting goal suicidal") and what he calls "regulated Liberalization."

In Particular, he Argues That Russia Needs to restore freedom of speech, open up icts process of decision-making, institute an independent Judiciary and wage a "war on corruption." Taiwan, Spain and Chile, he says, offer examples of how to do it. Would It be a task worthy of Gaidar's own talents, if only he Were around to offer 'em.

Mr. Lucas is the author of "Deception," a new book on Russian espionage, and "The New Cold War. Putin's Russia and the Threat to the West"

Finally, see:

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Nobel Peace Prize: After the fastest Nobel history, Europe also receives his Star of Courage (Guess who gets the gold star for grown-ups this time?)

December 10, 2012

This is a terrible advantage of doing nothing, do not abuse it purpose. Rivarol

When Alfred Nobel created His price at the end of the nineteenth century, Sweden and Norway under a single Confederates Were monarch. The inventor of dynamite, Swedes, Norwegians wanted to entrust one of icts distinctions. It was the price of peace. Oslo with Purpose No prestigious Academy, similar to the Karolinska Institute in Stockholm, the choice of winners WAS, entrusted to a committee of five members Elected by the local parliament. A parliament left panel left and vice versa, so it goes for more than a century. And Nobel Peace Suffers. The current committee is headed by Thorbjorn Jagland, a form Socialist prime minister and foreign minister form, Whose passages in power-have-been tainted by all scandals, gaffes and taken various anti-American and anti-Israeli position. We also now know That It WAS Considered by the KGB Throughout the 1970s and 1980s as a "confidential contact". That Explains a lot, we agree. Michel Gurfinkiel

Israelis do not know That the Palestinian people HAS Progressed In His research on death. He Has Developed an industry of death Favored by all our women, our children, our elderly and our veterans. THUS, we Formed a human shield with women and children to tell the Zionist enemy Abebooks web wish to death as he clings to life. Fathi Hammad (Hamas, March 2008)

We are Here Because We Have reconnu the potential of the youth of Palestine. Against all odds, They continue to learn, work, dream and aspire to a better future. And the day When we remember Those Who Were young people killed in all spells of Circumstances terrible - the Belgian children Have you lost Their Lives in a terrible tragedy, and when to you think about what happened today in Toulouse, When we remember what happened in Norway there is a year When we know what is happening in Syria, When we see what is happening in Gaza and in different parts of world. - we remember young people and children Have you lose Their Lives Here young people Have you not ask to be leaders in the future, intended to be taken Seriously as leaders today. And it is to Them That we must turn our eyes and them Abebooks web and it is must listen to 'em That I pay tribute. Catherine Ashton (High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy for the European Union, Brussels 19.03.12)

It is (...) the price of courage, audacity, solidarity. François Hollande

Awarding the Nobel Peace Prize to the European Union Certainly puts the prize Given to Barack Obama in 2009 in perspective. Apparently, the once-significant award HAS Become the self-esteem builder for undeserving underachievers, a sort of gold star for grown-ups. These days every kid gets a t-ball trophy so now every anti-American pseudo-intellectual can get a Nobel Peace Prize . Jennifer Rubin

What 'kind of a society consciously and purposely sacrifices icts own youth for political gain and tactical advantage . Today the overwhelming Majority of Palestinian Arabs nurture a blind hatred of Israel They created a cultural milieu of vengeance, violence and death - Preparing Their Children to be sacrifices in a death cult. Proud Parents dress up in clown not toddlers Their costumes, aim with suicide belts, and countless others celebrate with Their Children's Deaths traditional sweet holiday cakes and candies. Indeed, Palestinian children continue to learn, work, dream and aspire for a better future -. purpose That future is void of the state of Israel and the Jewish people Only When Their textbooks cease to preach haste and stop using gruesome examples of killing Jews can we begin to think of a future odd promising for children thesis, and for the area as a whole. Eli E. Hertz

So after the fastest Nobel history and Effective HAVING yet saved and is dubbed the killers of children in the United Nations , Europe aussi Receives The star of " Courage "...

Back with Helen Keller-Lind, on one of the recent highlights of His Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Catherine Ashton ...

That in a sentence That spoke volumes about the fortitude to say Europe ...

Managed the feat of not only praise the " potential "of Palestinian children as coming from Elsewhere to confirm there is a month Gaza Hamas Itself, aim to compare Their lot with the Jewish children killed by the Jihadist of Toulouse ...

Mondo Cane: Catherine Ashton and the Council of Human Rights is totally discredited

Helen Keller-Lind

CRIF

March 21, 2012

Catherine Ashton Held shameful significant goal in Addressing young Palestinians March 19, 2012 in Brussels about. altho she dened it now, she dared Comparing the barbaric murder of Jewish children in a school in Toulouse Ozar Hathorah That Day and "what is happening in Gaza "She Said, forgetting the way the children in southern Israel, submissive, there is still a Few Days to a wave of terror from the Gaza Strip. As for the Council of Human Rights, that 'day he received a Hamas official. Vives Israeli reactions .

"What happened to Toulouse and ... what is happening in Gaza"

"We are here Because We-have reconnu the potential of the youth of Palestine. Against all odds, They continue to learn, work, dream and aspire to a better future. And the day When we remember Those Who Were young people killed in all spells Circumstances of terrible - the Belgian children Have you lost Their Lives in a terrible tragedy, and when to you think about what happened today in Toulouse, When we remember what happened in Norway there is a year When we know what is happening in Syria, When we see what is happening in Gaza and in different parts of world. - we remember young people and children Have you lose Their Lives Here young people Have you not ask to be leaders in the future, intended to be taken Seriously as leaders today. And it is to em Abebooks web must turn our eyes and them Abebooks web and it is must listen to 'em That I pay tribute. "

It is this statement That Catherine Ashton, High Representative of the European Union, His speech ended Delivered before "youth Representatives of the Palestinian Refugees' meeting Organized by UNRWA - ad hoc body created Solely for the Palestinian Refugees status is hereditary, and other special privilege - the European Union and the Belgian government.

This is confusing and it can put in the same bag a road accident, terrible has it-have been, or the deliberate murder of Jewish children in a small school. Confusing it can bring to this That happens, she says, and Gaza Would Be as terrible as assassinations thesis. Confusing it fails to mention a Few Days of terror Which Were Subjected children in southern Israel while Palestinian terrorists, it can not see,-have Launched Hundreds of rockets, missiles and mortar shells on a million Israelis at a rate of one shot every 20 minutes.

There are issues as to what shoulds qualify to describe this "responsible" European?

Israel outraged

Responded Israel, of course. On 20 March, the Prime Minister and termed the killings "tragedy and ruthlessness of this act hit, inhumanity and barbarism are His indescribable" and so commenting on the statement by Catherine Ashton: "what touched me the MOST this is the deliberate killing Comparison between the defensive and in France and accurate IDF strikes against terrorists Have you take children as human shields. "

Eve Benjamin Netanyahu Said in a statement That There HAD not yet been "Convicted of one of the organs of the UN, but ... the Council of Human Rights, today called Expired Hamas has high representative - the day When We had this brutal murder, They Chose to invite a member of Hamas. Condemned This individual Then the United States for Eliminating this killer par excellence, Ben Laden, and it is an organization AIMS indiscriminately That children and adults, women and men. Their The innocent are premium target. They kill Jews everywhere - it's in Their Nature - kill Jews Wherever They Are located -. it's what They Do And this is what the Council of Human Rights Decided to do today - to invite him dearly a member of Hamas. So I have one thing to say to the Council of Human Rights of the United Nations: What do you do with human rights You should be ashamed of yourself. "

As for the defense minister of Israel, Ehud Barak, he aussi Strongly Condemned the comparisons made by the High Representative of These killings in Toulouse and what is happening in Syria or the Gaza Strip, where, he Said, "IDF ACTED with the Utmost care to protect the lives of innocent people. "

From Chengdu in China's Minister of Foreign Affairs Avigdor Liberman STATED That Catherine Ashton's remarks are "outrageous and he Hoped That It Would revise and retract." He added: "Israel is the MOST moral in the world and altho we are forced to fight terrorists Have you operate from populated Areas, the IDF everything can not to harm the Civilians While They protect terrorists. No army in the world is more moral than the IDF Have you puts His Own soldiers at risk to minimize the risk to Civilians. " He added That Children Who o Consider Ashton shoulds Are Those of southern Israel live in constant fear Have you of attacks from Gaza. "

As for Catherine Ashton, on March 20, it STATED That His remarks HAD beens distorted .... Goal His words can be checked above.

Millions of € EU for the Palestinians and the wages paid to terrorists

She Said in the introduction to His speech how "the area is a key element of the policy" of the EU, Adding That She is and has been "a key priority" for itself "at the Beginning Time of the Old Took Office." And: stressed That This Was reflected in shares Throughout this week. THUS, the European Union signed an agreement she HAS with the Palestinian Prime Minister, Salam Fayyad, Allocating € 35 million to the Palestinian Authority. Which is share of the 300 million annual Given to it by the European Union alone, "the large largest donor and MOST loyal. Whose activity Began in 1971 for 11 years, more than one billion 300 million to supporting UNRWA and contributions of members of the EU, All which Accounted for Nearly 40% of total intake " , Welcomed Catherine Ashton in the same speech.

Grants today as the International Monetary Fund HAS just found in a report missing 500 million € to the Palestinian Authority. Some Donors are expected for late payments. goal aussi it shoulds be Noted That Arab Donors are not shown great generosity or the budget of the Palestinian Authority is burdened by dépenses: such as "wages" paid to Palestinian terrorists tried and imprisoned - more € 4 million monthly - or backing for anti-Israeli Campaigns,: such as the BDS campaign.

Confusing idealism

REFERRING to the role of a brave youth in the Arab revolutions and Syria Catherine Ashton Took The example of His Palestinian hosts by making an extravagant eulogy completely Call disconnected from reality, borrowing a confusing idealism. Translate much of His statements WAS therefore considers. High Representative of the European Union Said in effect: "As young people Who Have joined us today, They want freedom, They Want To Have Their chances, They want jobs, education They Want, They want a future, They want a country. They want a place Where They can live in peace and security, Where They can grow and develop, and family-have Their Own, a future and a place That belongs to 'em. I want to say That young people here are full members of the conference. We are privileged to be with 'em and enjoy Their inspiration.

Over the next two days we will listen to the voices of the future leaders of Their Communities and the future leaders of a Palestinian state. During my last visit to Gaza I Had the privilege of meeting a group of young people: Yasmeen All who is here with us today, goal aussi I put Ali, and Motaz, Smaher Sahar And They Told me a number of things falling on this meeting and I will quote.

"We can not wait, we need to take the future in our hands and do it by working together."

"We need to see the world and the world to see us Needs Because we are like other young people in the world, we-have the same Concerns, we-have the same dreams."

"Even though I live in the Gaza Strip, All which is a prison, I will continue to love and to explain icts beauty and energy and hope to all the young people around me."

"We're not Complaining, we can not complain, we need to inspire hope and passion about Gaza and Its community."

"Freedom comes through education and knowledge, the Internet is our window on the world. We need to create curiosity and publicize our rights. "

That thesis I argue quotes speak for Themselves and we can not disappoint 'em. They Did not look for excuses. shoulds We look for excuses not Either. When I was in Gaza when i visited Palestine and the West Bank, I saw the young That role people play in Their Communities and as I've Said a number of times, Especially the role of young women, Because the fate of women's rights in some sense a Dictates the fate of the future of the Arab Spring. Women Who Were at the center of the exchange and That Are Underway Will Remain in the center. This is not just a matter of policy or morality, it aussi An Economic outcome. The commitment of all in the future is crucial. " http://www.consilium.europa.eu/uedocs/cms_Data/docs/pressdata/EN/foraff/129054.pdf

Catherine Ashton Does not see the real problems of the Palestinians

It Seems That Catherine Ashton HAS never heard of violence against Palestinian women by Their husbands. HOWEVER, on March 8 the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics Told us That 37% of Palestinian women from violence Suffer Their husbands. 58.1% WAS The Figure in the Gaza Strip as the High Representative Described in terms so appreciative. Often illiterate Women - 7.1% - and unemployed - 24.7% - Married at the age of 15 years.

speak of the Palestinian law free men of violence, Including killings, against women Suspected of HAVING dirty "the honor of the family." Appalling realities Catherine Ashton pretended not to see.

As for Claiming That The Palestinians do not complain, it is not to see That Become professional mourners Their leaders-have managed to Subsidies paid much larger than Any Other people. Subsidies diverted Largely in endemic corruption.

Always ecstatic Catherine Ashton speaks in this speech the "Guinness record" of Palestinian children in Gaza coached by UNRWA, "the large largest number of people taking part in. parachute games, the large largest hand print, The Most dribbling footballs Simultaneously The Most kites we flew together. " And if we can only applaud and rejoice For Those Gazan children, the rest of the speech leaves you speechless: "I have a kite Gaza in my office. If They Are Given the opportunity, the children of Gaza can accomplish achieve anything They Want. This is what I say to the Prime Minister Netanyahu a whenever I meet. " In'm speechless. Especially since this is the only time in this speech, the High Representative Will Make the Slightest allusion to anything Israeli ....

See also:

The EU gets a Nobel Peace Prize

Jennifer Rubin

The Washington Post

10/15/2012

Awarding the Nobel Peace Prize to the European Union Certainly puts the prize Given to Barack Obama in 2009 in perspective. Apparently, the once-significant award HAS Become the self-esteem builder for undeserving underachievers, a sort of gold star for grown-ups. These days every kid gets a t-ball trophy so now every anti-American pseudo-intellectual can get a Nobel Peace Prize.

Goal in fairness, President Obama HAS killed Osama bin Laden and drone-targeted Numerous jihadists so he's done more (albeit Effective His award) to keep the peace and secure the West than Europe HAS done in all the years since 1945.

Now, the nations of Eastern Europe formerly Dominated by the Soviet Union-have accomplished something, throwing off the yoke of communism in peaceful revolutions, forming democratic Governments and, in large part, embracing free markets. Perhaps the Nobel Peace Prize Should Have Gone to Just a few members of the EU (eg, the Czech Republic, Poland).

As for the rest of the EU, countries do not odd thesis warrant was Miss Congeniality trophy. Albert Schweitzer, Lech Walesa and the EU - All All which is not like the others?

Western EU countries-have Severely Cut Spending Their defense, off-loading Their defense and the defense of others to the United States, Continued All All which HAS to do the heavy lifting everywhere from Bosnia to Afghanistan. Instead of peace, the EU HAS Given U.S. Economic collapse and social unrest. Greece, Spain and France-have HAS HAD riots more than anywhere else on the planet, and the riots Have Been Entirely for selfish ends. People grown dependent on the state and bereft of the temper tantrums work ethic are HAVING serial in country country Effective As They face the reality That One must repay what you borrow.

In sum, the EU is getting a pat on the back for just showing up, or hanging on long enough to grab the prize. (It can use the prize money, to be sure.) To be Rewarded for survival (or for not attacking your neighbor), of course, misses the point. The Nobel Prize is for Those Who extend peace, human rights and Promote do something for others. Where has the EU Promoted peace? It's flopped as an interlocutor in the Middle East. It's come up empty in the Iranian nuclear threat defanging.

And what about human rights? In Europe anti-Semitism is on the rise. An Anti-Defamation League survey this year found "PARTICULARLY high levels of anti-Semitism in three nations. 'In Hungary, Spain and Poland, the numbers for anti- Semitic attitudes are literally off the charts and demand a serious response from political, civic and religious leaders, 'Said [ADL head Abe] Foxman. "

Immigrants? In May, the Wall Street Journal reported about about "global Ipsos MORI's poll of 24 countries on attitudes to immigration included nine EU member states. In seven of 'em, the Majority Of Those Surveyed regard immigration as HAVING Review: Review: had a negative impact Their one country, Sweden and Poland Were the only exceptions. Most Citizens think there are too many immigrants in Their country, and this tends to correlate with the perception MOST Strongly That immigrants INSTEAD has burden on public services. . . .Compared to countries Elsewhere in the world, our survey shows That the European Citizens are least willing to accept That Their country immigrants make a more interesting place to live. "

You see the problem? The Nobel Peace Prize is Supposed to go to "the person Have you done Shall Have The Most or the best work for fraternity Between nations, for the abolition or reduction of standing armies and for the holding of peace congresses and Promoting . " In a sane world George W. Bush, Whose President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief saved millions of lives in Africa, or the U.S. Marines, Who Have liberated tens of millions from barbarous rule, Would get the prize. Goal in the nest occupied by moral insanity intellectual elites it goes to the EU of How fitting. How tragic.

Finally, see:

Children Dying To Kill

Eli E. Hertz

Purposely Sacrificing Children

"... We can forgive the Arabs for killing our children. We Can not forgive 'em for forcing us to kill Their Children .... We will only-have peace with the Arabs When They love their children more than They Hate us. "

Golda Meir, Israeli Prime Minister form 1972

What kind of a society consciously and purposely sacrifices icts own youth for political gain and tactical advantage? Suicide bombers are an escalation of a small-arms war Introduced falling on the first Intifada (1987-1993 Palestinian uprising's) and championed by Palestinian leaders, odd prior to Arafat's arrival from Tunis in July 1994. Today the overwhelming Majority of Palestinian Arabs nurture a blind hatred of Israel. They created a cultural milieu of vengeance, violence and death -. Preparing Their Children to be sacrifices in a death cult Proud Parents dress not up in clown suits Their toddlers, aim with suicide belts, and countless others celebrate 1 Their Children's Deaths with traditional sweet holiday cakes and candies.

Protecting our children is a universal trait That units the Family of Man. Order in Palestinian society, that 'standard has-been turned on icts head

. Around the world, children are precious gifts to Their Parents and keys to the future The loving care we invest in our own children is a human trait That units different cultures. rich and poor, traditional and hi-tech The toughest job-related -have is to raise Their children while making everyday decisions and sacrifices for 'em. We hug 'em, love them and watch them grow up, praying That They will come to no harm, and doing everything we can to Ensure That.

From the Poorest barrios in South America to the MOST wretched slums of Cairo, relating strive to sources there is food for Their Children and Their money for children's education make. Parents everywhere walk a fine line Between the need for parental guidance and youthful independence, setting rules for what can and Their Children cannot do, Trying to Ensure That Their Children Will not make mistakes That endanger em. Their Parents raise children with the hope That They Will grow into happy, responsible, caring, and Contributing members of society. That is what units the Family of Man from Caracas to the Caucuses, from Timbuktu to Katmandu.

It is clear in Palestinian society That something has gone dreadfully wrong. Children in Palestinian Communities in the West Bank and Gaza are turned into 'self-destructing human bombs' ble of carrying out terrorist attacks casualty in the struggle Between Palestinians and Israelis - a phenomenon can be traced to the seeds Whose first Intifada.

It happened Because Arab Communities Within the civil jurisdiction of self-rule under the Palestinian Authority (All which includes All 97 percent of the Arab residents in the West Bank and 100 percent of Those in Gaza) foster a Culture That Prepared children for armed conflict, consciously and purposely putting em in harm's way for political gain and tactical advantage in Their war against Israel. The PA nozzles children to violent FlashPoints far from Their Neighborhoods and Arab snipers hide Often Among the young falling on battle, using children as human shields. Perpetrators of teenaged suicide attacks Have Become the norm.2

In the first Intifada, a similar pattern surfaced, women and children in All All which led riots while young men in late teens and early 20s Their, armed with rocks, sling shots, Molotov cocktails and grenades operated from the rear.3

There Were Thousands of Molotov cocktail attacks, more than 100 hand grenade attacks and more than 500 attacks with guns or explosive devices over the course of the first Intifada. Children in elementary and junior high school Were Encouraged to stone Israelis using rocks and slingshots, Knowing That Israeli soldiers Could do little beyond taking the youngsters into custody and fining Their relative in the hopes They Would ground Their Children. Instead, Palestinian Parent Their Children feels back onto the streets. Some Were killed. Were others maimed.

Palestinian society Praised the transformation of children into combatants icts falling on the first Intifada, dubbing em fondly "the children of the rocks." Mahmud Darwish, the Palestinian national poet laureate, wrote a poem partner partner after the outbreak of the first Intifada, sanctioned and sanctified All All which Their Deaths, and Praised "Arab youth on the road to victory contents contents, each with a coffin on His shoulder." 4 The poem set to music WAS Eventually, Encouraging countless Palestinian children to endanger Themselves as a form of socially-condoned conduct That Would bring fame and prestige em They shoulds be hurt. nihilistic bent Took This year more odd destructive path in the second intifada, as the 'weapons of choice' Moved from rocks to explosives and the role of the Children Moved from reckless life-threatening behavior to conscious premeditated suicidal acts.

Clearly horrified by the use of children in armed conflict, Israeli author and peace advocate Aharon Megged wrote falling on the first Intifada

http://www.mfa.gov.il/MFA/Government/Communiques/2003/PA%20Soccer%20Tournament%20Named%20After%20Terrorists%20-%20Jan . (10595)

13 Alan Philips, "Lynch mob suspects Held by Israelis," Telegraph, June 26, 2001 at:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2001/06/26/wisr26.xml . (10596)

14 The preschooler WAS photographed in a Hamas kindergarten holding up her palms - dipped in red paint, in front of a model of the Al-Aqsa mosque.

15 Al-Hayah Al Jadida, Palestinian Authority newspaper, November 9, 2000.

16 USA Today, December 8, 2000.

17 Kenneth R. Timmerman, "Palestinian TV glorification of 'martyrdom' on upswing," Insight magazine, December 19, 2002.

18 See "Indictment on Use of Ambulances for Terrorist Activities," IDF Spokesperson, March 12, 2003 at:

http://www.mfa.gov.il/MFA/Government/Communiques/2003/Indictment+on+Use+of+Ambulances+for+Terrorist+Acti.htm . (11590) Jeff Forster and Mike Taigman, "We-have no choices: EMS in Israel," Emergency Medical Services Magazine, January 16, 2003.

19 "Palestinian children's role in Jenin warfare," IDF Spokesperson, November 25, 2002. Did See:

http://www.kokhavivpublications.com/2002/israel/11/0211252319.html . (11607)

20 Amos Harel, "Rescued abductee Eliyahu Gurel tells of His ordeal," Haaretz, July 24, 2003 at:

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/pages/ShArt.jhtml?itemNo=318838&sw=taxi . (10434)

21 Partially using modesty as a Means of Preventing detection of the Perpetrators.

22 See: "Chronology of suicide bombings" at:

http://www.hrw.org/reports/2002/isrl-pa/ISRAELPA1002-08.htm - P1295_378245. (10600)

23 See "Exploitation of Children for Terrorist Purposes," Israel Action Committee, January 14, 2003 at:

http://www.mfa.gov.il/MFA/MFAArchive/2000_2009/2003/1/The+Exploitation+of+Children+for+Terrorist+Purpose.htm .

Ibid 24.

25 For further details, see: http://www.jmcc.org/publicpoll/results/2002/no45.htm . (10437)

26 Justus Weiner, "The Recruitment of Children in Current Palestinian Strategy," Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs, October 1, 2002. See:

http://www.jcpa.org/brief/brief2-8.htm . (11609)

Ibid 27.

28 Special Dispatch # 373 - Interview on Egyptian satellite TV, April 30, 2002 at:

http://memri.org/bin/articles.cgi?Page=archives&Area=sd&ID=SP37302 . (10438)

Ibid 29.

. 30 USA Today, December 8, 2000 For a summary of the section see:

http://www.camera.org/index.asp?x_context=2&x_outlet=53&x_article=323 . (11610)

31 Ibid.

32 For instance, Hafiz Barghouthi, editor of the PA daily Al Hayat al-Jadida, labeled Those Who refuse to endanger Their Children "traitors" see David Schenker, "An Arab Debate on 'Child Sacrifice," Jerusalem Post, November 15, 2000 at:

http://www.highbeam.com/library/doc3.asp?docid=1P1:37853485&refid=SEO . (11611)

44 "Death Wish," Washington Post, April 4, 2002 at:

http://www.mefacts.com/cache/html/icj/11482.htm . (11482)

December 11, 112

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"Arab Spring": Why winter is probably inevitable (It's the youth bulge, stupid!)

December 7, 2012

The key factor is the demographic factor. Generally, people are killing people Have you men are 16 to 30 years. Samuel Huntington

As South Africa gears up to celebrate Youth Day this week, it might be worthwhile to Consider the effect, and impact young people can we-have country. Today, overall our town can be neatly divided Between countries with growing (young) people, Those with and Declining (aging) population. Countries with more than 40% of the population aged 15 and 29 Between (Generation Y) are Labelled as Having a "youth bulge." Youth bulges are Usually Associated with unrest, urban disturbance and, at the extreme end, revolts and revolution. They can set the course for mass social change as we-have Witnessed in the Arab world. global hotspot Where youth bulges Reviews Reviews another Occur The political revolts in Egypt, Tunisia and Libya fueled by Relatively Were Young Citizens fed up with high rates of unemployment and the Lack of democratic Governments. (...) South Africa Has an extreme youth bulge, with 65.8% of our population under the age of 30. Itself in This shoulds be a broad red flag. Purpose youth bulges do not always Negatively affect a country. In fact, a youth bulge can be a country's main asset, if - and only if - that country Has Two things in place: a brilliant education system and ample Employment Opportunities. South Africa, Unfortunately, Has Neither. (...) Our internal youth bulges are growing in all the wrong places. Dion Chang

In a country with a youth bulge, as the young adults enter the working age, the country's dependency ratio-that is, the ratio of the working age population non-working age population to the-will decline. If the Increase in the number of Individuals working age can be fully employed in productive activities, other things equal Being, the average level of income per capita as a result Increase shoulds. youth bulge The Will Become a demographic dividend. HOWEVER, if a broad cohort of young people can not find employment Satisfactory and earn income, the youth bulge Will Become a demographic bomb, Because a broad mass of frustrated youth is Likely to Become a source potential social of and political instability. Therefore, one basic measure of a country's success in turning the youth bulge into a demographic dividend is the youth (a) employment spleen. Unfortunately, the recent Record has not-been favorable. While unemployment rates are naturally higher for young people, Given Their limited work experience, double digit unemployment rates presented in Figure 2 are the worrisome . Typically, the Prevailing youth unemployment rates are about twice the rate of the general workforce. The position in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and in the countries of Europe and Central Asia is PARTICULARLY troubling: youth unemployment is on the order of 20 percent or higher odd. In addition, informality is more prevalent Among youth in MENA, so odd for Those Who are employed, there May be problems with job quality. East Asian economies-have-been ble to turn to the youth bulge into a demographic dividend. Take the Republic of Korea as an example. Over the past forty years, the dependency ratio Declined Substantially in Korea. In addition to dramatic and rapid GDP growth Increases in average wages, youth unemployment has-been below 12 percent and Often in the single digits in recent years. The same is true for China. Its dependency ratio Followed a pattern similar to Korea's. Since initiating event events Economic Reforms since the late 1970s, China has-been ble to generate millions of new jobs while relocating as young workers from lower productivity agricultural activities to higher productivity manufacturing-all without experiencing high unemployment Among the youthful Labour Force Survey. Decades In recent, countries in North Africa-have also experienced dramatic Declines in the dependency ratio, HOWEVER, as we saw above, youth unemployment has-been (...) The problem is severe youth unemployment issue has-been in the news with respect to the. "Arab Spring." Many youth protesting in the streets-have Relatively high education levels. A recent World Bank report finds That importing countries for oil in the Middle East and North Africa, government sector employment is oversized relative to other middle-income countries, while oil Exporters-have a high growth sector - oil output-that is not Labor intensive. Concludes The report ". .. the number of jobs created in the last decade WAS considerably less than the number needed to address key challenges,: such as high youth unemployment, low Labor Force participation rates, Especially Among women, and fast-growing Labor forces. " (...) First, for an economy to be competitive in Both the domestic and international market, it shoulds follow icts comparative advantage, as Determined by icts endowment structure. In the early stage of development, the economy HAS Sectors That Will Be comparative Labor intensive or resource advantage. Examples include light manufacturing, smallholder agriculture, fishing and mining. Only A Few activities like mining are Likely to be capital intensive in this early stage. In the later stages of development, the competitive sector Will Become increasingly capital intensive , as capital accumulates Malthus changing the country's endowment structure. Justin Lin Yufu

The error Was That nobody paid attention to to the explosion of the Palestinian population. The Palestinian population HAS Increased by Almost 6 in the last 50 years. (...) In Lebanon, Tunisia and Algeria a woman has Fewer than two children on average. odd if Hamas decided shoulds Any sign All Their young men will tear apart Those agreements. (...) Palestine is a special case. They never had a chance to Develop Because They always-have-been under international support. Gunnar Heinsohn

What demographics tell us the Syrian conflict

Sunnis, Alawites, Kurds, Christians, Druze ... The ongoing war for eighteen months aussi plays in weight and growth rate of the different groups share the territory That gold tear apart each other '.

Youssef Courbage

Slate

15.10.12

Children playing in the ruins to the north of Syria, Oct. 8, 2012. REUTERS / Stringer.

- Children play in the ruins, north of Syria, Oct. 8, 2012. REUTERS / Stringer. -

With 33,000 Deaths and 340,000 Refugees outside the borders, demography is Obviously present in the conflict in Syria since March 2011 , this delicate standoff Where we are Often just a truth All which, though not yet known reconnu is all of a Minority faith demographically Alawite ( Shia Muslim native), monopolize power and multiple instruments. Yet more nuanced: Minority all more or less unified, That Would Have Rallied to power, opposing Thereby the Majority of the population.

The demographic dimension of the conflict plays in weight and growth rate of the different groups share the territory That gold tear apart each other ', decisive factor vis-à-vis the central government. Indeed, the essential demographic transition-vector Modernizing societies-not advance it at the same rate if the conflict is registered in the state of demographic forces aussi he plays in the movement (birth mortality, migration ...) or objects That thesis differentiates populations, Especially Their birth [1] .

First, the MOST simple question: What demographic groups weigh today DESPITE the official Silence (census, vital statistics, surveys ...) Estimates abound more than 40% Minority According To Some very generous Estimates, much less According To Bear All which leads to 27%.

This "numbers game" would-have ended at this spot if It Had not Degenerated into various factions Between open of the population conflict. Overshadowed by the dominant ideology of the nation-state Syrian community demographics [2] HAS perked up, as under the French mandate (1920-1944), Have you HAD split time Syria confessional states, community or regional: Alawite, Druze, Sanjak of Alexandretta, and has odd state of Damascus and Aleppo State.

Sunnis, dominant demographically, politically Dominated

Demography and power are cantilevered overhang, Sunni Arabs (73% of the population) living since 1963 a position of political eclipse. But is it really a group? Rather a heterogeneous urban rural regionalist composite aggregate, Bedouin, no real frame Effective destruction of the the party of the Muslim Brotherhood in 1982 Have you HAD beens very success-without-rally the Sunni Syria.

The years 2011-2012 May initiate a semblance of reunification, in the wake of a War That for the first time spares no average Sunni-dominated cities and symbolically close the two capitals, Damascus and Aleppo, long time rivals.

HOWEVER, the Syrian government is no shortage of interest em maintain maintenance groups, the business community to the underworld through the souk of Damascus, more Recently, of Aleppo, All which are required. Allegiances are never obvious, there is not perfect congruence Between the Syrian Sunni and opposition to the diet.

Kurds, demographic Minority Dominated politically

What about minorities? In the lack of a real national unity, the government is Trying to aggregate the Alawite hard core. This is a demographic imperative to strong political and military connotations.

Kurds, Have you make up 8% of the population (some ranks Estimates up to 10%, making it the first country to Minority Alawite) Mainly Sunni (95%), do not play the Sunni card, but not lean to the side as That power has Deprived of much of em What They Consider to be Their national rights, the recognition of Their language, odd for large sections of the population, the Syrian nationality.

In 1962 a "census" of the Kurdish-speaking area Mainly Jazeera, resulted in depriving Syrian nationality 120,000 Kurds now Considered Foreigners. More than 300,000 stateless Kurds living in Syria to the promulgation of the decree of April 2011 return of Syrian nationality to Kurds . A gesture to rally to the question of power Effective Decades of ostracism, intended only 6,000 People were benefited.

Attitude Contrasted other minorities

As Those of Christians, Druze effective, Concentrated in the Jabal Druze (Soueida governorate) are grossly overvalued. 500,000 or 700,000, against less than 400,000 Actually This is partly due to the imprecision of counting Expelled Golan Druze partner after the 1967 Arab-Israeli war .

The ambivalence Encountered Among the Kurds or Christians is found in 'em. Minority The reflex to push the edge with other minorities, purpose long argument with successive Governments-have occurred since independence That Until the stroke of 1963 and the ouster of the Druze army officers encourage mistrust vis-à-vis the Authorities.

The Druze of Syria-from MOST of Mount Lebanon Effective Their forced migration in the eighteenth century, Lack of a national leadership, They are partly in the person of Lebanon Walid Jumblatt, leader of the Lebanese PSP, a Druze All which is very Encouraging His co -religionists across the border to refuse to serve in the army and security services.

Archi-for minorities, with the point of view Few demographic, political preferences are mixed aussi. This Will Turkmen, most is Opponents have Sunni Turkic and in symbiosis with Turkey, the Twelver Shi'ites, more in tune with Iran and Its ally Syria.

Ismaili Shia Twelver not, Would moderately-close to power. Circassians, non-Sunni Arab Originating Caucasus, sccm Rather neutral in the conflict. Goal Their discomfort is reflected in the fact That Some Consider the "return" in "Russia".

Ultimately, Minority Dominated thesis, if agrégeait Their staff, Would meet halfway power and the opposition goal by no means clustering strength for a decisive Neither the one nor the other.

Alawites: a politically dominant Minority population

The Alawites, in turn, are the Minority in power or That the power Does not matter. MENTIONED As above, religious and political circles do not overlap completely. And in the same way That power HAS managed to retain Many Sunnis, the opposition Also has Alawite prestigious personalities.

Alawites are integral with Syria, aim Their presence beyond the Syrian context. More than 400,000 Arab Alawites (not to be confused with the 15 million Alevi Shia Turkic) live in Turkey Nearly 100,000 in Lebanon, paradoxically the only country em All which grants an official recognition, civil status and parliamentary representation as Alawites. HOWEVER, Turkey and Syria, They Are Officially Muslims, goal can not claim Their precise confession.

The topical revived interest attached to Their religion. Twelver Shia Islam After the, it is remote from icts syncretic Trinitarian initiatory character. The Alawites believe in the transmigration of souls (metempsychosis) All which is not without effect on Their low fertility as in-Druze , mosques happen, tolerate alcohol, do not veil Their women, etc. .., Has ostracized by official Islam.

HOWEVER, since 1936 and Especially since 1973, the Alawites are Trying to fit into the lap of the official Shiite Islam or Sunni. Their Purpose more than religion, it is Their asabiyya That wrought in the fourteenth century by Ibn Khaldun concept, valuing the social Where network links are overdetermined by family affiliation, clan or community, They are distinguished from other Syrians. This asabiyya WAS sharpened by Their history of conflict with the central government, Saladin to the Ottomans through the Mamluks, the fiercest Opponents.

A story made Socioeconomic oppression aussi That Would quicken Their solidarity. Only the French mandate, and for a brief period (1922-1936), Attempted to join the central government, with very mixed-Granting em by the "State of the Alawites 'success. Little consolation, since this entity, According To the geographer Etienne Vaumas, WAS "cut off from the rest of the world ... a conservatory Sentenced to one to be slow decline Which Was Not sure less society " .

This prior to the 1963 hit prehistory, it Remained much resentment. Alawites-have preserved the memory of Their fathers, sharecroppers in the feudal lords of the plain and Especially the Sunni city of Hama symbol. Also the Girls That are "sold" as maids, the bourgeois and petty-bourgeois cities of Latakia, Damascus, Aleppo to Beirut.

Only vehicle for social mobility, the Baath party and the military profession. This Was Primarily the result of the French mandate, or recruited All which, Without any proportional relationship with Their population, Alawites in His presence battalions Levant That Was perpetuated Effective independence. Military demographics shows That in 1955, 65% of NCOs Were Alawites and the Military Committee, in load of recruiting in military academies in Their Hands. Goal Majority of the officers Remained Sunnis.

From 1963 to 1970, the power Will Strengthen Their positions in the unit and the army crescendo Until the stroke of 1970, before the strong corrections in between 1970 and 1997 When 61% of the labor force military Officials and security Alawites and Sunnis Were 35 %.

Movement Socioeconomic patch

The "corrective movement" committed in 1970 Ideological (Abandoning the reference to socialism), political and military, Reviews another movement born Socioeconomic fix long-term, the effects of a strong All which leave imprint on statistics, the census of 2004, PARTICULARLY.

Rural before independence more than 97%, Alawite populations Dominated since 1990, the coastal towns: 55% Latakia, Tartous 70% to 65% in Banias, cities, under the French mandate, Were still Sunni strongholds (about 78%). Rise of the Alawites in the military, security services, civil service, state enterprises and, more Recently, in the private sector, aussi em assured a strong presence in Damascus, Homs, Hama, but not in Aleppo. Access to the city administration, education, Including university (with a system of positive discrimination for scholarships abroad) gave a boost to Their mobility in the social scale.

Rent position and profit generated Alawites perfectly clear data from 2003-2004. Their standard of living is higher than frankly Elsewhere (except in the capital), the monthly per capita expenditure Reached 3,310 Syrian pounds (just under 40 euros today) in the coastal area , for 2170 only in Aleppo governorate.

All indicators are in the same management aussi: low proportion of assets in agriculture, a sector with low productivity, low rates of adult illiteracy, female Especially, low proportion of girls 5-24 years non-educated, and finally a stronger feminization of non- -agricultural labor, and Another significant criterion of modernity.

The state HAS aussi Provided more generously coastal governorates electricity, drinking water, sewage systems. These statistics do not mean That the Alawite-have all wealthy Become Transformed are landless or small or big bourgeoisie: there are naturally more of a town or city neighborhood poor Alawite . Goal on average, the area HAS Experienced unparalleled growth.

Risks transitions at two speeds

Alawites are not the only ones to know over the years the erosion of Their birth rate, secured by this demographic transition Druze (well Represented by the governorates of Quneitra and Soueida) and Christians (scattered across the country.) In 2004, the average number of children per woman in the coastal area HAD fallen to 2.1, the threshold for generation replacement (1.8 in Druze and Christians Among Both).

The same year, and to retain only the Places that made the headlines by the intensity of the fighting, fertility WAS 3.8 children per woman in Aleppo (almost twice), 3.1 in the Periphery Rural Damascus, Hama 3.5 to 3.1 in Homs, Idleb 5.1 to 6.2 at Deir el Zor. Dera'a A, Have you Inaugurated the bloody series, It was 4.6.

This two-speed transition Means That the Majority population, already very large, is Supplied in addition to a plentiful flow of births and Increasing, Where the Minority or minorities (with the notable exception of the Kurds)-have Their births s' atrophy and decline .

In a context of conflict, the transposition of demographic figures military figures is automatic: all years, 18 years or a little more, young people from the Majority Will Arise more and more in the army, opposite the odd That Minority youth are less Numerous. The youth bulge Syrian, the youth bulge in the age of entry into the army, is only the case for the Majority. Between 1963 and 2012 Were Their numbers Multiplied by 5.3 in the Sunni Majority, drank only 2.4 in the Shiite Minority.

The impossible partition

Before this protracted conflict, Some come to think the last resort That Would Be the partition of the country and the establishment of an Alawite mini-state, a Reduced or fold area in the Coast area-a novelty in the area, Lebanon Where HAS Experienced sixteen years of civil war and managed to escape the partition, as well as Iraq Despite The Kurdish autonomous region.

Purpose it is Mainly demographic Reasons That Make thesis chimerical projects. In 2012, the 'Reduced' Alawi HAS 1.8 million Inhabitants. Its population is divided into 1,200,000 665,000 Alawis and non Alawites, Sunnis Whose 340,000, The Most Exposed population transfers in case of Worsening of the conflict. Other Communities of the two governorates of Lattakia and Tartous, Christians and Ismailis are less Exposed.

Purpose apart from thesis two governorates, Syria Has an Alawite million, Almost as much as Latakia and Tartous. For the MOST part, now deeply rooted They Are In Their places of life and maintain maintenance along No. That tenuous links with villages Their Hometowns gold. These impressive figures show Any excess of a cutting Syria, unimaginable Because of icts mix of populations.

Youssef Courbage

To read on the subject, Youssef Courbage: Christian and Jews under Islam (with Philippe Fargues, Tauris, 1998), "The population of Syria reluctant to transition (population)," Baudoin Dupret in Youssef et al Courbage,. Syria to the present , reflecting a company (Paris, Actes Sud, 2007).

Other authors: Jacques Weulersse, Land of Alawites (Tours, 1940); Etienne Vaumas, ". Jebel Ansarieh Eudes of human geography ", Journal of Alpine Geography (1960) Hana Batatu, Syria's peasantry, the descendants of icts lesser notables, and Their politics , (Princeton UP, 1999); Fabrice Balanche, the Alawite area and the Syrian government (Karthala, 2006).

[1] Throughout this country of 21.6 million people, the demographic transition stalled. DESPITE the rapid decline in infant mortality (18/1000), fertility remains high and constant, with 3.5 children in the survey on the health of the family in 2009 All which is Syria's large largest Arab country the fertile most (70% more than Tunisia, 60% more than Morocco, two times more than Lebanon). With phenomenal regional differences: the governorates of minorities, Latakia and Tartous, or That of Soueida, Where fertility is now very low, do not grow at the rate of 1.6%, against 2.5% a year for the rest of the country. Back to Article

[2] During the Ottoman era, the population of Syria WAS IDENTIFIED BY religion. Muslim (irrespective detailed confessions), Christian (detailed confessions) and Jewish Under the French mandate, the precise censuses MENTIONED confession. Subsequent censuses in 1947 and 1960 Gave the religion, but not the Specific confession habit That Was abandoned with the 1970 census. Marital status, HOWEVER, HAS Continued long to mention the religion for Muslims and Christians, Adding to Their em detailed confession.

Current Estimates are based on population projections from historical data, assessments by specialists Syrian medium (Balanche, Vaumas, Weulersse) and imputations of Some demographic parameters from regional data (eg Latakia and Tartous governorates for the Alawites, Druze of the Soueida for). We therefore reasonable orders of magnitudes load, aim by no means clustering irrefutable 100% as the figures Could Be Those of censuses Would mention the detailed confession or mother tongue.

Youth Bulge: A Demographic Dividend or a Demographic Bomb in Developing Countries?

Justin Yifu Lin World Bank 2012-01-05

The youth bulge is a common phenomenon in Many Developing Countries, and in Particular, in the Least Developed Countries. Often it is due to a race of development Where a country achiever success in Reducing infant mortality goal mothers still-have a high fertility rate. The result Is That a Broader share of the population is children and young adults profit of $, and today's children are tomorrow's young adults.

Figures 1 (a) - (b) Provide Some illustrative examples. Dividing the world into more and less Developed groupings (by UN definitions) Reveals a wide difference in the age distribution of the population. The share of the population in the 15 to 29 age bracket is about 7 percentage points higher for the world than the less Developed Developed more areas. In Africa (both Sub-Saharan and North Africa), we see about 40 percent of the population That is under 15, and Nearly 70 percent is under 30 (Figure 1 (a)). In a decade, Africa's share of the population Between 15 and 29 years of age May reach 28 percent of icts population. In Some countries in "weak situations" (by World Bank definitions) Almost three- quarters of the population is under 30 (examples in Figure 1 (b)), and a wide share of 15-29 year olds Will Persist for Decades to come (Figures 1 (c) and (d)).

Source: Author's calculations based on data from United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011). World Population Prospects. The 2010 Revision Medium fertility scenario is used for the 2050 projections.

In a country with a youth bulge, as the young adults enter the working age, the country's dependency ratio-that is, the ratio of the working age population non-working age population to the-will decline. If the Increase in the number of Individuals working age can be fully employed in productive activities, other things equal Being, the average level of income per capita as a result Increase shoulds. youth bulge The Will Become a demographic dividend. HOWEVER, if a broad cohort of young people can not find Satisfactory employment and earn income, the youth bulge Will Become a demographic bomb, Because a broad mass of frustrated youth is Likely to Become a potential source of social and political instability ¹ . Therefore, one basic measure of a country's success in turning the youth bulge into a demographic dividend is the youth (a) employment spleen. Unfortunately, the recent Record has not-been favorable. While unemployment rates are naturally higher for young people, Given Their limited work experience, double digit unemployment rates presented in Figure 2 are the worrisome. Typically, the Prevailing youth unemployment rates are about twice the rate of the general workforce. The position in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and in the countries of Europe and Central Asia is PARTICULARLY troubling: youth unemployment is on the order of 20 percent or higher odd. In addition, informality is more prevalent Among youth in MENA, so odd for Those Who are employed, there May be problems with job quality ² .

Source:. WDI and ILO Global Employment Trends for Youth Two lines for MENA in recent years are for the separate sub-regions of the Middle East and North Africa by ILO definitions.

East Asian economies-have-been ble to turn to the youth bulge into a demographic dividend. Take the Republic of Korea as an example. Over the past forty years, the dependency ratio Declined Substantially in Korea (Figure 4 (a)). In addition to dramatic and rapid GDP growth Increases in average wages, youth unemployment has-been below 12 percent and Often in the single digits in recent years (ILO data Cited above.) The same is true for China. Its dependency ratio Followed a pattern similar to Korea's (Figure 1 (a)). Since initiating event events Economic Reforms since the late 1970s, China has-been ble to generate millions of new jobs while relocating as young workers from lower productivity agricultural activities to higher productivity manufacturing-all without experiencing high Among the youthful unemployment Labour Force Survey. Decades In recent, countries in North Africa-have also experienced dramatic Declines in the dependency ratio (Figure 3 (b)); HOWEVER, as we saw above (Figure 2), youth unemployment has-been a severe problem.

Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: the 2010 Revision.

The Traditional Policy Response: Prepare the Youthful Supply of Labor

. The conventional approach for dealing with youth bulge is to make young people job ready The idea is That young people's skills - or more Broadly, human capital-needs to be Increased to Enhance Their productivity in the Labor market. The 2007 World Development Report, Development and the Next Generation, lays out the policy agenda by Focusing on five key life transitions: learning, work, health, family, and citizenship. Three "lenses" are used to focus the policy debate: opportunities, capabilities and second chances. Basic skills and access to secondary and tertiary education, for example, are needed to create Opportunities, while capabilities to make the right decisions for Seizing opportunities can be enhanced through better information, access to credit and other factors. On the other hand, When outcomes are negative-for example, poor decisions lead to low levels of education or exposure to communicable diseases, young adults need access to services can help That May re-start 'em Their Economic and personal lives. Emphasized The 2007 WDR Both the skills upgrading and the institutional setting for Improving Economic outcomes for young people.

The above discussions Provides a framework for Mitigating Useful youth unemployment issue from the supply side, HOWEVER, Labor demand for services is essential for absorbing new entrants to the workforce. Such a shift in demand can only be Achieved by a dynamic change in Economic structure. Countries That Have Been successful in this regard move from a high share of employment in agriculture Towards an Increasing share of manufacturing in employment first and Then Gradually to the services sector in the post industrialization race. Generally, this structural change is Accompanied by rural-urban migration, and it starts Usually in Labor intensive manufacturing. On an aggregate level, one can look at the sectoral shift out of agriculture and into industry and services - Both in terms of value-added and employment. For example, Egypt in 1980 Review: Review: had a GDP per capita (in constant 2005 PPP dollars) of $ 2,400, while China Was Only at $ 524 and Korea WAS already ten times higher at $ 5500 (WDI data). Egypt HAS HAD only Slightly higer share of agriculture in GDP and emploi, Compared to Korea, HOWEVER, this structure Largely stagnated in the case of Egypt in the ensuing Decades (Figures 4 (a) and (b)). Meanwhile, China now with a GDP per capita of $ 6,800 (2005 constant PPP) HAS lower share of total agriculture value added and the share in employment HAS Declined Continuously. Was more micro level, countries like Korea-have Then Moved up the industrial ladder to more sophisticated and more capital intensive goods, as capital HAS Accumulated with high investment rates over time ^3. Throughout this process, shifting demand Labor Creates Opportunities for working age population to be employed in jobs moving from lower productivity to higher productivity Sectors Sectors.

Source: World Development Indicators

The youth unemployment issue has-been in the news with respect to the "Arab Spring." Many youth protesting in the streets-have Relatively high education levels. A recent World Bank report ⁴ finds for oil importing countries That in the Middle East and North Africa, government sector employment is oversized relative to other middle-income countries, while oil-Exporters -have a high growth sector - oil output-that is not Labor intensive. Concludes The report "... the number jobs created in the last decade WAS considerably less than the number needed to address key challenges,: such as high youth unemployment, low Labor force participation rates, Especially Among women, and fast-growing Labor forces. " ⁵ The emerging new leaders in the Middle East and North Africa are acutely aware of the pressing need to tackle youth unemployment. Indeed, the WDR 2013 on jobs , All All which is Being Drafted Being now and is shared in outline form with diverse stakeholders, Will grapple with this issue, Among Others.

How the New Structural Economics (NSE) and the Growth Identification and Facilitation Framework (GIFF) can help put young people to work

A successful development strategy That Will Facilitate the structural exchange and create job Opportunities for Youth can be based upon the principles outline outline outlined in the New Structural Economics (NSE) and Its policy implementation via the Growth Identification and Facilitation Framework ⁶ . highlights That The NSE has country's Economic structure is endogenous to icts endowment structure, HOWEVER, the government has to play Needs role in the process of structural change Facilitating and this role Needs to be structured According To Clearly defined principles.

First, for an economy to be competitive in Both the domestic and international market, it shoulds follow icts comparative advantage, as Determined by icts endowment structure. In the early stage of development, the economy HAS Sectors That Will Be comparative advantage Labor intensive or resource . Examples include light manufacturing, smallholder agriculture, fishing and mining. Only A Few activities like mining are Likely to be capital intensive in this early stage. In the later stages of development, the competitive sector Will Become increasingly capital intensive, as capital accumulates Malthus changing the country's endowment structure. In the industrial upgrading Towards more capital intensive infrastructure Production Needs to be Improved for for reduce Simultaneously to the firms' transaction costs, and there is a clear role for government to play in this regard.

SECONDLY, if a country follows the above principle, icts factor endowment upgrading Will Be fast (due to wide profits and a high return to investment) and Its industrial structure shoulds be upgraded accordingly. Entails The upgrading information (for example, All All which new industries to invest), coordination (improvement in "hard" (eg, transport) and "soft" (institutional) infrastructure), and externalities (Useful information generated by "first movers"). Involve All of These aspects externalities or public (semi- public) goods the market That Will not Automatically resolve it icts own. Needs The government Facilitating role to play in the private sector help Overcome thesis issues in order to Accomplish accounting achieve dynamic growth.

A practical approach for the government to operationalize the NSE is laid out in the six steps of the Growth Identification and Facilitation Framework. Without getting into all the details, the six steps are: (i) IDENTIFY the list of tradable goods and services That Have Been Produced for about 20 years in dynamically growing countries with similar endowment structures and a per capita income That is about 100 percent higher than Their Own (ii) Among the industries'm His list, the government give priority to May Those in Which Some domestic private firms-have already Entered spontaneously, and try to Identify the Barriers That Are Preventing thesis firms from upgrading the quality of Their products or the Barriers That limit entry to Those industries by other private firms, (iii) some of Those industries in the list completely Call Call May be new to domestic firms, and the government ADOPTED Could Specific Measures to encourage firms in the higher-income countries in the first step APPROVAL to invest in industries thesis (iv) pay close attention to shoulds to Governments to successful self discoveries by private enterprises and Provide Support to scale up Those industries, (v) in developing countries with poor infrastructure and an unfriendly business environment, the government can invest in industrial parks or export processing zones and make the Necessary improvements to lavish domestic private firms and / or foreign That firms willing to invest May be in the Targeted industries, and (vi) the government May Also Provide limited incentives to domestic pioneer firms or foreign investors That Work Within the list of industries Identified in step 1 in order to compensate_for_errors the non-rival, public knowledge created by Their New investment.

As above data reveal, the youth bulge phenomenon demographic Will Be significant year in developing countries, and Especially in Sub-Saharan African countries, in the coming decades. While it is significant to Increase the employability of young people Themselves, it also essential to Facilitate structural dynamic exchange to create jobs for youth. By doing so, the youth bulge can be Transformed into a demographic dividend, and the demographic bomb can be defused.

[1] World Bank, World Development Report 2011: Conflict, Security, and Development . Washington, DC ..

[2] See World Bank, 2011, " Striving for Better Jobs: The Challenge of Informality in the Middle East and North Africa . "

[3] There are Numerous studies on the productivity of Korean firms. One recent paper studies the pattern of productivity catch-up Between Korean and Japanese firms: Moosup Jung Keun Lee, Kyoji Fukao and "Total Factor producitivity of the Korean Firms and Catching Up with the Japanese Firms, "Seoul Journal of Economics, 2008, Vol. 21 (1).

[4] World Bank, 2011, "Striving for Better Jobs:. The Challenge of Informality in the Middle East and North Africa"

[5] Ibid, page 48.

[6] See Justin Yifu Lin, " New Structural Economics: A Framework for Rethinking Development, "World Bank Research Observer, no. 2, Vol. 26 (September 2011), p. 193-221, Justin Yifu Lin and Celestin Monga, "Growth Identification and Facilitation: the Role of State in the Process of Dynamic Growth", Development Policy Review, Vol. 29, No. 3 (May 2011), p. 264-290, and Justin Yifu Lin, 2012 New Structural Economics : A Framework for Rethinking Development and Policy, Washington, DC: World Bank.

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Posted by jcdurbant

Palestine / UN: They removed the star from the Jordanian flag and all of a sudden we were Palestinians (It's the continuation of war by other means clustering is zionism, stupid!)

December 5, 2012

All persons Who Were born in foreign countries, in descending Any degree Whatsoever, a French or French expatriates Because of religion, natural Declared French and enjoy the rights attached to That quality if They Come in France, there fix Their home, and lend the civic oath. (...) (...) The fugitive Protestants and others Whose property was Confiscated Because of religion, and Their heirs are Entitled to collect goods That ares currently in the hands of farmers to Their servants Governed. law of 15 December 1790

The descendants of the Proscribed falling on the revocation of the Edict of Nantes families continue to benefit from the provisions of the Act of 15 December 1790 goal only if a special order the for each application covered. This decree Shall be effective for the future. Act of 26 June 1889

Want and hear the edict of the late King of glorious memory, Our Most honored lord and father, April 23, 1615 be Executed in our islands, in so doing, order all our officers to hunt out of our islands all the Jews Who Have Their residence, established, All which, as the Declared enemies of the Christian name, we leave in order to three months from the date of publication hereof, under penalty of confiscation of body and goods. Black Code (Article 1, March 1685)

A truncated West Germany After the Second World War HAS absorbed rehabilitated and no less than 9.7 million Displaced people. Early Austria received 178 000 Hungarian Refugees Following the Hungarian Revolution of 1956. Collected 585,000 Italians Italy HAS Moved from the territory ceded to Yugoslavia and various parts Africa. of France Gave permanent asylum to 1.4 million Refugees (Including Algerian Muslims) Displaced by the emergence of new sovereign states in North Africa and Indochina. The Netherlands, small and crowded, and integrated hosted 230,000 Refugees from Indonesia. HAS Turkey Turks resettled 150,000 Expelled by the diet in communist Bulgaria. Julius Stone (Self-determination and the Palestinian Arabs ", in I. Howe and Gershman C. eds., Israel, the Arabs and the Middle East, 1972)

What amazes me is MOST That Effective 50 years the right to return is always a problem maintained by the wide number of Palestinians still in refugee camps. Why are they still there after 50 years? was personal level, my family and I, along with millions of others, Have Lost Their land and property as a result of the partition of India in 1947. We were Refugees. Indian and Pakistani Governments-have Provided little help, goal Especially The Refugees Themselves, Some Time Effective,-have recreated a new life. There are no refugee camps Either one of the two sides of the Indo-Pakistan border filled with millions of people Claiming Their right to return. Deepak Lal ("In Praise of Empires, Globalization and Order", 2004)

Mass conversions to Greek and Roman times to remove Any ethnological meaning Judaism, and cut Any physical link (but not spiritual) with Palestine [...] Most of the Jews of Gaul or Italy, are the product of These conversions. The Jews of the Danube basin, or the South of Russia, They probably Descended from the Khazars. These regions Contain Many Jewish people probably Have you-have nothing to do, ethnological points of view, with the original Jews. Ernest Renan ("Judaism as race and religion, "1883)

The vast Majority of the fellahin do not originate from Arab invaders, That purpose before, Jewish fellahin Who Were the Majority of the countries are. Yitzhak Ben Zvi (second president of the State of Israel, 1929)

JSS News

May 27, 2011

September fast approaching, the item you read, written by "Durandal" April 10, 2006 for the late blog 'enpleindanslmille.blogspot.com "Seemed Sufficiently comprehensive and Documented for not taking the risk of seeing disappear Permanently. It is a scathing and well argued in the shameless propaganda That HAS Become the new history of the world to answer in 1984 . Happy reading, and Shabbat shalom to all. - Gally

False "ancient roots"

Supporters of the "Palestinian cause" singing with a vengeance That Arabs "Palestinians" live for "Thousands of years" in "Palestine."

Alongside Arabs Jews in this area for Thousands of years, this is true. HOWEVER, They Have Never Lived in the Land of Israel Itself, They Were, established in the south and east. Arabs in issue are the Nabataeans, an ancient nation of camel- merchants.

These Arabs are from Northern Arabia. They emigrated to the territory of Edom (now Negev desert) 350 years BCE. Their WAS city Petra, the ancient capital of Edom Located midway Between the Dead Sea and the Gulf of Aqaba.

Gradually the Negev WAS known to Nabataea. With Their caravans from one oasis to Another, Quickly icts people extended Their Economic impact in the Sinai, is the current Jordan, southern modern Syria and northwestern Arabia.

Here is a map of the Nabataean civilization (taking into account the red hand That Does not Necessarily corresponds to the area inhabited by the Nabataeans, aim the center of their business).

The next map shows the overland trade routes of the Nabataeans. altho Frequently Their caravans crossing the Land of Israel, It was inhabited by Jews and Samaritans.

During the war of the Jews against the Hellenic in 166-142 BC. AD, Jews and Nabataeans Were allies.

The Nabatean kingdom ended in 106 AD When the Nabataea WAS Conquered by the Romans Have you make it a province of Their empire.

During the 2nd, 3rd and 4th centuries, the Nabataeans Were converted to Christianity.

During Their History, the Nabataeans the Jews have never mittal Inhabitants of the Land of Israel, They coexisted next goal was to em separate territory. Some other cards of the Roman province of Arabia:

As can be seen on the maps, the Nabataeans not be, established west of the Jordan. HOWEVER, They-settled east of the Jordan and the Dead Sea. Jews attacked This is the Nabataeans living in Perea and Moab in 90 BC. AD and converted (force) much to Judaism. In 32-31 BC. BC, the Jews-have attacked This is the Nabataeans, this time Decapolis and Ammon.

The "Palestinian" Arabs are not millennia of "Palestine" people.

Arab-Muslim conquest

The Arabs, in the context of Islamic conquests, Seized the Land of Israel in 638, the despoiling of Their Inhabitants Jews and Christians.

Many sources (Including several Arab) confirm the fact That the Land of Israel WAS still in the Judeo-Christian population and culture DESPITE the Jewish diaspora and Islamic domination:

- The historian James Parker wrote: "During the first century the Arab conquest Effective [640-740], the caliph and governors of Syria and Earth [Holy] Ruled Entirely on Christian and Jewish subjects. Listed except Bedouins in the early days [of the Arab kingdom], the only Arabs west of the Jordan Were the garrisons . "
- In 985 Arab Muqaddasi the author complained That " in Jerusalem, the vast Majority of the population is Jewish " and Said That " the mosque is empty of worshipers ... " .

Altho the Arabs Ruled the Land of Israel from 638 to 1099, They Never Became the Majority of the population. Most of the Inhabitants Were Christian (Assyrian and Armenian) and Jews.

Everyone Will AGREE That the Arabs do not prospered more falling on the Crusader period from 1099 to 1289.

The Ottoman era

The second period of Islamic rule is the only Remaining Muslims Who Want to Say That a broad Arab-Muslim nation was in. the Holy Land before the Jews come recreate Their state.

Let's see if the Jews Seized a "well-, established country, populated and green" returning to the Land of Israel as the Arabs say Nowadays. All travel accounts and reports on the state of Israel of That era attest INSTEAD of an empty area of the . Ottoman Empire Here is what Many People Who Have Traveled to this area we found:

- Ibn Khaldun, one of the MOST credible Arab historians, wrote in 1377: "The Jewish sovereignty over the land extended over 1400 years ... It was the Jews Have you Implanted the Culture and customs in there Being Permanently installed" . After 519 years (not consecutive) of Muslim rule in the Land of Israel, Ibn Khaldun HAS certified That The Jewish Culture and traditions Were still dominant.

- Edward Webbe in 1590 : "There is nothing to Jerusalem except the old walls" .

- Henry Maundrell in 1697 : Nazareth, "a tiny town and unimportant" Jericho, "a shabby and dirty town" , Acre, "desolation" .

- British archaeologist Thomas Shaw in 1738 : the Holy Land "EMPTY, desolate and destitute, missing people " .

- Count François Volney in 1785 : "We-have trouble Recognizing Jerusalem, there are Approximately 12,000 residents. The country is desolate and ruined. "

- Comments by Christians in the 1800s : " The Arabs can not be Regarded as anything aim temporary residents. They Placed Their tents in a ruined country. They created nothing in the Holy Land. Since They are strangers in this land, They Never Became icts masters. "

- Alphonse de Lamartine in 1832 : Apart from Jerusalem, He Did not meet a soul That and the Land of Israel WAS " the tomb of a whole people [the Jews] " .

- William Thackeray in 1844 : " The area is abandoned. We saw no animals moving Among the stones. "

- Alexander Keith in 1844 : "The Holy Land HAS Reached the state of total desolation Described by the prophets. "

- The British consul in the Land of Israel, James Pinn in 1857 : "The country is Almost uninhabited, there is a great need people. "

- British cartographer Arthur Penrhyn Stanley in 1862 : "Neither life nor signs of houses in Judea, one whole distance. "

- Mark Twain in 1867 : "Not a single town in the Jezreel Valley, nothing about 30 miles in 2 directions. 2 or 3 small groups of Bedouin tents, but not a single permanent habitation. You can travel for 10 miles without meeting 10 people . Deserts without soul, EMPTY hills, melancholy ruin of Capernaum, stupid town of Tiberias, buried under six palms. Tabor We arrived at without seeing a soul along the way. Nazareth is sorry, Jericho is in ruins, Bethlehem and Bethany, in Their poverty and humiliation, thesis places do not support has living creature. A desolate country Whose soil is rich enough, Perhaps if It was left to weeds. scope Silent, sad. Scarcely He Has a tree or shrub here and there. Even the olive and the cactus, Those faithful friends of a worthless soil, HAD Almost deserted the country. "

- The U.S. consul in Jerusalem in 1880 reported about the area That Continued to decline: "The population and wealth of" Palestine "has not Increased falling on the past 40 years. "

- BW Johnson in 1892 : "In the hand of the plain Between Mount Carmel and Jaffa one only Sees A Few villages or other forms of human life. Caesarea is now Entirely abandoned. Desolation is all around us. "

- Report of the Royal Commission Columbia in 1913 : " . The area is underpopulated and economically stagnant Remained Until the arrival of the first Zionist pioneers in the late 1880s, Have you cam to rebuild the Jewish land the road from Gaza to the north Was Only a summer track just good for camels and carts. Neither We see orange grove or orchard or vineyard distribution, until we come to the town of Yavne. The houses are mud. No. schools. The eastern portion Towards the sea is Almost deserted. The villages in this area uncommon and are sparingly populated. Many villages are deserted by Their Inhabitants. "

- Dawood Barakat, editor of the Egyptian newspaper Al-Ahram in 1914 : " The Zionists are Necessary for the country : They bring the money, Their knowledge, intelligence and Their industrialization undoubtedly characterizes That Contribute to the regeneration the country. "

So much for the green country and Lived "Invaded" by the Jews. Historical fact under Turkish domination, the land WAS abandoned and depopulated. The earth is populated with Jews and Arabs Both Jews have returned and Began to rehabilitate.

One Arab town WAS built in the Land of Israel: Ramle. All others are renamed by em Jewish towns. The Swiss historian Felix Bovet Noted in 1858: " This is Because the Arabs are not indigenous They are building anything. "

The British Mandate

After the Great War, the British inherited this piece of Defeated the Ottoman Empire. Many quotes from the time show the country WAS sorry That and That there is no entity called Expired "Palestine."

- Hussein Al-Qibla, guardian of the holy places in Saudi Arabia in 1918 : " resources of the country and the virgin soil Will Be developed by the Jewish immigrants. [...] We-have seen the Jews from foreign countries come to " Palestine "Russia, Germany, Austria, Spain, America. [...] They Knew That WAS the country home for His Son, [...] a sacred and beloved homeland. The return of the exiles to Will Prove Their homeland materially and religiously [be] an experiment for Their brothers [other Jews]. "

- Lewis French, the British Director of Development "Palestine" in 1931 : "We found [" Palestine "] inhabited by fellahin [Arab farmers] Have you live in the slums of mud and Suffer Severely Widespread from malaria. Were Large Areas uncultivated. [ ...] There Was Almost no public safety, the fellahin are Constantly Subjected to pillage Their nomadic neighbors, the Bedouin. "

Here is a map of administrative divisions of the area under Ottoman rule. The mention of "Palestine" only Appears nowhere. The Land of Israel is divided into three Sectors, Syria in the east Beirut northwest and southwest Jerusalem.

The Arab representative "Palestine" Declared in 1919: "We believe" Palestine "as share of Syria. "

The Arab leader in the Land of Israel Awni Bey Abdul Haadi Declared in 1937: "There is no country as" Palestine. " Palestine "" is a term the Zionists invented. There is not "Palestine" in the Bible. Our country WAS hand of Syria for centuries. "Palestine" alienates us, it is the Zionists Have you Introduced. "

Professor Philip Hitti, Arab historian, Said in 1946 " There is no such thing as 'Palestine' in history, absolutely not. "

The representative of the Arab Higher Committee to the United Nations Declared in 1947: "The" Palestine "is share of the province of Syria. Arabs living in Palestine Were not independent in the sense That They Did not Constitute a separate entity. "

The representative of Saudi Arabia to the United Nations Declared in 1956: "It is a general knowledge That" Palestine "is nothing but southern Syria. "

King Hussein of Jordan repeated more than once: "There is no distinction Between the Jordan" Palestine. " "

Hafez Assad (Syrian ex-President) said: "There is no" Palestinian people ", there is no entity" PALESTINIAN ". "

Shuqeiri Ahmed (former PLO chairman) said: "The" Palestine "Was never intended anything Southern Syria. "

At That time, the Arabs (and everyone else)-have never raised the issue of a "Palestinian" state for the Arabs Themselves do not require state for a people That do NOT exist!

"Palestine" has never been a country and the very concept of "Palestine" About did not exist in the Ottoman Empire!

The very word "Palestine" (or similar word Designating this area) WAS Hardly used in the Turks and Arabs. There Was No state or "Palestinian" people. Arabs living in the Land of Israel saw Themselves as Syrians or Egyptians.

A pseudo-nation created the aftermath of the Six Day War

"Why the evening of June 4, 1967 I was Jordanian and the next morning I was Palestinian? "

"We Did Not particularly occupied the kingdom of Jordan. The teaching of the destruction of Israel Was an integral portion of the curriculum. Considered We "Jordan" until the Jews returned to Jerusalem-have. Suddenly Then We Were "Palestinians" ... They removed the star from the Jordanian flag and Suddenly We had a "Palestinian flag". "

"The fact is That The" Palestinians "are immigrants from the surrounding nations! My grandfather used to tell us That His town WAS empty before His Father-settled there. "

Walid Shoebat, a form Islamist terrorist PLO, repented and Became a Christian Zionist

Zahir Muhsin, a form member of the Executive Committee of the PLO and the military commander of the training organization, Said in March 1977 the Dutch newspaper Trouw:

" There is no Difference between Jordanians, "Palestinians", Syrians and Lebanese. We are all the same share of nation . It is only for political Reasons Abebooks web EMPHASIZE our identity "Palestinian" carefully. The existence of a distinct "Palestinian" identity reserves only tactical objective. Creating a "Palestinian" state is a new tool in the battle against Israel Continuing. "

And turning to a Pakistani weekly in 2006

"The 'Palestinian people' does not exist. The establishment of a "Palestinian" state is only a means clustering to continue our struggle against the state of Israel for Arab unity. In reality today there is no Difference between Jordanians, "Palestinians", Syrians and Lebanese. Only for political and tactical Reasons, we speak today about the existence of "Palestinians" for Arab Interests requiring the establishment of a "Palestinian" people to oppose Zionism. "

Historical truth: "Palestinian" people and the country "Palestine" did not exist before the Arabs invented from scratch Eventually DESTROY Israel.

This statement May sccm radical goal I Suggest you read the Following article:

Palestinians - "peoplehood" Based on a Big Lie [Myths and Facts]

Here are Some selected passages:

"There is no age-old Palestinian people. Most So-Called Palestinians are relative newcomers to the Land of Israel.
Like a mantra, Arabs claim Repeatedly That the Palestinians are a native people. The concept of a 'Stateless Palestinian people' is not based on fact. It is a fabrication.
Palestinian Arabs cast Themselves as a native people in "Palestine" - like the Aborigines in Australia or Native Americans in America. They portray the Jews as colonizers and European Imperialists. This is simply untrue.
Aerial photographs taken by German aviators falling on World War I show an underdeveloped country Mainly Composed of primitive hamlets. Ashdod, for instance, Was a cluster of mud dwellings, Haifa a fishing village. In 1934 alone, 30,000 Syrian Arabs from the Hauran Moved across the northern frontier into Mandate Palestine, Attracted by work in and around the newly built British harbor and the building of other infrastructure projects. They even dubbed Haifa Um el-Amal ('the city of work ").
The fallacy of Arab claims MOST That Were Palestinians indigenous to Palestine - not newcomers - also bolstered by a 1909 vintage photograph of Nablus, today an Arab city on the West Bank with over 121,000 residents. Based on the number of buildings in the photo taken from the base of Mount Gerizim, the population in 1909 - Muslim Arabs and Jewish Samaritans - Could not Have Been Greater Than 2,000 residents.
Family names of Many Palestinians attest to Their non-Palestinian origins. Just as Jews bear names like Berliner, Warsaw and Toledano, modern phone books in the Territories are filled with families named Elmisri (Egyptian), Chalabi (Syrian), Mugrabi (North Africa .) Even George Habash - the arch-terrorist and head of Black September - bears a name with origins in Abyssinia or Ethiopia, Habash in Both Arabic and Hebrew.
Palestinian nationality is an entity defined by opposition to Zionism icts, icts and not national aspirations. This item is admirably illustrated in the Following historic incident:
"In 1926, Lord Plumer WAS appointed as the second High Commissioner of Palestine. Within the Mandate The Arabs Were infuriated When Plumer Stood up for the Zionists' national anthem Hatikva falling on ceremonies Held in His Honor When Plumer first visited Tel Aviv. When a delegation of Palestinian Arabs protested Plumer's 'Zionist bias,' the High Commissioner Asked if the Arabs he Remained seated When national Their anthem WAS played, 'Would not you regard my behavior as MOST unmannerly?' Met by silence, Plumer Asked: 'By the way, have you got a national anthem? " When the delegation Replied with grief That They Did not, he snapped back, "I think you had better get one as soon as possible". "Aim it Took the Palestinians more than 60 years to heed Plumer's advice, Adopting Anthem of the Intifada two Decades Effective Israel Took over the West Bank and Gaza in 1967 - at the Beginning of the 1987 Intifada. "

Six Decades After the declaration of independence of Israel, We would expect That the Arabs stop playing victims Have you are stealing Their land, but no, the myth Persists. Constantly Reminded We are in the media as "settlers" Israeli "occupy" Judea and Samaria , They steal the property of the "Palestinians" and That They Constantly build new "settlements."

In fact, from 1950 to 1967, more than 250 Arab settlements Were founded in Judea and Samaria and from 1967 to 2002, 261 Were other colonies founded by the Arabs (Including Jerusalem and Gaza). Durand this second period, only 144 "colonies" Were founded Jewish (Including Jerusalem and Gaza).

To date, the Arabs still continues to immigrate Thousands of settlers in Israel. In 1998 Yasser Arafat Said "In five years we will-have six million Arabs living in the" West Bank "and Jerusalem. We can import the Arabs. " The Israeli HAVING allowed on government to Helped 240,000 (but the actual number is probably much higher) 'workers' to enter Arab territories since 1993, the "workers" Remained in the territories and Became settlers.

Gaza Does not count more than 80,000 "native" in 1951. How is it possible, That in just 54 years the population from 80,000 HAS Increased to more than 1.3 million Inhabitants? These Arabs of Gaza are they ble to procreate in a supernatural way? Mass immigration is the ONLY plausible explanation for Such a strong Increase population. Between The Arab occupation in 1948 and in 1967 Was an Advantageous opportunity for Arab leaders. They Favored the mass immigration of So-Called "Palestinians" in Judée-Samarie/Gaza. Immigrants cam from every Arab countries, Mainly Egypt, Syria, Lebanon, Iraq and Jordan.

It is not possible to know the number of Arab settlers in Judée-Samarie/Gaza Have you immigrated since 1952 goal one thing is sure: most overwhelming of "Palestinians" have no inheritance in "Palestine" before the war of independence Israel (and the rest are for the vast Majority of em, no root in the area before 1917 and the Remaining small minority HAD none before the 19th century).

"Palestine" is a Geographical Region, and is Neither a people nor a nation, we can not make a state.

Posted by Gally - JSSNews

> Sources

The True Identity of the So-Called Palestinians [Im Nin'alu] Occupation and Settlement: The Myth and Reality [Front Page Magazine] Zionism and truth: The Case for Jewish State [Objective Information] Politically Motivated Mythology of "Palestine" [Ertz Yisroel] Ancient Nabatean Empire

14/06/2009

I commend online text dotting the i's on Israel and Palestine. Thank you to Karlomann.

The world must come out of Arab lies about Israel.

Emmanuel Navon, professor of International Relations at the University of Tel Aviv, director of a consulting firm

Paper published in the journal overseas Earth # 9 - "Israel Israel" - November 2004 - French Revue de geopolitics.

During the visit of the Israeli president in France in February 2004, the Spokesman for the Elysee Palace Issued a statement to confirm the commitment of France to the Legitimacy of the State of Israel. [1] Four months later, Michel Rocard Said falling on a speech at the Library of Alexandria: "The origin of the Palestine problem is the promised Given by the English Jews to Establish a nation-state. It was a historic mistake. " [2]

These two statements show That The Legitimacy of the State of Israel is not obvious to the French leaders. What would-have-been the reaction of France if the Spokesman of the Israeli Presidency Issued a statement Confirming Israel's commitment to the "Legitimacy" of the French Republic ? And how France Would she react if a train Israeli prime minister HAD Located the origin of the Franco-German war in the establishment of the French nation-state?

Why is Israel the only nation-state continuous Whose Legitimacy to be Questioned?

After all, there are today in the world of States in the recent artificial and unstable times Whose only "contribution" to mankind is in an endless series of wars and ethnic massacres. Goal nobody question the Legitimacy of the Sudan, the Democratic Republic of Congo or Rwanda. This Does not of course mean That thesis states are illegitimate or That It shoulds dismantle all States militarily strong, Historically and Culturally inconsistent dumb. Goal simply that failed states, rogue states and puppet states, Themselves, are not subject to challenge. Instead, the international community HAS Recently Sudan Elected to the Committee on Human Rights of the United Nations, odd though the Khartoum government is perpetrating genocide against Sudanese Christians. As well as Syria, All which supports Shi'ite terrorism and Occupies Lebanon for thirty years is Currently a member of the Security Council ...

Some argue That A state can not be Both Jewish and democratic. This is false.A state can be democratic without full neutrality icts of cultural, ethnic and religious identity. The Jewish state is the only state in the Middle East Arab Where members sit in a parliament democratically Elected and Where Arab judges sitting in courts (Including the Supreme Court) independent of the executive. Promotes Israel, like Many other states, a national identity without discrimination Specific Provided icts Between Citizens, Jews and Arabs. fact That The Israeli Arabs do not Recognize Themselves in the flag and anthem of the country Does not Prevent Them From Being full and Citizens Participate fully in the political life of Their Country. They are Relatively Disadvantaged Culturally and ideologically handicapped Compared to the Jewish Majority Exactly returns the status of minorities in all other democratic nation-states.

One of the foundations of the Jewish state is the Law of Return. Some describe it as Discriminatory and racist Because It Gives only Jews the right to immigrate to automatic and Become Israel Israeli Citizens. Goal there is no discrimination here: Israeli law grants citizenship Automatically to-any child born in Israel to Israeli parents, That They Are Jewish, Arab, Druze and Bedouin. In addition, any, non-Jew can apply for immigration and naturalization. every sovereign country like Israel the right to accept or reject Such a request. There is no country owes That grants automatic citizenship and immigration to Anyone Who Asks.

The principle of repatriation in a nation-state is reconnu by international law. The UN resolution 1947 All which approved the establishment of a Jewish state WAS Intended inter alia to enable Jews to control immigration in Their Own Country. Israel is the only state Maintains That privileged relationships with a wide diaspora and with a "law of return." No Fewer than nine European countries: Austria, Belgium, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Romania, Russia, Slovakia and Slovenia-have laws Granting privileged status to members of Their ethnic group . living outside the country with a foreign nationality For example, the Greek law Assigns special rights "ethnic Greeks" (Article 108 of the Constitution); Greece aussi behind an initiative to offer citizenship to Greek Some 300,000 Albanians of Greek origin living in Albania . Passed Russia a "Law of Return" in 1999: all Russian-born Russian citizen Automatically Becomes at immigration in Russia.

The Council of Europe HAS ADOPTED the recommendations of the "Venice Commission" (about the status of Hungarian Abroad): normalized and preferential relationships Between countries of origin and diaspora are consistent with international law as They Do not infringe the sovereignty of host countries. In other words, Europe Itself HAS Recently legitimized the principles of national and ethnic origin.

The democratic nation-states - Israel and Among Them -. Malthus Promote the Interests of the Majority without Denying the rights of Their (s) Minority (s) Whoever calls the Dismantling of the Jewish state Because the Arabs are in a position of relative Disadvantage disability shoulds, in the name of logic, honesty and common sense, to require all nation-states That Where minorities live and the replacing em with bi-or multinational federations or indifferent strictly by States in this regard, both, Ideological than cultural.

Those of Europeans Have you Say That the Jewish state concept is obsolete, apply the same reasoning goal to Their Own Country, are at least logical. For em, the concept of nation-state That is outdated and must be mittal by the Federation of European post -and supranational. HAS Europe already Reached the training Where the post-national nation, as the nation-state, already belongs to history. Clearly This is not the opinion of the Basques, Catalans, Corsicans, Scots, Walloons and Flemings.

Others prefer to enroll in contradiction. This is the case Arab Knesset member Azmi Bishara All which follows the "critical theory" of the national model of Benedict Anderson: the nation Would not be a "natural given". [9] And all this mean That nationalisms are artificial and illegitimate? "No, ideology and national identity are integral year share of social modernization. myself I am an Arab nationalist. " [10] So criticism Applies only to Jewish nationalism and all nationalisms are equal But Some are more equal than others.

The foundations of the Jewish state

Unlike English or French in Algeria in America, the Jews Were not settlers. They Had No metropolis, Lived as Minority Foreigners in all countries of the world, Representing the Interests of Any colonial power, HAD never been sovereign in the land of Israel and HAD Consider This land never stopped as Their Own. Colonial powers, Moreover's, Were Opposed to the Zionist project and if the British Balfour Declaration published in the 1917 It was to betray Their Commitments in 1922.

The real issue is Whether the emergence of a new ideology or a new nation justified the establishment of a state of the upcoming When Any State infringes the rights of Any Other Nation. The Prevailing opinion in this regard is Clearly yes: No One Would the issue existence of the United States Because Their founders Were Expelled or killed the indigenous Indians. And as for the new state, there is no country All which the establishment of Currently supporting a Palestinian state while the concept of the Palestinian people is recent. Especially the famous thinker Palestinian historian and Orientalism, Edward Said, Recognizes himself: "The Palestinian nationalism is based on the expulsion of the Israelis." [11]

Why Question the Legitimacy of the only Jewish state? Review: The most common answer is That the Jews can not Afford to make a historic "comeback" on the back of the Arabs. do they want a state? Let them settle on a piece of land or Canadian Australian, Will it save us endless conflict in the Middle East. It is understandable, as is the argument That the Jews partner after the Holocaust, They need a pied-à-terre somewhere in the world, goal aussi They Must Understand Abebooks web can not claim ownership of a derelict for so long and busy in the Meantime by new tenants. Leaves to tolerate this "fossil", as Suggested by "jokingly" the historian Toynbee, Either in a natural history museum!

Curiously advanced by Those Who Are at the same time the zealous advocates "right of return" of Palestinians and want anyone Have you has-been Evicted from home His argument must go home, whatever the duration of the exile. Reasoning Malthus Held for the Palestinians, goal not Jews. Besides Those Who declare foreign Jews in the Holy Land do not Consider Either as "real French" or "true Russians." HOWEVER, if the Jews are Foreigners as well as "Palestine" in diaspora, we wonder Where They Will Be at home!

Some illustrious French Realized That the return of Jews to Their Land Was Only fair. Jean Racine "Rejoice, O Sion, and come out of the dust. Leave your clothes captivity. And go back to your first splendor. The ways of Zion are open . at the end Break your chains, captive Tribes; fugitive troops, Iron Mountains and Seas: Gather the ends of the universe "(Esther, Act III, Scene IX).

Jean-Jacques Rousseau "I will never believe if I Heard the arguments of the Jews, They have a free state, schools, universities, Where he can speak and argue without danger. Only Then can we know what he HAS to say "(The Profession of Faith of the Savoyard Vicar).

Napoleon Bonaparte in 1799 to forty miles from Jerusalem: "Wake up Israel It is time to Realize your political independence as a nation Among the nations! ".

Shortly Effective Hitler's accession to power, the Mufti HAD written to the German consul in Jerusalem: "The Muslims in Palestine and Elsewhere welcome the new diet in Germany and Hope that the fascist and undemocratic system s' extended to other countries." [29] He Organized the "Nazi Scouts" on the model of Hitlerjungen. Became The swastika symbol was popular Among Palestinians, as the song: "More Mister, Mister more! Allah in heaven and on earth Hitler! ".. Arab terrorism, supported by Germany, Systematically preyed on Jewish Civilians, Hospitals, theaters, shops and homes Al-Husseini, Have you put Hitler in 1941 cooperated with the Nazi regime: he promised to foment a new pan-Arab revolt in exchange for Effective the independence war and the abrogation of the Jewish national home, he Suggested, for example, the sending Jewish children from Hungary to Poland. [30] Mufti visited Auschwitz and Recounts in His memoirs. "Our prerequisite for cooperation with Germany WAS to get total freedom of Action to Eliminate Any Jew from Palestine and the Arab world I Abebooks web sites Hitler for an explicit commitment Allows us to solve the Following our national and racial aspirations Jewish problem, and in Accordance with modern scientific methods of the Germans. His answer was:! They are yours ". [31] It is al-Husseini Have you coined the terms "al Yahud Itbah" (Kill the Jews ) and "al Yahud Nashrab dam" (We will drink the blood of Jews).

Its close cooperation with the Nazis still growing in the Arab world. Egypt Gave him a political refugee and the Palestinian National Council Elected him as head icts in 1948 It continued to be as great character Palestinian and Arab Arafat continued to Refer to him as " heroes "(interview with al-Quds of 2 August 2002).

After World War II, the people Have you supported the Nazis Were punished for Their crimes. For example, the Sudetenland from Czechoslovakia Were Expelled by the Allies and Germany to feel . The Arabs of Palestine, HOWEVER, Were Entitled to better treatment DESPITE Their common struggle with the Nazis, the UN reconnu Their right to a state with the Partition Plan of 1947, most is of the state, established on 80% of Mandatory Palestine by Britain in 1922. After the Holocaust, six million Jews in All which perished, the right of Jews to a state WAS obvious. Not only for the Jews of Europe Have you survived the camps, goal aussi for Jews from Arab countries Who Were Treated as second-class Citizens (dhimmis) in the diets of Arab apartheid.

We Often Hear That the Holocaust Victims Were Entitled to a state, It was the Germans intended to pay a territorial repair and not the Palestinian Arabs. This argument is specious for two Reasons. First, as I have shown above, the Palestine WAS no more Arab than Jewish, the Arab right to a State WAS reconnu by the partition map (Which They rejected), and there never been a Palestinian Arab state. sovereign Jewish state The last WAS destroyed by the Romans in 70. Second, that 'the Palestinian Arabs -have nothing to do with the Holocaust is wrong completely Call: leader Al-Husseini Nazi war Was a criminal, the Palestinian Arabs sustained Nazi Germany, and They bear a heavy responsibility Their in the genocide the Jewish people.

The Arabs rejected it in 1947, as ten years ago, the partition of the plane A and embarked on a war of extermination against the Jews. The conflict triggered a wave of Jewish and Arab Refugees. 850,000 Jews Were Expelled from the Arab world and 700 000 Fled Palestine Arabs Until Victory, as it called Expired the fraternal countries. admittedly, the Haganah In Some cases Encouraged the departure of the enemy population, goal thesis are the hostilities Caused by the Arabs Who Were the hand because of the process [32].

After Their defeat in 1949, the Arabs Could Establish a state in the West Bank and Gaza, That Was not Their goal goal. They wanted to liquidate the sovereign Jewish state. Where wars triggered by 'em in 1967 and 1973 Six Day War After the , Israel accepted Resolution 242 of the Security Council and the Arab countries rejected the final (Khartoum Conference). As Rightly Said Foreign Minister Abba Eban form, the Six Day War Was the first conflict in history When It Was the winner Have you sued for peace and Have you vanquished the unconditional surrender Demanded year.

Anwar al-Sadat, Have you Had the Courage to take the plunge and accept Resolution 242 aussi saw return all of Sinai, or 90% of the territories the Israelis HAD Seized in 1967.

Arafat, the heir al-Husseini, refuse him to embark on this path. "Recognition" of Israel in Geneva in December 1988 and the ratification of the Oslo agreement through a letter dated September 9, 1993, are at the head of the PLO schemes . Abu Iyad, His right arm, from 11 February 1989 Said to Kuwaiti newspaper al-Watan That There Was No recognition in Geneva. ?On 13 September 1993, the day of the signing of the Oslo agreement, Arafat himself on Jordanian television Means That the objective is to run the Phased Plan ADOPTED by the PLO in 1974, that 'is ie to accept a temporary compromise to destroy Israel by the following. May 10, 1994: Arafat is still explaining to Johannesburg Oslo is a modern version of of the al-Hudaybiya agreement Concluded Between Muhammad and his enemies in 628, is a ploy in a weak position to defeat the enemy better then.

It is Precisely at the height of the Oslo Process Explained Arafat His strategy to Arab diplomats in a hotel in Stockholm January 30, 1996: "The idea is to Eliminate the State of Israel and Establish a Palestinian state ... For Purely psychological warfare and popular explosion we will make life possible for Jews. In five years we will-have six to seven million Arabs in the West Bank and East Jerusalem and the Jews Did not want to live Among the Arabs ... "[34].

Conclusion

The goal of the Jews to Zionism WAS a free people in land and allow icts Their creative genius and culture to Their full potential. Achieved This goal has-beens.

. Goal Zionism HAD Reviews another purpose, HAS All which not beens Achieved Herzl Have you died there Exactly one hundred years, Concludes His book The Jewish State in the Following terms: "I believe That extraordinary generation of Jews Will emerge. Maccabees will rise again. I repeat. Have you want the Jews to a state-have We live as free men on our own soil, and die peacefully in our homes. The World Will Be freed by our liberty, enriched by our wealth, magnified by our greatness. And what we try to do for our own Good Will-have beneficial effects for the rest of humanity. "The Jews Have you want to can live freely on Their Own Land. Goal Some die in peace if in Their homes, others dying in Their houses murdered in cold blood, shredded or die in the street. And altho the Israeli high-tech enrich other peoples and countries, the world is not freed by our liberty and is not enlarged by our greatness.

The State of Israel is Accused of Being a criminal state, to be the main violator of human rights in the world, to be the incarnation of Nazism, and to be the ultimate barrier to peace in the Middle East. The United Nations and the U.S. and European universities, Condemned Israel is boycotted or Any Other Country. Its leaders are in Danger of Being Prosecuted for war crimes.

Actually it is loose and absurd to accuse him of anti-Semitic criticism of Israel. Goal it is dishonest and hypocritical double-standard Measures Applied to criticism of Israel and other countries. Israelis criticize Their country all day long and without mercy. Goal there is a Difference between Criticizing and demonizing. Between saying Sharon That is wrong on This or That decision and compares it to Hitler. Between saying That The Israeli military presence beyond the cease-fire of 1949 is illegal, and the very existence That of the State of Israel is illegitimate. Between saying That the Arab-Israeli conflict must be resolved and That Israel is the case of all evils. Between saying That the policy of Targeted killings of terrorist leaders is cons-productive, and That It is responsible for anti-Semitism in France. It is hypocritical to show the support for the Palestinian Arabs without ever mentioning the Tibetans or Kurds Whose national laws are much more authentic and old and That They Do not play soccer with the decapitated heads of Their victims. It is hypocritical to accuse Israel of war crimes When the army Took defensive or punitive Measures to protect civilian population icts, and close your eyes, ears and mouth on the genocide in Sudan. It is hypocritical to howl of indignation on the "Israeli occupation" and not saying a word about the occupation of Lebanon by Syria, Cyprus by Turkey or Tibet by China. It is hypocritical to come as a human shield for Arafat When the IDF tries to get hold of His protection, and never come as a human shield in front of Israeli cafes and cinemas to Prevent the entry of suicide bombers.

As written by Alan Dershowitz time immediately Effective Arafat rejected all offers of Camp David peace without making against-proposal, and he Effective Responded to peace through war, international public opinion WAS mostly behind Israel. From the moment Arafat feels women and children to be filmed in front of Israeli tanks, international opinion turned back (Especially Effective handling of the "Al-Dura Affair" broadcast by France 2). Goal this same international opinion Was Not happy to fall into the trap of Arafat. Went She literally mad. In Trying to Understand the causes of this irrational and extreme reversal, Dershowitz Concludes That "Israel is the Jewish state and the" Jew "Among the States of the world. "[35] It is no longer" the Jews "are the causes of all evil and the real Responsible for Their Own misfortunes, but "Israel" and "Sharon. "It is no longer" the Jews "who control global finance, but" Sharon and his entourage "who control Bush and the neocons.

Thanks to the Jewish state, the Jews are no along the nation thank you. Aim the Jewish state could HAS not an end to the hatred of the nations Towards the Jews, on the Contrary. idea The Jews That Could Be strong and defend horrified Those Have you are Accustomed to humiliate 'em for centuries. Zionism can not and Will not end the hatred of Jews, hatred Because this HAS nothing to do with the Jews Themselves They aim Represent ideas from Their appearance on the stage of history.

As Announced in the Prophet Isaiah, the day will come When all men brothers Will Be, and the lamb lie down with the wolf (an Israeli joke That adds better off Being the wolf lamb). Goal we are far. And That this prophecy is Fulfilled, the Jews must be free and sovereign. Hence the need of the Jewish state, both, for Jews and for humanity.

-----------------

[1] Le Monde, February 16, 2004.

[2] http://www.proche-orient.info , June 22, 2004.

[3] See Yoram Hazony "? Did Herzl Want a 'Jewish State' "Azure, 9, Spring 2000, p-44-45: Herzl Often used for Jewish Juden noun adjective, eg Judenkongress for Jewish Congress, the use of Both sentences is at home, as DID German indifferent.

[4] Briefe und Tagebücher, Vol. 2, p. 128-129.

[5] The Complete Diaries of Theodor Herzl, Raphael Patai, trans. Harry Zohn, New York, Herzl Press, 1960, p. 56.

[6] Diaries, Ibid., P.72.

[7] Ibid. , P. 104.

[8] August 15, 1899.

[9] See Azmi Bishara, "Between nationality and nation" (Hebrew), Teoria ubikoret 6, 1995 p.41.

[10] Ha'aretz (weekend supplement), May 29, 1998, pp.24, 27.

[11] Atlantic Unbound, September 22, 1999 http://www.theatlantic.com/unbound/interviews/ba990922.htm

[12] See Samuel Katz, Battleground: Fact and Fantasy in Palestine, New York, Bantam, 1973, p.88.

[13] Palestine Royal Commission Report Presented by the Secretary of State for the Colonies to Parliament by Command of His Majesty, July 1937, Cmd. 5479, p.11-12.

[14] The Journey of Henry Maundrell from Aleppo to Jerusalem, 1697, London, Henry Bohn, 1848, p. 428, 450, 477.

[15] See Thomas Shaw, Travels, or Observations Relating to Several Parts of Barbary and the Levant (1694-1751), London, 1754.

[16] See Constantin Volney, Travels Through Syria and Egypt in the Years 1783.1784, 1785, London, Peter Noster & Row, 1788, Vol. 2, p.36.

[17] See Alexander Keith, The Land of Israel, Edinburgh, William Whyte, 1844, p.465.

[18] Letter Harel McLardon, September 15, 1857 British Foreign Office, doc. 78/1294, No. 36.

[19] See Mark Twain, The Innocents Abroad, or, The new Pilgrim's progress, New York, Oxford University Press, 1996, pp. .. 349, 366, 375, 441-442.

[20] See Arthur Penrhyn Stanley, Sinai and Palestine, in connection with Their History, London, John Murray, 1881, p.118.

[21] See Franklin Delano Roosevelt, Provided the Secretary of State, May 17, 1939 in Foreign Relations of the United States: Diplomatic Papers, Washington DC, United States Government Press Office, 1955, Vol. 4, p. 457.

[22] See Arieh Avnery Haityashvut Hayehudit Vetaanat Hanishol, Tel-Aviv, Hakibbutz Hameuhad 1980 p.221.

[23] cf. Ernst Frankenstein, Justice for my People, London, Nicholson & Watson, 1943, p.127.

[24] See Bernard Lewis, "The Palestinians and the PLO: A Historical Approach," Commentary, January 1975. And the same author, "Palestine: On the History and Geography of a Name", in Bernard Lewis, Islam in History, Chicago, Open Court, 1993, p. 153-165.

[25] Palestine Royal Commission Report, op.cit., C. 1, p.6.

[26] See Felix Bovet, Egypt, Palestine and Phoenicia: A Visit to Sacred Lands, London, 1882, p.384-385.

[27] See Yehoshua Porath, The Palestinian-Arab National Movement, 1929-1939: From Riots to Rebellion, London, Frank Cass, 1977, Vol. 2, p. 81-82.

[28] Cited in Alan Dershowitz, The Case for Israel, Wiley, 2003, p.7.

[29] See Benny Morris, Victims History revisited the Arab-Zionist conflict, Editions Complexe, 2003, p. 143 = Righteous Victims A History of the Zionist-Arab Conflict, 1881-1999, New York, Alfred A. Knopf, 1999.

[30] Ibid., P.186.

[31] See Sarah Honig, "Friendish Hypocrisy II: The Man from Klopstock St.," Jerusalem Post, April 6, 2001.

[32] See Benny Morris, The Birth of the Palestinian Refugee Problem, 1947-1949, Cambridge University Press, 1988.

[33] http://www.pmw.org.il

[34] See Ephraim Karsh, Arafat's War, New York, Grove Press, 2003, p. 57-58.

[35] The Case for Israel, p. 11.

Sarah Scholl

For Professor Jacques Ehrenfreund, history is an essential element of the definition of Jewish identity.

December 1, 2012

INTERVIEW Professor Jacques Ehrenfreund • Analyzes the relationship Between Judaism and history and shows how this framework is Deployed in the concepts of "people" or "nation."

It is uncommon That A debate on the Israeli-Palestinian issue to disregard the historical issue and there is no archaeological discovery in the Holy Land escapes advertising. What will it play in the relationship Between Jews and Their History? Between the history of the Jews and the rest of the world?

. Incorporated area of study since the early nineteenth century, Jewish history now fully Has Its Place in universities Last Thursday, a workshop WAS Organized at the University of Lausanne on the question: how do we write the history of the Jews Co- organizer of the event, Professor Jacques Ehrenfreund Does not hesitate to address the issues head on. anxious He Was To Avoid Anachronisms and simplifications. Engaged in Lausanne since 2005, he is a specialist in nineteenth century and Focuses on the building of social groups and identities , linked to religious heritages. Interview.

The history of the Jews is it a separate discipline?

Jacques Ehrenfreund: No, it is of course all share of the general history or the history of religions. Specific It deals with a human group olefins That Itself as a people under a set of texts, Bible and Talmud. Everything fits together: we can not talk about the book without talking about the people and vice versa.

How do you sponds to Those Who Say That the Jews are not a nation goal religion?

Yet it is very clear, Historically Jews are a people, but beware, not a people in the modern sense of the term. nineteenth Before the century, one can not speak of the sovereign people and Jews do not see Themselves as Such as a goal people under God. SPECIFICALLY More, it can be Described as a group of people scattered Have you feel supportive of each other 'and subject to the same law [the sacred texts], an ancient form of political community. Added to this is the idea, supported by law, to be in exile. This, before the Zionist movement Interpreted is Exclusively in the register of religious thought.

Jewish identity is built by it history?

Deep in tradition, Judaism is based on a singular history report. Considered providential It is first finalist, dependent on divine plane. At the starting point there is an alliance with divinity. has commitment to respect rules submit That The set HAS universal vocation to witness to the oneness of God. What happens, the story is seen as evidence of compliance or non-compliance with the commitment of the people to Their God.

Modernity transforms it by bringing out a different conception of history, Interpreted rationally. This path is parallel in Christianity, Christians goal, while Incorporating Many Elements of Judaism,-have abandoned the strictly political or collective aspect, the idea of people.

Then what happens?

Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority Have Been Described as weak, here or there. And it is true They embody a release of the struggle against Israel's existence That Did Not sccm predominant lately.

Purpose do not stop appearances: we can count on the PA president to play icts own partition.

Shoulds and decided to end the speech rehashed over and over again, that 'Abbas and the Palestinian Authority would be nice "moderates" with Whom It Would Be as possible to agree, while Hamas embody the radical evil.' "

Hamas is a jihadist, genocidal Islamist terrorist organization, Advocating the destruction of Israel and the annihilation of the Jewish people is Heard. Goal Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority are they worth more?

They are not Islamists and jihadists, at least not Officially.

They-have-have nothing against terrorism and Continued to practice until, through the security barrier That haste Both European leftists Because Prevents em from enjoying the daily spectacle of Jewish children murdered suicide bombings Become Nearly impossible.

They are genocidal and just wear a different strategy. The demonization of Israel For this They use all means clustering of propaganda Which They Can Develop and use all available channels at Their disposal. And They met through this strategy and thesis relays, With Some success.

Review: The most recent step in this success has-beens Obtained, last Thursday, November 29, to the General Assembly of the United Nations observed state status, a status from Which They Can hope to get more.

They received the assent of two Thirds of the countries in the world, Including MOST European countries, Including France, All which is Placed in leadership.

They can fool Rely on a horde of journalists obediently practicing willful blindness, goal aussi a bunch of hypocrites intellectuals "Zionist" or followers of a "peace process," All which, over the years, s' resulted in a redoubled war against Israel.

They DID, it must be remembered, never reconnu the existence of Israel as a state of the Jewish people and never-have Renounced the "right of return" of "Refugees" left five hundred sixty thousand five he-Have you and want to return five million , Which would mean the end of Israel years.

They never gave up what they call the "resistance" and "armed struggle." And Many streets of Ramallah are called Expired "martyrs."

They are not Islamists and jihadists, of course. goal aussi They are secular and sister and I'm good in Their ranks an organization called Expired, Precisely, the Martyrs Brigade al-Aqsa.

Their media, print, radio, television, continues to appeal to the anti-Jewish hatred and murder.

The speeches of Mahmoud Abbas, like other leaders of the Palestinian Authority, carry a falsification of history That the "Palestinian people", Which Existed and WAS quoted anywhere before late 1960s, Washington forced to flee falling on the rebirth of Israel. They use to designata the birth of Israel, the word nakba, damaged deliberately modeled on the word Shoah, in order to Establish a parallel Between the disgusting fate of the Jews in Auschwitz and the fate of the "Palestinian people".

Neither Abbas nor the Palestinian Authority want a state Alongside Israel. When They Say peace in English, They Use Reviews another word in Arabic, hudna Often, that 'Does not mean peace, purpose Refers to a truce before the fight resumes.

On maps of the Palestinian Authority, Israel does not exist, we icts Either emblem.

That want Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority is not even, probably, a state in place of Israel. They lead Their demolition company and INTEND to continue on this path. They are highly paid and Subsidized for it.

Odd They received with honors in Paris, Washington and Elsewhere, All which is not the case, for the moment, Hamas leaders.

Exists Between em and Hamas leaders an old enmity. Goal there has aussi form of complementarity. Hamas HAS played the villain "radical," and calmed in recent days WAS. Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority are dressed the role of nice "moderate" , and just to appease too. Goal They Are Neither nice nor moderate.

Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority are to Those Who are filled with hatred of Jews and Israel, to build a artifice They try to describe it as presentable.

Purpose Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority are found in reality not far from presentable. They are as vile and hideous as the leaders of Hamas.

They maintained conflicting relationships with the terrorist group, goal if radical Islam continued to spread in the Middle East, and it is very Likely That this is so, I would not be surprised if the two entities closer together to Were.

Finally, see:

INTERNATIONAL LAW AND THE ARAB-ISRAEL CONFLICT

Extracts from "Israel and Palestine - Assault on the Law of Nations"

by Julius Stone

EDITOR: Ian Lacey BA LL.B.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABOUT THE NOVEMBER 2001 EDITION-3

PROFESSOR JULIUS STONE (1907 - 1985) - 4

1. SOVEREIGNTY IN THE TERRITORIES administered ---- 5

The Self-Defence Principle 5

The Status of Competing Claims to Title 6

2. THE LEGAL STATUS OF JERUSALEM 7

The Effect of the Partition Plan-7

The "Corpus Seperatum" Concept ............................................ ............................................ 8

Acquisition of Sovereignty ………………………………………………………………………………………..9

3. THE GENEVA CONVENTIONS AND THE SETTLEMENTS OF THE Legality --- 9

Impairment of Racial Integrity of the Native Population of the Occupied Territory - 10

Inhuman treatment of icts own population - 11

4.GENERAL PRINCIPLES --- 11

An Arab View-11

A Jewish View-11

The Doctrine of Self-determination 12

The Equity Principle - 13

CONCLUSION --- 14

A SHORT CHRONOLOGY OF THE TERRITORIES Administered --- 15

MAPS - 18

The British Mandate 19

The UN Partition Plan, 1947 --- 20

The Armistice Agreement 1949-1921

Cease Fire Lines 1967 --- 22

Israel and Arab Members of the League-23

INDEX-24

ABOUT THE NOVEMBER 2001 EDITION

The legality of Israel's presence in Jerusalem, Judea, Samaria and Gaza has-been the subject of heated argument since 1967. Some look as thesis Areas Illegally occupied, others-have Disputed territories and there is an obvious need for clarity if the subject is to be Discussed rationally in terms of facts Rather than Assumptions.

In searching for authoritative information on the subject, I came across a booklet Entitled "International Law and the Arab Israel Conflict" by Australian lawyer, Ian Lacey, in All All which he brilliantly Analyzes a work by one of the twentieth century's leading Authorities on the Law of Nations, the late Professor Julius Stone,

Professor Stone's book, "Israel and Palestine", Which Appeared in 1980 Provides a detailed analysis of the central principles of International Law Relating to the Arab-Israel conflict and Mr. Lacey's analysis Provides a brief and very readable outline of the main issues with extracts from the original work.

Mr. Lacey HAS Expressed appreciation for the advice and the support of David D. Knoll B.Com., LLB, LLM. Preparing in His booklet. Mr. Knoll is the author of "The Impact of Security Concerns upon International Economic Law"

Ian Lacey is a Practising lawyer and a former student of Professor Stone. He Has Given evidence before the Sub-Committee on the Middle East of the Australian Parliamentary Joint committee on Foreign Affairs and Defence. He is the author of "Zionism - A Short Historical Introduction "and co-editor of a study guide on the Arab Israel conflict.

As Mr. Lacey's booklet is out of print I wrote to him, ask ask asking for permission to distribute and to quote from it freely with Acknowledgment. He Has Agreed kindly express my sincerest appreciation to him and I

I am grateful to Mr. Lacey, Patricia Carmel, Judy Hajag and Saville Kaufman for Producing Their media in this edition.

Maurice Ostroff

PROFESSOR JULIUS STONE (1907 - 1985)

The late Professor Julius Stone WAS Recognised as one of the twentieth century's leading Authorities on the Law of Nations. His short work "Israel and Palestine", Which Appeared in 1980 Represents a detailed analysis of the central principles of international law governing the issues raised by the Arab-Israel conflict. This summary is Intended to Provide a short outline of the main points in the form of extracts from the original work. One of the unusual scholars to gain outstanding recognition in more than one field, Professor Stone WAS one of the world's best-known Authorities in Both Law and International Law. His publications His activities and honors conferred on him The Many are eloquent evidence of high standing in His thesis two fields.

. Professor Stone Was Born in 1907 in Leeds, Yorkshire He taught at Harvard and the Leeds Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy: He Was a visiting professor of Columbia, Berkeley, Stanford and other universities in the United States, as well as the Indian School of International Affairs at Delhi, Jerusalem and at the Hague Academy of International Law. In 1963-1964 He Was a Fellow of the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences at Stanford University.

From 1942 Until 1972 he WAS the Challis Professor of International Law and Jurisprudence at the University of Sydney. From 1972 Until His death in 1985 Professor Stone Held CONCURRENTLY With His appointment as visiting Professor of Law at the University of New South Wales the position of Distinguished Professor of Jurisprudence and International Law at the Hastings College of Law, University of California. In 1956 he received the award of the American Society of International Law, and in 1962 he made an honor WAS life member of the society. In 1964 the Royal Society of Arts named him as a recipient of the Swiney Prize for Jurisprudence. In 1965 he received the Research Award of the World Washington Conference on the World Peace Through Law, the first award ever made.

His major works include the 26 authoritative texts "Legal Controls of International Conflict", "Aggression and World Order", "The International Court and World Crisis" and "The Province and Function of Law".

1. SOVEREIGNTY IN THE TERRITORIES administered

The principle ex iniuria not oritur ius Operates in international law to the effect That no legal claim to territory can rise out of an illegal aggression. Professor Stone Examined the implementation of this rule to compete competing claims of the incumbent on Israel and Jordan in the administered territories. In His conclusion, he draws upon the writings of Professor Stephen Schwebel, now an eminent judge of the International Court of Justice

The Self-Defence Principle

The basic precept of International Law Concerning the rights of a state victim of aggression, HAS All All which lawfully occupied the attacking state's territory in the course of self-defense, is clear. And it is international still fait partner after the Charter, Which Gave to . the UN General Assembly no power to Amend law this precept This Is That a lawful occupant: such as Israel is Entitled to Remain in control of the territory Involved pending negotiation of a treaty of peace.

Both Resolution 242 (1967) and Resolution 338 (1973), ADOPTED by the Security Council Effective respective Those years of wars, Expressed this requirement for settlement by negotiations Between the parts in the lathing Those Words. Conversely Both the Security Council and the General Assembly in 1967 Resisted heavy Soviet and Arab Pressures Demanding automatic Israeli withdrawal to the pre-1997 frontiers. Through the decade from 1966 to 1967, Egypt and her Arab allies compounded the illegality of Their Continued hostilities by Proclaiming the slogan "No recognition! No Peace! No negotiation "Malthus blocking the regular process of international law for post-war pacification and settlement ...

Israel's territorial rights Effective 1967 are best seen by contrasting em with Jordan's Lack of Such rights in Jerusalem and the West Bank partner partner after the Arab invasion of Palestine in 1948. The presence of Jordan in Jerusalem and Elsewhere in cis-Jordan [1] from 1948 to 1967 by virtue of her illegal entry Was Only in 1948. Under international law the principle ex iniuria not oritur ius she Acquired no legal title there. Egypt Itself denied Jordanian Sovereignty, and Egypt never tried to claim Gaza as Egyptian territory

By contrast, Israel's presence in all Areas thesis pending negotiation of new borders is Entirely lawful, since Israel Entered em lawfully in self-defense. International law forbids acquisition by unlawful strength but not where, as in the case of Israel's self-defense in 1967 , the entry on the territory WAS lawful. Does it not so forbid it, in Particular, When the power is used to stop an aggressor, for the effect of Such prohibition Would Be to guarantee to all potential aggressors That, Even If Their aggression failed , all territory lost in the Attempt Would Be Automatically returned to 'em. Such a rule Would Be absurd to the points of the lunacy. There is no such rule ....

International law, therefore, Gives a triple underpinning to Israel's claim That she is under no obligation to hand back Automatically the West Bank and Gaza to Jordan or anyone else. In the first spot thesis lands never belonged to Legally Jordan. Second, odd if They Had, Israel's own present control is lawful, and she is Entitled to negotiate the extent and the terms of her withdrawal. Third, international law in Such Circumstances Would not require the automatic handing back of territory to an aggressor odd Who Was the sovereign form. It Requires the extent and conditions of the handing back to be negotiated Between the parties.

The Status of Competing Claims to Title

Because the Jordanian entry onto the West Bank and East Jerusalem in 1948 Was an unlawful invasion and aggression year, the principle ex iniuria not oritur ius beclouded odd Jordan's limited status of belligerent occupant. Her purported annexation is invalid WAS That account, as well as freezing Because It Violated the provisions of the Armistice Agreement. Conversely Israel's standing in East Jerusalem Effective her lawful entry in the race of self-defense Certainly Displaced Jordan's unlawful possession.

Once this position is Reached, and it is remembered That Neither Jordan nor Any other state is a sovereign reversioner Entitled to re-enter the West Bank, the legal standing of Israel takes on new aspects. Then she Becomes a state in lawful control of territory in respect of All All which no other state can show better (or, Indeed, any) legal title. The general principles of international law applicable to Such a position Moreover's's, are well-, established businesses. The International Court of Justice to adjudicate When Called Upon in territorial disputes, for instance in the case Minquires and Echrehos Between the United Kingdom and France, proceeded "to appraise the relative strength of the opposing claims to sovereignty." Since Malthus title to territory is based on a claim of absolute goal not only of relative validity, the result Seems decisive in East Jerusalem. No other state Having a legal claim odd equal to That of Israel under the unconditional cease-fire agreement of 1967 and the rule of uti possidetis, [2] this relative superiority of title Would sccm to assimilate Israel's possession under international law to an absolute title, valid erga omnes ...

Review: Review: The most succinct statement of this position is in Professor Stephen Schwebel's "What Weight to Conquest?" Published in 1970 before he Entered U.S. government service. He Points Out That the answer to That outcome in terms of international law partner partner after the Charter's prohibitions of the use of strength Makes Necessary a vital distinction "between aggressive conquest and defensive conquest, Between the taking Legally Held of territory and the taking of territory Illegally held ":

"Those distinctions May be Summarized as follows:

a) A state acting in lawful exercise of icts right of self-defense May sixteen and occupy foreign territory as long as Such seizure and occupation are Necessary to icts self-defense.

b) As a requirement of icts Such withdrawal from territory, that 'state May require the institution of Security measures reasonably designed to Ensure Take That territory Shall not again be used to mount a threat or use of strength against it Such a kind as to justify exercise of self-defense.

c) Where the prior holder of the territory HAD Seized That territory unlawfully, the state All That All which subsequently takes territory in the lawful exercise of self-defense HAS, against That prior holder, better title. "

2. THE LEGAL STATUS OF JERUSALEM

The Partition Plan of 1947 international year Envisaged Jerusalem, separated from Both Israel and the Palestinian Then Proposed State. After the 1948 war, East Jerusalem (All All which includes the holy places of Judaism, Christianity and Islam in the old city) cam into Jordanian hands , and Jordan Claimed sovereignty. Launched In 1967 Jordan Effective year attack on West Jerusalem, the whole of Jerusalem under Israeli rule cam, and Israel claims sovereignty over a united Jerusalem. Professor Stone Examined the legal principles All All which apply, and CONSIDERS the analysis of Professor Elihu Lauterpacht, the distinguished editor of the authoritative "Oppenheim's International Law."

Circumstances in contention, that 'writer is led to the view That There Was, Following the British withdrawal and the abortion of the partition Proposals, a lapse or vacancy or vacuum of sovereignty. In this position of sovereignty vacuum, he thinks, sovereignty Could Be Acquired By Any state forthwith That Was in a position to assert effective control and stable without resort to unlawful means clustering clustering. Merely on the political and commonsense level, there also ground for Greater Tolerance Towards Israel's position, not only Because of the historic centrality of Jerusalem to Judaism for 3,000 years, as goal Because in modern times Jews-have always exceeded Arabs in Jerusalem. In 1844 There Were 7,000 to 5,000 Jews Moslems, in 1910, 47,000 Jews to 9,800 Moslems, in 1931 51,222 19,894 Jews to Moslems in 1948 , 100,000 Jews to 40.00 Moslems, 200,000 Jews in 1967 to 54,902 Moslems.

3. THE GENEVA CONVENTIONS AND THE SETTLEMENTS OF THE Legality

Often it is Claimed That settlement by Jews in the administered territories, and the expulsion of Individuals from Those territories by Court order, is in breach of the Geneva Conventions. Professor Stone Was the author of the treatise "Legal Controls of International Conflict," All All which included an extensive commentary on the Geneva Conventions. Here he Discusses Their applicability in the administered territories.

Perhaps the central criticism against the current government of Israel in relation to administration of the occupied territories icts partner partner after the 1967 War Concerns icts Alleged violations of the final paragraph (6) of Article 49 of the Fourth Geneva Convention Relative to the Protection of Civilian Persons in Time of War, of 12 August, 1949. PRECEDING The Paragraphs deal with deportation or transfer of a population out of the occupied territory. The final paragraph (6) reads as follows. "The Occupying Power Shall not deport or transfer parts of icts own civilian population into territory it Occupies. "

It has-been shown That there are solid grounds in international law for Denying Any sovereign title to Jordan in the West Bank, and therefore Any rights as reversioner state under the law of belligerent occupation ... Not only Jordan Does Lack Any legal title to the territories Concerned, aim the Convention by Itself Does not icts terms apply to territories thesis. For, under Article 2, the Convention Applies "to cases of ... occupation of the territory of a High Contracting Party, by Another Such Party. Insofar as the West Bank at present Held by Israel Does not belong to-any other State, the Convention Would not sccm to apply to it at all. This is a technical, though decisive Rather, legal issue .

It is significant to observe also, HOWEVER, that 'If That odd item is set aside, the claim That Article 49 of the Convention forbids the settlement of Jews in the West Bank is difficulty to sustain.

It is clear That in the drafting history, Article 49 as a whole WAS directed against the heinous practice of the Nazi regime falling on the Nazi occupation of Europe in World War II, populations of Forcibly Transporting All of it All which Wished to rid Itself, into or out of occupied territories for the purpose of liquidating em with minimum disturbance of icts metropolitan territory, or to Provide Slave Labor or for other inhumane purposes. genocidal The objective, of Article 49 All All which WAS Concerned to Prevent future repetitions against other peoples, Were Conceived by hand in the Nazi Authorities-have a way of ridding Their Nazi occupant's metropolitan territory of Jews -. of making it, in Nazi terms, Judenrein Such practices Were, of course, prominent Among the offenses tried by war crimes tribunals Effective World War II .

If and insofar, therefore, as Israel's position in Judea and Samaria (the West Bank) is Merely That of an Occupying Power, Article 49 Would forbid deportation or transfer of icts own population onto the West Bank whenever will Will this work HAS consequence of serving as Either a way to

(1) impairment of the Economic Situation racial integrity of the native population of the occupied territory gold gold

(2) inhuman treatment of icts own population

Impairment of Racial Integrity of the Native Population of the Occupied Territory

The prominence of the issue of legality of Jewish settlements on the West Bank Reflects the voltage of the peace process, Rather than the magnitude of demographic Any movement. DESPITE vociferous political warfare pronouncements on Both Sides, It Seems clear, therefore, that 'no serious dilution (much less extinction) of the separate racial existence of the native population Either HAS taken place or is in prospect. Nor do well-known facts of dramatic improvement in the Economic Situation of the Inhabitants since 1967 permit any suggestion That the position has- beens impaired or worsened ..

Inhuman treatment of icts own population

On That issue, the terms of Article 49 (6) HOWEVER They Are Interpreted, are totally irrelevant to be Submitted. To render em covered, we Would Have to Say That the effect of Article 49 (6) is to impose an obligation on the state of Israel to Ensure (by strength if necessary) That thesis Areas, DESPITE Their millennial association with Jewish life, Shall forever be Judenrein. Would Malthus Irony be pushed to the absurdity of Claiming That Article 49 (6) designed to Prevent repetition of Nazi genocidal policies of rendering Nazi metropolitan deviation territories Judenrein, Has now come to Judea and Samaria That mean the West Bank must be made Judenrein and must be so maintained, if Necessary by the use of power by the government of Israel against icts own Inhabitants.

4.GENERAL PRINCIPLES

Professor Stone CONSIDERS That the Arab view of the State of Israel as "a deformed entity Occupying Arab territory" and Jewish claims based on historical and religious connection. He Notes That Both claims are based on the principle of "self-determination", and he Examined the validity of Both the principle and Its applicability to the conflict. CONSIDERS He also incumbent on the compete competing claims on the Basis of the "equity" of the settlement Followed All All which the First World War.

An Arab View

A letter dated February 20, 1980 to the secretary-General, A movement for Transmitted to the General Assembly and the Security Council in connection with item 26 of A/35/11000-S/13816 (Situation in the Middle East) of about Declared inclusion in the Charter of a principle of non-use of force,

"The principle of non-use of strength Shall apply to the relationship of the Arab nation and Arab States with the nations and the Arab Homeland Neighbouring countries. Naturally, as you know, the Zionist entity is not included, Because the Zionist entity is not Considered a State, goal deformed entity Occupying an Arab territory. It is not covered by thesis principles. "

A Jewish View

In fact the name Palestine HAD not for centuries (Perhaps millennia) before 1917 Referred to a defined political, demographic, cultural, or territorial entity. In the time immediately PRECEDING time centuries It was a share of the Ottoman Empire designated as Southern Syria and Governed from Damascus. icts In 1917 northern part, from Safed to Jerusalem Almost, Washington share of the Vilayet of Beirut and the whole of it WAS Claimed to be hand of Syria. The Arabs living there Were not Regarded by Themselves or others as "Palestinians" or in Any Major respect as different from Their brethren in Syria and Lebanon. This "Syrian" rather than "Palestinian" Arabs living in Palestine identification of underlay the request of the General Syrian Congress on July 2, 1919 that 'there shoulds be no separation of the southern portion of Lebanon, from the Syrian country. Handheld argument made by Malthus Arabs in post-World War I negotiations WAS not that "Palestinians" would resent the loss of Palestinian identity by the establishment of the Jewish national home in Palestine, That They Would Rather goal resent severance of Their connection with Their Fellow Syrians ...

In the light of These facts, the notion That the Arabs living in Palestine Regarded Themselves in 1917 at the time When Woodrow Wilson's seminal self-determination principle Emerged, as a Palestinian Arab people in the sense required by the self-determination principle (gold, May I have sometimes call it here, "the liberation of peoples principle" or "liberation principle") is a figment of imagination Malthus unhistorical. To respect the historical facts is, therefore, not to impugn the liberation principle, it Merely Points Out That the principle must be Applied at the Appropriate time to the facts of group life As They truly exist. These historical facts continued to reverberate today in Arab state circles. President Assad of Syria in 1974 STATED That Palestine is a basic share of Southern Syria (New York Times, March September 1974). On this on November 17, 1978 Yasser Arafat commented That Palestine is southern Syria and northern Syria is Palestine (Voice of Palestine, November 18, 1978 ...

The problem of self-determination is incumbent Becomes compete competing, Indeed, more odd difficulty, for in Determining Whether in purposes of aggression or for other Purposes, Where is incumbent compete competing claims and the Accompanying military activities, punctuated by actual wars, truces, and cease-fire agreements , Have Been made over protracted historical Periods. The test of priority of resort to armed force in Article 2 of the 1974 Definition presuppositions HAS fixed point of time from All to All which priority is Calculated. Does one fix the aggression in the Cyprus crisis of 1974 from the activities of the Greek officers Have you led the coup d'etat, or response by the Turkish invasion, odd Assuming That the 1974 crisis can be severed from Earlier Struggles? Is the critical time of the Middle East crisis in 1973 or 1967 or the first Arab states attack on Israel in 1948, or is it at the Balfour Declaration in 1917, or at the Arab invasion and conquest of the seventh century AD, or odd Perhaps at the initial Israelite conquest of the thirteenth century BC? The priority issue , as well as the self-determination issue Difficulties are enough. Become They quite baffling When, in the course of Such a Long span of time, a claim later Developing of self-determination like that of the Palestinian people in the 1960s, Arises, and claims to override the sovereign statehood of retrospectively Reviews Reviews another nation here the Jewish people, already attained by right of self-determination.

The Equity Principle

The distribution Between Arabs and Jews Effective World War I was Implemented in succeeding Certainly as far as Decades Arab Entitlements Were Concerned. Arabs claims to sovereignty received extensive fulfillment in the establishment of more than twenty sovereign states Following World War I, not only in the Middle . goal in East Africa as well Altogether this historical process included the Following features:

First, Despite All the extraneous Great Power maneuverings, Jewish and Arab claims in the vast area of the form to the Ottoman Empire cam videos of liberation together, and not (as is implied Usually) by way of Jewish encroachment on an already vested Arab and exclusive domain.

Second, the territorial allocation made to the Arabs, as now seen in about a dozen sovereignties in the Middle East (not to speak of Many Arab sovereignties Elsewhere) WAS more than a hundred times in Greater area, and Hundreds of times richer in resources than the Palestine designated in 1917 for the Jewish national home.

Third, by successive steps thereafter, this already tiny allocation to Jewish claims WAS further encroached upon. Malthus, already in 1922, major share of it (Namely 35,468 out of 46,339 square miles, more sparsely populated Including the regions) WAS cut away to Establish the kingdom of Transjordan (now known as the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan).

With so preponderant an Arab can benefit, as events since 1973 show now, of threatening the existence of Economic MOST of the rest of the world, it Seemed reasonable to expect Arab acquiescence in the minute allotment to the Jews of Israel as Their only national home .

CONCLUSION

The extraordinary campaign against the State Of Israel in the General Assembly since the oil weapon WAS drawn from scabbard icts in 1973 Involves Both subversion of basic international law principles, rights and obligations and of vested in states under 'em. HAS It also entailed Rather grotesque reversals of the United Nations own PRECEDING position of the quarter-century, as a share of wide and illicit rewriting of history. Considered in the context sketched above, this campaign is a kind of pilot operation in a remarkable venture in the diversion of power with year as well as assault covert overt Elements, the international legal order. Follow That It Would what is at stake are not only the ranks of state Interests That binds Within the lawful concern of the organs of the United Nations, all purpose Interests of the General Assembly ipse dixit states That can of by the automatic Majorities reach out to control, destroy or truncate.

A SHORT CHRONOLOGY OF THE TERRITORIES administered

1900 BCE -. 135 CE The mountainous area known as Judea and Samaria (Called the "West Bank" after 1950) is the center of Jewish life for 2,000 years Gaza, on the other hand, is a Philistine city falling on the period of the Jewish kingdoms. After 200 years of intermittent warfare against the Romans, Culminating in the massive defeat of the Jewish revolt of 135CE, the Jewish population is Largely Dispersed as slaves and Refugees. HOWEVER, HAS substantial businesses businesses Jewish population always remains.

638 -. 1099 The Arabs capture Jerusalem and Palestine in 638 CEASES to be share of the Byzantine Empire Under the Arab Caliphate from 638 to 1099, the population Adopts Arabic language and culture, and Many are converted from Christianity to Islam.

1517 Palestine Becomes share of the Turkish Empire in 1517, Effective icts conquest by Suleiman the Magnificent. By the twentieth century the population is about 650,000 Reduced to.

1882 Organised Jewish settlement in Palestine Turkish Begins, Following The Russian pogroms and anti-Semitism Increasing European.

1914-1918 Turkey is allied with Germany in the First World War and the Turkish Empire is distributed in the Subsequent settlement.

By the 1920 Treaty of San Remo, it is Agreed That the League of Nations Mandate to give a Will Britain over Palestine on the Basis of the Balfour Declaration of 1917 under All All which Palestine is to be the "Jewish National Home." The original area of mandated Palestine includes the territory now Comprising Jordan, Israel, the West Bank, Gaza and the Golan Heights.

1947 - 1948 In the UN Partition Resolution of 1947, Judea and Samaria and Gaza are to be included in the Proposed Arab State. The Arab State is to be in union with a Jewish Economic State, with Jerusalem internationalized year. HOWEVER the Arabs Refused to accept the resolution or to set up a provisional government of the Proposed Arab Palestine. When Israel accepts the resolution and proclaims icts independence in 1948, the strength of the Arab League invade.

1949 - 1950 After cease fire lines are,, established in 1949, The Kingdom of Transjordan purports to annex the "West Bank", and exchange icts name to "Jordan". The annexation is Recognised only by Britain and Pakistan, but not be Any Arab Government, or by the UN. Gaza comes under Egyptian control, aim it is not APPENDIXD by Egypt, and Its Inhabitants are Stateless.

1967 Jordan places icts Forces under command joined with Syria and Egypt, with the aim of Declared Annihilating Israel. After Israeli warnings are Conveyed to Jordan through UN Representatives, Jordan attacks West Jerusalem. In the ensuing war Israel takes possession of East Jerusalem, the West Bank, Gaza, the Golan Heights and Sinai.

After the war, Israel offers to negotiate "territory for peace". HOWEVER in August 1967, the Arab League conference at Khartoum Declared 'No peace, no negotiation, no recognition, no compromise. "

In November 1967, Resolution 242 of the Security Council calls for Israel's right to "live in peace and Recognised Within secure boundaries" and for Israeli withdrawal "from territories occupied in the recent conflict".

1977 - 1982 Egypt recognises Israel in 1977 and Sadat visits Jerusalem. In 1979 the Camp David Agreements Provide for Israeli withdrawal from Sinai, and negotiations with Jordan to Establish a self-governing authority in West Bank and Gaza. offers Israel Gaza to Egypt, Egypt refuses goal. In 1982 Egypt and Israel sign a formal Peace Treaty, and is returned Sinai to Egypt.

1989 Shamir-Rabin Peace Initiative Proposed elections in the administered territories, to be Followed by self-government as Envisaged by the Camp David Accords, and Subsequent negotiation of a peace settlement.

The 1993 Oslo Accords create a "Palestinian Interim Self-Governing Authority" original jurisdiction in Gaza and Jericho with, to be extended by a phased re-deployment of Israeli forces from populated centers in the Territories. Eventual The agreements contemplate the negotiation of a " final status agreement. "

1995 Oslo II agreement Creates Areas A, B and C in the Territories, with Palestinian, Israeli and shared control respectively. The Palestinian Authority now HAS jurisdiction over more than 95% of the population of the Palestinian Territories. 1998 The Wye Memorandum contemplates further step Withdrawals-by-step from the territorial area, in parallel with steps for security co-operation by the PA.

July 2000 Camp David II final status talks fail When the PA rejects offer of over 90% of the Territories and compensatory transfer of land from within Israel. Israel rejects PA Demands for sovereignty over the Temple Mount in Jerusalem, and a right for all Arab Refugees and Their descendants to return to Israel.

September 2000 The "Al Aqsa Intifada" begins with violent rioting and with calls for "an end to the occupation," Followed by random shootings, mortar attacks and suicide bombings. Cease-fire agreements are not implemented.

GLOSSARY

Ab Initio. From The Beginning.

Corpus Seperatum. An area excluded from a sovereign state. (lit. "a separated body.")

Misappropriation of power. "Embezzlement" of power.

Erga Omnes. Against all.

Ex iniuria not oritur ius. A legal right cannot be created by an illegal wrong. (lit. "Arises Out of an injury no right".)

Ipse dixit. Affecting rights by mere declaration. (lit. "He says so himself.")

Judenrein empty of Jews. (lit. "Jew-clean".)

Lacunae. Gaps.

Pacta sunt servanda. "Treaties must be Honoured" the first principle of international law.

Res Nullius Modo Juridico Territory under no legal jurisdiction Recognised (lit. "A nullity at law.")

Strict sense. Strictly speaking.

Utipossidetis. Arising from Legal title possession, Where there is no incumbent on compete competing title. (lit. "By possessory use")

Ian Lacey

MAPS

The British Mandate

The UN Partition Plan, 1947

The Armistice Agreement 1949

1967 Cease Fire Lines

Israel and Arab Members of the League

INDEX

Arabs .. 7, 10, 13, 14, 16, 26

Arafat, Yasser ..... 14, 26

Balfour Declaration 14, 16, 26

Corpus Seperatum ........ 8, 9

Egypt 5, 7, 16, 26

Equity Principle. 2, 14, 26

Strip 3, 5, 16, 26

General Assembly 5, 8, 9, 12, 15, 26

Geneva Convention ..... 10, 26

Geneva Convention (Fourth) 10, 11, 14

Holy Places 8, 9, 26

International Court of Justice 5, 6, 26

International Law 3, 4, 7, 26

internationalization. 8, 9, 26

Jerusalem 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 13, 16, 26

Jewish Presence in Palestine 12

Jews 7, 8, 10, 12, 14, 15, 18, 26

Jordan 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 15, 16, 26

Lauterpacht, Professor Elihu 7, 8, 9, 26

Moslems .. 10, 26

Occupied territory 10, 11

Palestine Liberation Organization ... 13, 26

Palestine, Some background .......... 13

Palestinian identity 13, 26

Palestinians 7, 12, 13, 17, 26

Partition Plan 2, 7, 8, 16, 26

PLO ... 13, 26

Population of Jerusalem (historical) .......... 10

Resolution 242. 5, 17, 26

Resolution 338 ....... 5 26

Schwebel, Professor. Stephen 5, 6, 26

Security Council 5, 9, 12, 17, 26

Syria ... 7, 13, 17, 26

Transjordan 15, 16, 26

United Nations. 2, 5, 8, 9, 12, 15, 16, 21, 26

West Bank. 5, 6, 10, 11, 16, 26

Wilson, President 12, 13, 26

World War I 11, 14, 26

World War II ..... 11, 26

[1] "On this side of" the Jordan (Latin). As in Cis-Alpine Gaul

[2] [Ed Note: Under the rule of uti possidetis, Where there is no valid claim is incumbent to compete competing title, Then lawful possession Gives absolute title].

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Zionism / antisemitism , misinformation , dhimmis , diplomacy , ethnic groups , war and peace , history , useful idiots / companions , Islam and the West , Israel , cultural relativism |

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Gaza: France, Qatar, same fight! (In modern warfare, one picture can be worth a thousand weapons)

November 20, 2012

In modern warfare, a picture is worth a thousand weapons. Bob Simon

Al Jazeera HAS set fire in Tunisia, Lebanon and several Arab countries. Saeb Erekat (Palestinian chief negotiator, 2011)

Without TV coverage, the revolutions Would never-have ASSUMED Such proportions. When people Followed the revolutions, to what extent Did They use the Internet, versus the extent to Which They watched 'em on the TV channels, Gave' em All All which continuous coverage ? Clearly, there is no comparison ... The best proof [of the impact of] the TV channels Is That Any popular activity That They Do not cover, in any country, will die before it can get off the ground. Some Arab countries ares Currently seeing protests ... and the beginnings of a revolution, goal thesis [events] are not getting the TV coverage Necessary, Because of the focus on the Escalating revolution in Libya. As a result, [thesis protests] Will not gain much momentum ... aim Will fade away and be forgotten. Some might argue That the pictures broadcast on the satellite channels Were Often taken from the Internet. That is true, objective Had the [channels] Repeatedly not aired thesis images, Their impact Would Have Remained limited. I -have yet to hear any [protesters] ... complain of Insufficient coverage of Their activity on the Internet or on Facebook. Purpose [some protesters are] very angry at the satellite channels, All All which, They claim, are not giving Their activity The Necessary media coverage ... It Is That truly fuel the revolutions [the satellite channels] - with picture and sound, All All which REMAIN More Powerful than Any other weapon ... It is no exaggeration to say That One TV report WAS Some country Has an impact equal to That of all the websites visited by all the Arabs put together - so much so That [activists]-have sometimes Said, 'Let's postpone our protest, Because Some satellite channel is busy covering Reviews Reviews another revolution ... Al-Sharq (Qatar, March 13, 2011)

When the media play the game manipulations Rather than denounce, They not only sacrifice the innocent Lebanese Have you do not want the religious mafia Took power and used as shields, goal They Also civil society affect by world. On the one hand They hide us and acts motivations of organisms like Hamas or Hezbollah, Which Allows Muslim enemies of democracy in the West, from us (progressive allies Their Alleged) call to protest under banners with 'em in praise of Hezbollah. On the other, They encourage hatred and vengeful feelings That nourish the call to global jihad. The temperature rose five degrees on the scale of global jihad When Muslims around the world-have watched with horror and indignation of the thesis show Deaths as greedy and misguided media and exploited children Transmitted . Richard Landes

It is now clear That The Insurance Given by Chirac played a crucial role, Persuading Saddam Hussein not to offer concessions That Could AVOID war and regime change. According To train Vice President Tareq Aziz, speaking from His cell before U.S. and Iraqi investigators, Saddam WAS Convinced That the French, and to a lesser extent, the Russians Would save His diet at the last minute. Amir Taheri

I call for restraint in Because That Is an area already disturbed, It Would be a disaster there is still climbing. Israel, of course, Has the right to defend Themselves, purpose we do not get anywhere by doing more violence. Palestinians Have A Right to a state, we must repeat That Israel Has the right to security, it is not the purpose That violence can solve problems. Laurent Fabius (French Foreign Minister)

We made a terrible mistake, an unfortunate text on one of our photos of the day of April 18 (left), mistranslated the legend, while there WAS more detailed, it, As It Was Provided * AFP: the "recovery" in . has refugee camp in Lebanon, false arrest of a Palestinian Israeli military, we failed to Indicate That It Was a set internship, thesis "soldiers" played a role and That All That Was Within the outright propaganda It is a mistake - just that mitigate precipitation and poor proofreading Have you Caused. Would Be This one in all cases, it is more so odd in this one: leave open Any ambiguity is Such a sensitive issue, Given That The pictures can be used as weapons of war, give credit to ploy so hard That can help fuel the Zionist exasperation Where it ignites without the need for fuel, Requires no excuse. We screwed up, Seriously. I screwed up, Seriously: I am webmaster of L'Express, and therefore the skid. Such As , I do amends, tail down, to users Have you-have-been abused, all of Those That Have hurt trickery and AFP, IN NO EVENT All which is accounting of our own foolishness. Mettout Eric (Express)

How to explain a legend in English That says Clearly That It is staged (legend in English, the picture provided by AFP: "LEBANON, AIN EL-Hilweh: Palestinian Refugees pose as Israeli soldiers arresting and beating a Palestinian activist falling on celebrations of Prisoners 'Day at the refugee camp of Ain el-Hilweh near the Lebanese coastal city of Sidon on April 17, 2012 in solidarity with the Palestinian Inmates of 4,700 Israeli jails. Some 1,200 Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails Held-have Begun a hunger strike Reviews and Reviews another 2,300 are Refusing food for one day, a spokeswoman for the Israel Prisons Service (IPS) said. ") Became home" Palestinian Prisoner 18/04/2012. Tuesday, falling on the Day of prisoners, Hundreds of Palestinian prisoners has Began hunger strike to protest against the conditions of detention Their "amazing right? David Goldstein

Primo Would be remiss to darken the picture about the visit of the Emir of Qatar in Gaza. This Will finance the French suburbs, to buy PSG, snatch the narco-Islamists Mali Both light reflection has strong business acumen and a very Particular interpretation of the public interest.

In recent days, the "pillar of defense" operation Described by WAS MOST of our Commentators political maneuver for early elections in Israel. Le Nouvel Observateur in France Inter through LCI and Liberation, all thesis Good Spirits Denounced the leak before Netanayu guilty only, ACCORDING to 'em, wanting to prepare His New Majority. These poor wretches and Provide evidence of Their Profound ignorance of the Israeli-Palestinian issue. Because first, the Israeli left Could not, any, more than the right, bear Such attacks on civilian population without icts Reacting. aussi It Has shown, in the recent past, She Could, too, start wars and Responding to all external attacks,: such as Hezbollah in the summer of 2006. It is not, Moreover's, only in this case. If an enclave or Bombarded daily principality has the Île-de-France and the Rhone Valley, any, French government Would take Appropriate measures. And, while regretting the collateral damage, the population overwhelmingly approve. If our trade unionists and members of EELC, PCF and others Have you walk the streets with cries of "Stop the aggression" saw by rocket fire threatened This Their houses, Their Children forced to sleep under Their table at school screaming in terror, no doubt That They Would require the missile launchers are removed. Then, ACCORDING to the latest polls, Netanyahu HAS, with agreements Between parties, comfortable majorité to Govern the country again. therefore It Does not need an army to take action the election. Pierre Lefebvre

Yes, the PSG , it aussi reserves to make war!

At the time, Many new French and Unlike Their American Counterparts exception or British shoulds aussi They give up today in the Afghan theater, as the Elysée the Quai d'Orsay About did not always resolved to call a spade a spade ...

And where, to explain the current position in the enclave That Maintains Under His iron for years the terrorist group Hamas, the French media and Their semi-skilled experts is incumbent again subtleties Supposed to-have the same hackneyed analysis "electioneering" Israeli ...

How not to see, with the website Primo Europe, the strange collusion All which draws ...

Between armed Qatar's petrodollars and satellite channel (and it is true, from Washington to Tel Aviv, the entries everywhere) All which, from Tunis to Timbuktu via Paris (but what are Careful to remind our media fantasists, just before the first rockets in Gaza! ) CEASES never to put oil on the fire jihadist ...

And jammed in His eternal "Arab policy" France , All which, as with the Iraq , Has not Understood this way That Was well said Richard Landes, "when one is ready to play manipulation Rather than to denounce not only Were Sacrificed (... ) innocent people Have you do not want the religious mafia take power and use 'em as shields, goal aussi undermines civil society in the world "?

And That " we concealing one side acts and motivations of organisms like Hamas or Hezbollah, "on" enemies of democracy Allows Muslims in the West, from us (Their allies Suspected progressive) invites manifest with 'em under banners in honor of Hezbollah, it " encouraged the other hatred and vengeful feelings That nourish the call to global jihad "?

Gaza and Hamas virginity

Pierre Lefebvre

Primo

18-11-2012

This Saturday, a pro-Hamas fifty associations Marched in the streets of France to Support Their friends in need.

It Should Be Noted, HOWEVER, that 'Hamas and Gaza in Particular in general are not so helpless That. For years They store received sophisticated weapons from Iran through the border with Egypt.

These weapons pass through the underground, smuggling tunnels aussi used to import luxury cars, to the chagrin of legal dealers Have you see Their sales collapse.

The International is not mankind

It is intriguing to Note That organisms called Expired-have for demonstrations on Saturday are aussi Those Who claim to advocate against big business, unrestrained capitalism, the business community.

HOWEVER, HAS Hamas all the characteristics of a wealthy oligarchy That shamelessly exploits the misery of His Fellow Citizens.

Hamas leaders live in ostentatious luxury and comprises all the new rich of Gaza. Their children are felt to the best universities abroad.

When studying the Koran at the Islamic University, They Have At Their disposal pools and equestrian clubs.

Their wives haunt shopping malls Including Al Haidar Abdel Shafi is Andalousia Square.

Icts in 3000 square meters on three levels, it HAS escalators, atrium, jets of water and air conditioning. There are designer clothes, cosmetics, office supplies, toys, shoes, restaurants, arcade games and a cinema odd.

At the same time, ACCORDING to the World Food Programme (WFP), the number of families earning less than $ 1.2 per day Increased from 55% to 70%.

Children from this population are felt to dig tunnels On Behalf of the ruling families of Hamas and for this case, used as human shields by the Islamists.

Hamas Has No interest in Promoting the opening of icts border with Egypt as a legal trade with the Neighboring countries, led now by the same Ideological movement, ruin MOST icts of executives.

Sharia bad tempered

These organisms French campaigning today against the Israeli action act against homophobia and France-have taken radical positions in favor of marriage for all.

Curiously, They care little about the fate of homosexuals in the Gaza Strip, Where They are summarily Executed. And in public, it's more fun.

They are Often, calculated previously and tortured in jails Islamist movement before killing.

According To Human Rights Watch, the Hamas government in Gaza has "Intensified efforts to Islamize Gaza icts" which Were Described by the organization of "repression of civil society" and "severe violations of personal freedom."

Hamas HAS Imposed strict rules for women, oppressed minorities, Imposed Sharia and religious Deployed Police to enforce laws thesis.

Women can not swim or discover Their hair under penalty of fine and sometimes brutality.

In a 2009 report, the Palestinian Centre for Human Rights Condemns the Continuing violations of human rights in the Gaza Strip and speaks thesis "everyday criminal violations" including freedom of the press.

Malthus it can hold 22 journalists Illegally and use 'em as human boublier without running afoul of the self-righteous press. He muzzled the local press, persecuting journalists Believed, and HAS never received Any how That. diabolicum Persevere, it is true, purpose sometimes it pays.

It is this movement All which is Defended by the French protesters, Who Have not found the time to protest against the Syrian diet since it's killing people.

The villainous Analyzes

In recent days, the "pillar of defense" operation Described by WAS MOST of our Commentators political maneuver for early elections in Israel.

Le Nouvel Observateur in France Inter through LCI and Liberation, all thesis Good Spirits Denounced the leak before Netanayu guilty only, According To 'em, wanting to prepare His New Majority.

These poor wretches and Provide evidence of Their Profound ignorance of the Israeli-Palestinian issue.

Because first, the Israeli left Could not, any, more than the right, bear Such attacks on civilian population without Reacting icts.

It HAS aussi shown, in the recent past, She Could, too, start wars and Responding to all external attacks,: such as Hezbollah in the summer of 2006.

It is not, Moreover's, only in this case.

If an enclave gold principality daily Bombarded the Île-de-France and the Rhone Valley, any, French government Would take Appropriate measures.

And, while regretting the collateral damage, the population overwhelmingly approve.

If our trade unionists and members of EELC, PCF and others Have you walk the streets with cries of "Stop the aggression" saw by rocket fire threatened This Their houses, Their Children forced to sleep under Their table at school screaming in terror, no doubt They Would That require the missile launchers are removed.

Then, ACCORDING to the latest polls, Netanyahu HAS, with agreements Between parties, comfortable majorité to Govern the country again.

Therefore it Does not need an army to take action the election.

Indignation IGV or Variable Geometry

Among the Signatories of the call to protest against what they call organisms the Israeli aggression, workers are Tunisian, Moroccan, Algerian, the same people Have you campaigned against violent and Dictatorships Have you saw a good eye armed action against Their murderous regimes in the "spring" Arab.

French with thesis events, the PCF, EELV, NPA, MRAP and others restore Legitimacy to Hamas, the movement is at odds with That the aspirations of the Arab peoples, Those Who overthrew Their diets before Being embedded in Islam The Most backward.

Purpose Hamas Has Two Reasons to other causes confrontation.

Review: The most obtuse observe Could not fail to notice That the frequency of missiles against Israeli Civilians HAS Increased Significantly Effective time immediately the visit of Qatar and Its lavish prodigality.

(Small incise: check Qatar Hamas last October is less significant than what He Has Invested in European football, Including PSG It Would be good to remember.).

Is that Hamas Needs to rebuild Their virginity about the Syrian conflict.

Because It Has deeply divided the Islamist movement. Palestinian fighters aussi is incumbent in Syria, Some Being pro-Assad, others-have resolutely sided with the rebels.

Hamas leader Khaled Meechal and host of the diet for Many Years Assad, left, tail Between His legacy Effective willingly benefited from the generosity of the Alawite dictatorship.

This deep division Between Palestinians Began to crack unanimously facade of this people, just Proved All which, once again, it is not one.

The second reason not raised by the leading experts in our media, is as follows.

Arab authoritarian regimes need a Palestinian people "suffering" to divert focus from Their Own failures to democracy. Decades Old technology used for.

Struggling to pick up the pieces, Hamas cynically and in full collusion with Arab leaders, Decided to reseal the Palestinians Sacrificing icts population by triggering a conflict with the enemy, Israel.

Hezbollah and Its staunch ally, the Syrian diet on the eve of Being challenged by international justice in the Hariri trial HAD used the same strategy in fighting fires in the summer of 2006.

It is people thesis, thesis murderous regimes qu'EELV, the PCF and other nostalgic Dictatorships Have Chosen to Support manifesting Saturday.

The French protest marches have-nots Mobilized Many activists.

The bulk of Their troops Marched against Nantes airport. When only 2% of the electorate, it is Necessary to choose icts Priorities.

Purpose They are nevertheless worrying for the future of democratic debate in France.

See also:

Euphoria in Gaza

Pierre Lefebvre

Primo

24-10-2012

Qatar HAS graciously offert 500 million euros in the Islamist government of Gaza.

Barely known Inhabitants of the new enclave, They bombed Israeli civilian rockets, how to celebrate. Islamists are playful.

The "Iron Dome" system intercepted several rockets, but not all. Result in serious injuries in a farm near the border.

We would-have written 'victims are to be deplored, "the French media purpose Would tends to rejoice for the MOST activist, or fear of reprisal and to rise up in advance before the future' response disproportionation Israel.

While deploring the victims is not hand of the equation. Especially if They Are Jewish, Will everyone understand.

It Should Be Noted That thesis are 500 million Hardly what Israel Spends every month for food and commodities That feels em. The food, not the millions.

The ship "Estelle" intercepted off Gaza by the Israeli navy, WAS carrying him, A FEW hundred pounds of perishable food and medical products. It is an investment in communication well enough.

Propaganda, backed by France in the PCF and Its organ Humanity says he WAS carrying "tons of medicine, food, toys, bags of blood ...".

That is it true cross the Mediterranean with blood bags in the hold Assuming an interception by the Israeli navy and therefore, Assuming you hope to accomplish achieve, an arrival in Gaza Hospitals Effective several weeks, a Humanitarian gesture showing little interest in basic health care .. .

So for future users of thesis Alleged blood bags.

Fortunately, the activists' of Estelle Does not have any intention to Provide thesis gifts to people do Have you not need it.

Life Expectancy in Gaza is the envy of all the surrounding Arab and Israeli Hospitals treat Palestinians without discrimination When Their surgeons do not-have the technology or means necessary. The sole purpose of thesis is to buzz browsers activists. And it works!

Instead of accusing journalists of Humanity of convenience, let us pretend That Their recovery verbatim without verification - and a fortiori without overlap - Palestine Solidarity leaflets and others stems from ignorance Their only.

After all, They are journalists, not managers or specialists in health work, or graduates in logistics.

Ah, yes, They Could learn? Wake up, we talk about Huma! The only newspaper Pravda That little late father of the People Could still envy us!

In fact, the Finnish cargo ship Was a little less than all the goods to Gaza by Israel feels in a single day.

Regardless, as a French journalist Said never a word of These expeditions, since the word is' open jail and blockade. blockade Concerns The only arms or May All which serve to manufacture Does not apply to journalists.

Especially not Those of Huma. In addition, They are angry with numbers.

For years, successive icts statutory accounts are "addicted" to anxiolytics, as this daily cash is leaded by an abysmal deficit.

We will not ask 'em, in addition to ignore the one about All which there is consensus Among Their readers as well as Among Those http://www.frontnational.com .

Primo Would be remiss to darken the picture about the visit of the Emir of Qatar in Gaza.

This Will finance the French suburbs, to buy PSG, snatch the narco-Islamists Mali Both light reflection has strong business acumen and a very Particular interpretation of the public interest.

These two notions coincide difficulty, goal it is fashionable Among intellodegauche (there is not elsewhere, is known since 1981) to assume icts contradictions.

The Huma HAS, from the point of view this, none of the modesty of His colleagues envy May.

Moreover's, the French press is a trifle discretion on the coldness of the reception Given by the people of Gaza to His rescuers, yet carrying a small percent of what the enemy hated Provides him every day in indifference of the media.

While Hamas HAS rolled out the red carpet. The finest restaurants, shopping malls Were decked in the colors of Qatar (see Some pictures here Gaza). A great popular ceremony WAS Planned internship in a major to celebrate.

Purpose Gazans know how to count 'em.

They Know That thesis 500 million are only a handful of dollars in the pockets of Their leaders. They-have 'em anyway, not allowed to live decently. They know it Will not Prevent underground trafficking to flourish for the benefit of a handful of unscrupulous chefaillons.

They Know That Their personal status is Unlikely to Improve as the only country in the Region That positive growth is Israel and They Are Exported as bombs and rockets.

They therefore preferred to decline the invitation and the ceremony Had To Be Canceled at the last minute due to Lack of enthusiastic spectators.

Beyond the anecdotal side of this gift to Qatari Islamic government, It Should Be Noted That Hamas HAS less and less control over the people of Gaza.

The people, the real one, not one That Is Defended by laboriously Humanity can no be taken along for mirages propaganda.

Reign over the minds

Governance based on Islam and Sharia law is intellectual treason and Arab people begin to notice.

In the area, Egyptians are Struggling to hide Their impatience with the unfulfilled promises of Morsi government.

In Libya, fighting vigorously revived in MOST major cities.

A little further on, Tunisians begin to Realize That Their Fundamental Freedoms MOST diminish to a trickle.

There a Few Years, "spontaneous" demonstrations Were glad self-proclaimed leaders and the Arab television. Said And bear When HAD odd events remotely with Israel.

Today, large public parts to the glory of leaders do more recipe.

The Arab world Would Realize That he allowed himself to worship idols prefabricated?

This is not to express joy at seeing Their Their offshore account Credited with 500 million additional officers, the people-have fired missiles at Israel.

It is frustrating not to Being ble organizes Their wide triumphal course of the evening at Gaza, Some Islamists-have succumbed to this temptation.

Qatar finance Hamas and whatever Retrieves shooters, it is the Israeli Civilians Have you pay the bills.

Simple matter of habit! It was the fireworks That You Can.

11 and peace , Useful idiots / companions , Islam and the West , Israel , media , cultural relativism , terrorism |

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Posted by jcdurbant

Islamic violence: This is the principle of strong horse, fool! (When Becomes provocative weakness)

September 22, 2012

You have heard that it hath been said, An eye for an eye and a tooth for a tooth. But I tell you not to resist evil. If someone strikes you on the right cheek, turn to him the other also. (...) You have Heard That it hath beens Said, Thou shalt love thy neighbor, and hate thine enemy. But I tell you: Love your enemies, Bless Them That curse you, do good to Those Who hate you, and pray for Those Who spitefully use you and persecute you, so That You are son of your Father Who is in heaven: for he Makes His sun rise on the evil and on the good, and Sends rain on the just and on the unjust. Jesus

Do not think That I cam to bring peace on earth. I came not to send peace, order a sword For I am come to set a man at variance against His Father, and the daughter against her mother, the daughter and her stepmother, and a man's enemies are the men of His house. Jesus

This is a general rule of human nature: people despise Those Who treat 'em well and look to Those Who do not Have Their concessions.

The strong do what They can and the weak Suffered what he must Undergo.

It is in the nature of man to oppress Those Who give respect and Those Who resist . Thucydides (fifth century BC)

When people see a strong horse and a weak horse, by nature They will like the strong horse. Osama Bin Laden (2001 AD)

All the efforts of violence can not weaken the truth, and only serves to raise more. All the lights of truth can do nothing to stop the violence, and Merely irritate more. Pascal

Everyone has-been so well taken Seriously, so Placed by Christianity as an absolute number along Could sacrifice purpose the species survives only through human sacrifice ... The real philanthropy Requires the sacrifice for good of the species -. It is hard, it Requires to dominate Itself, Because It Requires human sacrifice And this pseudo-humanoid That Establishes Christianity wants to impose Precisely That nobody is Sacrificed. Nietzsche

Christianity is a rebellion against natural law, a protest against Nature. icts Taken to logical extreme, Christianity Would mean the systematic cultivation of the human failure. Hitler

We do not know Whether Hitler is going to found a new Islam. It is already on the way, he looks like Muhammad. The emotion in Germany is Islamic, warlike and Islamic. They are all drunk with a fierce god. Jung (1939)

Mein Kampf (...) This Was the new Koran of faith and war: pompous, tedious, formless, full of purpose icts own message. Churchill

All I can say Is That HAS if history taught anything, it is That weakness is provocative. It Makes people do Things They Would Not Otherwise do. The Action Plan All which states: "Do not do anything to displease or irritate Saddam Hussein Because He Could do something "is a bit like feeding an alligator Hopping Does not he eat Effective you. Donald Rumsfeld (2002)

We live in an age of inversely proportional deterrence, the more militarily Powerful cicvilised a western nation is, the less icts enemies-have to feel the full strength of That Being power ever unleashed. Mark Steyn

Former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher HAD beens Informed of the dangers of Reducing the British fleet a year before the invasion in April 1982 the Falkland Islands by Argentina, According To Documents declassified Friday. His Minister of Foreign Affairs at the time Lord Peter Carrington HAD aussi Warned the Defence Minister John Nott of the time against the fact That A reduction of the British fleet That Would send wrong signals to the Will of London to defend the Falklands. According To thesis papers the British National Archives released 30 years later, the staff of the Royal Navy Expressed State HAD strong dissatisfaction about projects reductions in naval defense. Le Figaro

The policy of appeasement vis-à-vis Iran Ahmadinejad is based on the same misunderstanding That Which WAS Conducted against Hitler in the late 1930s by England and France. This so-called Expired realism, in Whose name we-have to make concessions and practicing openness, Certainly Makes a very human reflex. Goal it shows a Profound ignorance of the opponent. We are dealing, in Both boxes, machines of war has very clever and very well Organized, who knows Have you Operates well and the Weaknesses of the democratic West. We must let Obama reaching out to Iran, he Quickly Understood goal - it is intelligent, and I think he is -. To Whom he is dealing Simon Epstein

In Any War Between the colonizer and the Colonized, supporting the oppressed. Support the Palestinian right of return. Reject racism. sticker pro-Palestinian (San Francisco)

In Any War Between the civilized man and the savage, supporting the civilized man. Support Israel. Reject jihad. Decal organization American Freedom Defense Initiative (the Initiative for the defense of American liberty)

I will not yield to intimidation, I will not stop telling the truth Because it is dangerous. Defended Freedom must be vigorously. (...) If someone commits an act of violence, it is His responsibility, not the responsibility of anyone else. Pam Geller

I am Islamophobic and phobia meaning fear. So yes, maybe yes, probably, I'm Islamophobic as much French. 'm afraid of Islam as a fear of something That is not known. (...) Islam is dangerous for democracy and Demonstrated daily. (...) It is Time That the French of all faiths stand together against fundamentalism. (...) I have read the Koran. I have not-been more reassured. What we see around us That fear exists Because That we see things scare (...) Why you want to deny things? No. It is because i am afraid That I look forward. (...) I've read That musumlans 53 countries wanted to include Sharia in Human Rights (. ..) I would-have-been 'Christianophobia at the time of the Inquisition. (...) I'm in France, a country of freedom (...) I have as much right to express myself That All Those Who speak. Véronique Genest

. Civilization Requires a modicum of material prosperity-enough to Provide a little leisure Goal far more, it Requires confidence: confidence in the society in which one lives, belief in icts philosophy, belief in icts laws, and confidence in one's own mental powers. (...) Vigour, energy, vitality: all the civilizations-or-have civilising epochs Review: Review: had a weight of energy behind 'em. People sometimes think That Consists civilization in fine sensibilities and good conversations and all that. These can be Among the agreeable results of civilization, goal They are not what make a civilization and a society thesis can-have amenities and yet be dead and rigid. Kenneth Clark

In the consensus view of modern American liberalism, it is hilarious to mock Mormons and Mormonism goal outrageous to mock Muslims and Islam. Why? Maybe it's Because nobody HAS ever been Harmed, much less killed, making fun of Mormons.

Here's what else we learned this week about the emery liberal consensus: That it's okay to denounce a movie you-have not seen, All All which is like trashing a book You Have not read. That it's okay to give perp-walk treatment to the Alleged No. doubt terrified-and-maker of the movie is politically motivated and Legally flimsy grounds of speech violation. That it's okay for the federal government to call Publicly on Google to pull the video clip from YouTube in an Attempt to mollify rampaging Islamists. That it's okay to concede the fundamentalist religious belief permitted That Ought to be Entitled to the Highest degree of social deference as can-except When Mormons and sundry Christian rubes are Concerned. (...) Finally, it need be Said That the whole purpose of free speech is to protect unpopular, heretical, vulgar and stupid views. So far, the Obama administration's approach to free speech is That It's fine long so as it's cheap and accurate no political price. This is free speech as pizza. President Obama cam to office promising That Would he start a new chat with the Muslim world, one Listened That lectured less and more. Nearly oven After years of listening, we can now hear more Clearly Where the U.S. stands in the estimation of That world: Equally despised goal considerably less Feared . Just imagine what oven more years of instinctive deference Will do. On the bright side, dear liberals, you'll still be ble to mock Mormons. They tend not to punch back, All All which is share of What Makes So Many of Them so successful in life. Bret Stephens

Thomas Cahill, in His riveting book "The Gifts of the Jews," underscores the heading "For the ancients, nothing new ever DID happen, except for the occasional monstrosity Life on Earth Followed the course of the stars And what HAD beens .. Would , in due course, come around again .... The future Was Always to be a replay of the past, as the past year simply WAS earthly replay of the drama of the heavens. " Perhaps The Most Profound gift of the Jews Is That They broke down this fatalistic notion of the world, in Which People were trapped on a great spinning wheel, with no future or past. In this way, the ancient Jews invented the concept of history in the future Which Was Not an endless but could be steered by our actions in the present cycle. They inserted the individual, and individual responsibility and justice, into the equation. This ancient Jewish view was a massive shift in how people viewed mankind's relationship to a deity-and it put responsibility squarely on the shoulders of men and women for Their Own Destiny. This Was The End of The Beginning of predetermination and personal choice, the quest for justice and liberty. (...) Democracy, Mr. Cahill says, "Directly grows out of the Israelite vision of Individuals subjects of value-Because They are pictures of God contents contents, each with a unique and personal destiny. Eric Rosenberg

There are two main attitudes I believe in human history, there is the mythology That Attempts to conceal the violence, Because, Ultimately, it is the unjust violence human Communities That depends. (...) This attitude is too universal to be Condemned. This attitude aussi of the greatest Greek philosophers, Plato Especially, Homer and Condemns all poets Because They can describe violence in Their Work Attributed by myths the gods of the city. Sees The great philosopher has in this bold revelation source of disorder, a major threat to the whole society. This attitude is Certainly The Most Widespread religious attitude, The Most normal, the MOST natural to man, and Nowadays it is more universal than ever, as believers Modernized, both, Christians and Jews, the '-have at least Partially ADOPTED. The other attitude is much more unusual and odd unique. Entirely It is reserved to great times in biblical and Christian inspiration. It is not to modestly conceal Rather aim to reveal the violence in all icts injustice and falsehood Wherever it is feasible to Identify . This is the attitude of the Book of Job and the attitude of the Gospels. This is The Most daring of the two, and in my opinion, this is the large largest. This is the attitude That allowed us to discover HAS innocence of the MOST That victims of the odd The Most religious men in Their History, never-have Ceased to kill and persecute. This is Where the inspiration common to Judaism and Christianity, and That is the key, hopefully, future Their reconciliation. It is heroic to put truth above the odd social trend . René Girard

Our world is increasingly permeated by the Gospel truth of the innocence of the victims. Attention Given to The victims Began in the Middle Ages, with the invention of the hospital. The Hôtel-Dieu, as They Said, Welcomed all victims, Regardless of Their origin. Primitive societies Were not inhuman, goal They Had No care for Their members. HAS The modern world invented the "unknown victim", as It Seems now the "unknown soldier". Christianity can now continue to grow odd without the law, for His great moral and intellectual Breakthroughs, our concern for the victims and our Careful not to make us scapegoats, Have you made us Christians are unaware. René Girard

In the Muslim faith, there is a simple, natural appearance, a practice Facilitated That HAS icts spread and Transformed the lives of many people in the tribal state by opening the modified Christianity Jewish monotheism. Goal MOST it lacks the cross of Christianity. Like Christianity Islam restores the innocent victim, Does it aim so warlike. The cross is the opposite, it's the end of violent and archaic myths. René Girard

This is the principle of strong horse, fool!

While multiply proofs of origin Clearly jihadist violence new That Is Currently sweeping the Muslim world Following the deliberate setting line (cartoons Charlie Hebdo is only the icing on the cake) of the trailer to a Hitherto obscure anti-Islam turnip concocted a year and indifference Earlier he deserved a more obscure Egyptian-American swindler ...

How not to be surprised, not to mention the ever crying fiasco Obama Doctrine , the incredible contradiction choir Western mourners, as political media, who, true to himself, Took over as one man's speech self-flagellation and up Marine Le Pen, the moral equivalence ?

Forgetting, as pointed out WAS, HOWEVER there are two years in the Middle East meet for the Weekly Standard Lee Smith (" The Strong Horse: Power, Politics and the Clash of Arab Civilizations / The strong horse: power, politics and the clash of Arab "Civilization) and confirmed in the Meantime the former U.S. ambassador to Pakistan Husain Haqqani and the Lebanese-American scholar Fouad Ajami ...

The famous and old-world Thucydides "elementary and quasi-universal principle", echoed by Osama himself Effective His crime of 9/11, both, in respect of the only strength That, as a corollary, the provocative dimension the weakness , without All which we can not Understand; many of the current responses fanatical masses of the Islamic world ...

Which, Among cult of death, honor crimes, terrorist attacks and wars, Sees sustainable mired in the worst underdevelopment by icts Inability - no doubt fueled by icts own despots Rightly Concerned for Their power-to make His great turn and corrosive radicalism of the Judeo -Christian concern for others and lower ...

In the Middle East, the focus is on the strong horse

(In Mideast, Bet on a Strong Horse)

Daniel Pipes

National Review Online

February 16, 2010

French adaptation: Johan Bourlard

Violence and cruelty of the Arabs Often confused Westerners.

It is not only the leader of Hezbollah, All which proclaims "We love death" aussi goal, to take one example, a 24 year old man last month Have you yelled "We love death more than you not love life" when he crashed his car the Bronx Whitestone Bridge-, a bridge in New York. When, in the city of St. Louis, both, the parents-have-committed a crime of honor On Their teenage daughter by stabbing her thirteen times with a butcher knife, the Palestinian father Shouted "Die ! Die Quickly! Die Quickly! ... Silence, girl! Die, my daughter, die! "And the local Arab community to supporting Then face murder charge. Recently, a prince of Abu Dhabi torturing a grain merchant he Accused of fraud DESPITE the atrocious video broadcast on television around the world, while the prince WAS Acquitted His accusers Were Convicted.

Broader scale was, There Were 15,000 terrorist attacks since September 11. Throughout the Arabic-speaking world, Governments Rely more on brutality than on the rule of law. ardent desire to The Eliminate Israel and still Persists Even When raging insurgency, the latest outbreak in Yemen.

About pathology Affecting Arab politics, there are several great essays explaining Reviews some of All which my preference: studies by David Pryce-Jones and Philip Salzman All which we must now add The Strong Horse: Power, Politics and the Clash of Arab Civilizations (Strong Horse: Power , Politics and the Clash of Arab Civilizations), a detailed analysis and captivating and remarkable nonetheless Lee Smith, Middle East match for the Weekly Standard.

Smith WAS inspired by a speech Delivered by Osama bin Laden in 2001: "When people see a strong horse and a weak horse, by nature They will like the strong horse. "What Smith calls the principle of strong horse Consists of two single Elements: the seizure of power and the conservation thereof. This principle is predominant as in the Arab world, public life has "no mechanism for peaceful transition or power-sharing, All which is why political conflicts are seen as a fight to the death Between strong horses. " Violence, says Smith, is "at the heart of the political, social and cultural life of the Middle East Arabic life." More subtly it Involves keeping a watchful eye on the next strong horse against All which we must weigh the pros and locate and cons.

According To Smith, this is the strong horse principle, not Western imperialism or Zionism, "which Determined The Fundamental character of the Arabic-speaking Middle East." The Islamic religion Itself is cast in the mold form of authoritarianism, that 'the strong horse, she Promoted. Muhammad, the prophet of Islam, Was a strong man in addition to Being a religious figure. Sunni Muslims Ruled-have for centuries "by violence, repression and coercion." The famous theory of history made by Ibn Khaldun HAS resulted in a cycle of violence in All which strong horses replace weak horses. The humiliation of dhimmis daily Reminds non-Muslims That It is not the law They Have you make.

The angle of approach ADOPTED by Smith sheds light on the modern history of the Middle East. It has a hand Arab nationalism as an attempt processing ponies made by national Governments into one big horse and SECONDLY Islamism as an attempt to regain Their power to Muslims. As for Israel, it reserves as a "proxy strong horse" for Both the United States and the Egyptian-Saudi block in arm wrestling, real Cold War, All which it opposing the Iranian block. In a world marked by the principle of strong horse, gun law Attracted more than polls. shortly. Lacking strong horse, Arab liberals argue As the Most Powerful non-Arab and non-Muslim state, the United States make the anti-Americanism Both inevitable and endemic.

This Brings us to the policies of the non-Arab countries: They, DESPITE Their actual power and endurance, fail, says Smith. Be nice - that is to say, to Withdraw unilaterally from southern Lebanon and Gaza - Inevitably leads to failure. The administration of George W. Bush Launched Rightly project carrier hopes democratization, and Then betray the liberal Arabs not leading this project. In Iraq, the administration ignored the recommendation HAS to install in power a strong pro-democracy rights.

The Druze Walid Jumblatt, a Lebanese political leader, advance the idea of American car bomb attacks in Damascus.

More Broadly, When the U.S. Government backs of others (eg the Iranian leaders)-have the opportunity to "impose Their Law in the area." Walid Jumblatt, a Lebanese political leader, more or less Suggested Seriously, that 'Washington' do blow up because bombs in Damascus "in order to get the message across and to His Show That America HAS figured out how the Arabs are doing it.

Elemental and Almost universal principle Formulated by Smith is a tool for understanding Many aspects of the Arab world, Including the cult of death, honor killings, terrorist attacks, despotism, war ... While Acknowledging the strong horse principle That May shock Westerners and APPEAR to have 'em terribly cruel, Rightly Smith insists on the existence of this cold reality That Those Who Are not savvy Must Recognize and take into account against All which sponds They Must.

Husain Haq

The WSJ

September 17, 2012

The attacks on U.S. diplomatic Mission last weekend Beginning in Egypt and Libya, and moving to Yemen and other Muslim countries cam under cover of riots against an obscure online video insulting Islam and the Prophet Muhammad. Aim the mob violence and assaults shoulds be seen for what They Really are: an Attempt by Islamists to garner the media and Mobilize Their base by exacerbating anti-Western sentiments.

When Secretary of State Hillary Clinton tried to calm Muslims Thursday by denouncing the video, She Was unwittingly playing along with the ruse the radicals set up. The United States Would have been better off Focusing only on the That Was contempt of legitimate interest to the American government: the Lack of respect shown by a complaisant-Egyptian government and other Islamists-for U.S. diplomatic missions.

Protests orchestrated on the pretext of slights and offenses against Islam-have beens share of Islamist strategy for decades. Iran's ayatollahs year Entire revolution built around anti-Americanism. While the Iranian revolution WAS Underway in 1979 Pakistan's Islamists whipped up crowds by spreading rumors That The Americans occupied Forcibly HAD MOST Islam's sacred Ka'aba the website or the Grand Mosque in Mecca, Saudi Arabia. Pakistani protesters burned the U.S. Embassy in Islamabad.

Violent demonstrations in Many Parts of the Muslim world partner partner after the 1989 fatwa-or-religious condemnation of a novel by Salman Rushdie, or the Effective Danish daily Jyllands-Posten published cartoons of the Prophet Muhammad in 2005 also Did Not Represent spontaneous outrage. Each box in, the insult to Islam or prophet WAS icts first publicized by Islamists Themselves So They Could use it as justification for Planned violence.

Once mourning over the death of the U.S. ambassador to Libya and others Subsidies, we will hear arguments familiar in the West. Some Will Say That Rightly Islamist sensibilities and cannot shoulds not lead to self-censorship here. Others Will Point Out That freedom of speech shoulds not be equated with a freedom to offend. They Will Say: Just as a non-Jew, out of respect for other religious beliefs, Does not exercise His freedom to desecrate a Torah scroll, similar respect shoulds be extended to Muslims and What They deem sacred.

Goal this debate, as thoughtful as it May be, is a distraction from what is really going on. It ignored the intent of political Islamists For Whom Perceived every affront to Islam is an opportunity to exploit a wedge issue for Their Own empowerment.

As for insults, the Western mainstream is, by and wide, quite respectful Toward Muslims, millions of Whom HAVE ADOPTED Europe and North America as Their home and enjoy all the Freedoms Has To offer the West, Including the freedom to worship. Insignificant or unnoticed videos and publications Would Have no impact on anyone, anywhere, if the Islamists About About did not choose to publicize em for radical effect.

And insults, real or hyped, are not the problem. At the heart of Muslim street violence is the frustration of the world's Muslims Their steady decline for over three centuries, a decline coincided That HAS with the rise and spread of the West's military, Economic and intellectual prowess.

During the 800 years of Muslim ascendancy Beginning in the eighth century, in Southern Europe, North Africa and much of Western Asia-Muslims About About did not riot to protest non-Muslim insults against Islam, or related prophet. There is no historic record of random attacks against non-Muslim targets in retaliation for a non-Muslim insulting Prophet Muhammad, though there are many books derogatory Toward Islam's prophet That Were written in the era of Islam's great empires. Muslims under Turkey's Ottomans, for example, About About did not attack non- -Muslim Envoys (the medieval equivalent of today's Embassies) or churches upon hearing of real or rumored European sacrilege against Their religion.

Clearly, Then, violent responses to Perceived injury are not integral to Islam. A religion is what icts followers make it, and Muslims opting for violence-have to paint Their Chosen as One That faith is prone to anger. Frustration With Their Inability to succeed Between Nations in the competition Also has led Muslims to seek Some symbolic victories.

Yet the momentary triumph of burning Reviews Reviews another country's flag or setting on fire a Western embassy building or business is a poor substitute Widespread goal for global success EVADED That the modern world's 1.5 billion Muslims. Violent protest Represents the lower rung of the ladder of rage, terrorism is higher icts form.

Almost by definition Islamists-have a vested interest in fanning the flames of Muslim victimhood Continuously. For Islamists, wrath against the West is the Basis for Their claim to the holder of Muslim masses, taking focus away from societal Political and Economic failures. For example , the 57 member states of the Organization of Islamic Conference account for one-fifth of the world's population goal Their combined gross domestic product is less than 7% of global output-a harsh reality for All All which offer no solution of Islamists.

Even Effective Recent Developments That Were labeled the Arab Spring, Few Muslim-Majority countries Either Fulfill gold look Likely to-the Criteria for freedom set by the independent group Freedom House. Among Muslims Mainstream discourse blames everyone Themselves goal for this situation. The image of year ascending West belittling Islam with the view to Eliminate it reserved as a convenient explanation for Muslim weakness.

Once the Muslim world embraces freedom of expression, it Will Be Able to Recognize the value of freedom That odd for Those Who offend Muslim sensibilities. More importantly: Only in a free democratic environment Will the world's Muslims be ble to debate the causes of Their powerlessness , All in All which stirs anger em Greater than Any Specific Action on the hand of Islam's Western detractors.

Until Then, the U.S. Would do well to remember Osama bin Laden's not how long the Effective Sept. 11 attacks: "When people see a strong horse and a weak horse, by nature They will like the strong horse." shoulds do nothing That America Enables Islamists to portray the nation as the weak horse.

Mr. Haqqani is professor of International Relations at Boston University and senior fellow at the Hudson Institute. He served as Pakistan's ambassador to the U.S. in 2008-11.

See also:

The Strong Horse

A journalist Argues That inter-Arab conflict is the central crisis of the Middle East.

Jackson Holahan

The Christian Science Monitor

January 27, 2010

With fists raised and mouths agape in apparent discontent, the several men gathering outside a mosque just a fraction Consists of the unruly mass mobbing the local streets. rejoicing or are they protesting? Either way Their strained looks and fist-pumping fervor do not bode well for the photographer snapping this image only A Few feet away.

This scene is the cover photo of Lee Smith's The Strong Horse: Power, Politics, and the Clash of Arab Civilizations. After eight-plus years of United States military involvement in the Middle East, this snapshot might sccm accurate enough to the casual book browser . Disgruntled demonstrators nestled below minarets, protesting injustice Some unbeknownst to the viewer, May sccm to standard fare to Some American readers, Many of Whom are tired of hearing about soldiers from Kentucky, Vermont, Texas, and California Being bloodied and maimed on the other side of the world.

Goal just pages into the introduction, Smith, who is the Middle East match for the Weekly Standard, shatters the stereotype Evoked in the jacket's photograph by Stating That, "I give no credence to the idea That the Arab-Israeli crisis is the [Middle East's] central issue. "Just one of a number of provocative assertions, Smith wastes little time in Introducing a reexamination of Middle Eastern history That calls into issue the odd conventional MOST of American and Western beliefs.

To begin with, he Argues That 9/11 Was Not an attack on America goal Rather the extension of an inter-Arab fight Exported to the new battleground of lower Manhattan. "Bin Ladenism is not drawn from the extremist fringe order Represents the political and social norm [of the Arabic-speaking Middle East]. " Smith Explains thesis two conclusions, as he Does the Middle East's political philosophy writ broad, using the "strong horse" principle.

Borrowed from an Osama bin Laden quote, Smith's strong horse theory is grounded upon the belief That, "[V] iolence is central to the politics, society and culture of the Arabic-speaking Middle East." The strong horse is the person, tribe, country, or nation That cable is best to impose upon others icts Will, The Weaker horses, through the use of strength.

. Smith's novel finding here is Hardly It is a reapplication of Thucydides' famous aphorism from "The History of the Peloponnesian War": "The strong do what They will and the weak Suffer What They Must." HOWEVER, Smith's use of this age-old doctrine to better Understand U.S. Arab relationship is far from conventional.

In a climate increasingly attuned to AVOID offense, Smith's strident declarations are bound to lavish significant criticism. DESPITE this, Smith never wavers in His bold thesis That the Arab world HAS long-been at war with Itself and is currently on a path Toward Some self -destruction.

"The Strong Horse" is Both succinct and accessible. Smith's conclusions are Introduced early, Restated Often, and buttressed by Both history and the author's personal encounters falling on His travels Throughout the area. His willingness to venture into the sometimes provocative Has the effect of . making Assumptions His sound less Rightly After calling the rising epidemic of suicide bombing what it is - a death cult - he Concludes That the Arabs are as a people, His induction here is overblown, as no sweeping conclusions can Accurately describe the mind "losing Their Will To Live. " Hundreds of millions of state of the world's people.

Intermittent inaccuracies aside, "The Strong Horse" is significant read for anyone interested in the Middle East, and PARTICULARLY in the involvement of the United States in the area since 2001 year. Some cast Will Smith's zealous diagnosis of the cradle of civilization's ills as ethnocentric jingoism. As harsh as His conclusions May be, They Certainly are not unfair.

Smith is Equally critical of U.S. foreign policy HAS That has-been shortsighted, inconsistent, and ill-informed. Rightly He is wary of U.S. alliances with regimes That at best pay lip service to our Antiterror Aims and at worst overtly Supporting the very groups and Individuals we are Trying to target. Just as the American experiment with democracy in Iraq Was an endeavor rich in optimism and in egregious miscalculation, so too, Smith Argues, are U.S. alliances with Some countries in the Middle East.

Smith advocates a U.S. diplomatic and military approach to the Middle East That mirrors the nuance and complexity characteristic of the area's Numerous ethnicities, languages, histories, and is incumbent compete competing claims to power. It is clear the U.S. Will need a broad measure of Smith's willingness to call the Shortcomings, Successes, and lies of the Middle East are What They Actually if anything is beneficial to result from our activities in the area.

Jackson is a freelance writer Holahan in East Haddam, Ct

See also:

Muslim Rage and the Obama Retreat

We can not declare a unilateral end to our troubles, or avert our gaze from the disorder afflicts That the societies of the Greater Middle East.

Fouad Ajami

The WSJ

September 20, 2012

This is not a Jimmy Carter moment U.S. Embassy staff and Its Seized and Held hostage for 444 days, America's enemies taking stock of icts weakness, icts allies running for cover. Purpose the anti-American protests broke That upon this past week 20 nations must be reckoned a great personal failure for Barack Obama, and a box of hubris undone.

No American president before this one HAD Proclaimed Such intimacy with a world That stretches from Morocco to Indonesia. From the start of His administration, Mr. Obama put forth His own biography as a bridge to Those aggrieved nations. He Would Be a "different president , "he promised, and the years he Lived Among Muslims Would acquired him-and Malthus America Itself. Was He the a-Bush.

And so, in June 2009, Mr. Obama Descended on Cairo. He Had Opposed the Iraq war, he HAD Muslim relative, and he Would offer Egyptians, and by extension other Arabs, the promise of a "new beginning." They Told Their history as a tale of victimization at the hands of outsiders, and he empathized with That narrative.

He spoke of "colonialism and Opportunities That denied rights to many Muslims, and a Cold War in Muslim-Majority countries Which Were Too Often Treated as proxies without regard to Their Own aspirations."

Without Knowing it, he HAD broken a time-honored maxim of That world. Never speak ill of your own people When in the company of strangers There Was too little recognition of the malignant trilogy-anti-Americanism, anti-Semitism and anti- modernism-that HAD poisoned the life of Egypt and much of the area.

Took the crowd in what this stranger Had to say, and Some Were flattered by His embrace of Their culture. Goal ever since icts encounter with the guns and ideas of the West in the opening years of the 19th century, the area HAD seen conquerors come and go. Its people-have an unfailing eye for the promised and Predilections of outsiders.

Did I t take long for this new American leader to come down to earth. In the summer of 2009, Iran erupted in rebellion against theocratic rulers icts. Exposed That upheaval the contradictions at the heart of the Obama approach. At His core, He Was a hyper-realist: The call of freedom About About did not tug at him. He Was That The theocracy Would Some sponds to His outreach, resulting and and in a diplomatic breakthrough. Iran's clerical rulers aim Had No interest in a breakthrough. We are the Great Satan and demons They need to maintain maintenance Maintenance Their Their grip on power foreign.

The embattled "liberals" in the area Were awakened to the truth of Mr. Obama. He Was a Man of the status quo, with a superficial knowledge of lands beyond. In Cairo, he HAD Described himself as a "student of history." His first goal in foreign television interview, he Declared His intention to restore US relations with the Islamic world to "the same respect and partnership HAD That America with the Muslim world as Recently as 20 or 30 years ago."

This coincided, Almost to the day, with the 30th anniversary of the Ayatollah Khomeini's rise to power in Iran. That "golden age" he Sought to restore the Soviet invasion of covered Afghanistan, the fall of Beirut to the forces of terror, deadly attacks on our Embassies, the downing of Pan Am Flight 103 over Lockerbie, Scotland, and more. A trail of terror HAD shadowed the American presence.

Yet here Was a President Who Would end this history, Who Would WITHDRAW From Both the "good war" in Afghanistan and the bad one in Iraq. Here Was a President Who Would America's real enemy target al-Qaeda. "Osama bin Laden is dead ". Told we've been time and again, and good riddance to him Those attacking our goal last week Embassies Review: Review: had a disturbing rebuttal: "Obama, we are Osama!" They chanted, brandishing al Qaeda flags Some.

Until last Tuesday's deadly attack on our consulate in Benghazi, It was the fashion of Mr. Obama and his lieutenants to proclaim That the tide of war is receding. Purpose we can not declare a unilateral end to our troubles, nor can we avert our gaze from the disorder afflicts That the societies of the Greater Middle East.

A Muslim world That can take to the streets, as far away as Jakarta, in protest against a vulgar movie depiction of the Prophet Muhammad-yet barely call up a crowd On Behalf of a Syrian population HAS That Endured unspeakable hell at the hands of the dictator Bashar al-Assad is in need of repair and self-criticism. We do no favor if we leave thesis societies' em to the illusion That They Can pass through the gates of the modern world carrying Those ruinous ideas.

Yet the word in Washington is Abebooks web must pull back from Those troubled Arab and Muslim lands. The great expectations for That Mr. Obama HAD Afghanistan-have-been Largely forgotten. The Taliban are happy to wait us out, secure in the knowledge That , come 2014, we and our allies Will Have quit the place. And Neighboring Pakistan, a nuclear-armed country with 170 million people, is written off as a hotbed of extremism.

Meanwhile, Syria burns and calls for help, the call goes unanswered goal. The civil war there HAS Become a Sunni-Shiite schism great. Lebanon Teeters on the edge. More importantly, disorder HAS spilled into Turkey. The Turks-have come to resent the American abdication and the heavy burden the Syrian struggle HAS Imposed on em. In contrast, the mullahs in Iran-have read the landscape well and are Determined to sustain the Assad dictatorship.

Our foreign policy has-been altered, as never before, to fit one man's electoral needs. We hear from the presidential handlers only what They want us to believe about the temper of distant lands. It was only yesterday That our leader, we are Told , HAD solved the riddle of our position in the world.

Give him your warrant, the palace guard intone, at least Until the next election. In tales of charismatic, Chosen leaders, it is always, and only, about the man at the helm.

Mr. Ajami is a senior fellow at Stanford's Hoover Institution and the author of MOST Recently "The Syrian Rebellion" (Hoover Press, 2012).

See similarly:

Muslims, Mormons and Liberals
Why is it OK to mock one religion but not Reviews Reviews another?
Bret Stephens
September 19, 2012
'Hasa Diga Eebowai "is the hit number in Broadway's hit musical" The Book of Mormon, "which won nine Tony awards last year. What does the sentence mean? I can not tell you, Because it's unprintable in a family newspaper.
On the other hand, if you can Afford to shell out several hundred bucks for a seat, Then you can watch a Mormon missionary His holy book stuffed get-well, I can not tell you about that, Either. Let's just say It Has New York City audiences roaring with laughter.
Why is it OK to mock one religion but not Reviews Reviews another? Columnist Bret Stephens along Opinion Journal.
The "Book of Mormon"-a performance of All All which Hillary Clinton Attended last year, without Registering a complaint comes to mind, as the administration falls over Itself denouncing "Innocence of Muslims." This is a movie That May or May not exist; Whose makers are Likely not Who They Say They Are, Whose actors claim to-have known Neither plot nor the purpose of the film; All and All which HAS never been seen by Any member of the public except as a video clip on the Internet.
No matter.The movie, the administration says, is "hateful and offensive" (Susan Rice), "reprehensible and disgusting" (Jay Carney) and, in a twist, "disgusting and reprehensible" (Hillary Clinton). Mr. Carney, the White House Spokesman, also lays sole blame on the movie for inciting the riots That-have swept the Muslim world and the lives of Claimed Ambassador Chris Stevens and three of His staff in Libya.
So let's get this straight: In the consensus view of modern American liberalism, it is hilarious to mock Mormons and Mormonism goal outrageous to mock Muslims and Islam. Why? Maybe it's Because nobody HAS ever been Harmed, much less killed, making fun of Mormons.
Here's what else we learned this week about the emery liberal consensus: That it's okay to denounce a movie you-have not seen, All All which is like trashing a book You Have not read. That it's okay to give perp-walk treatment to the Alleged No. doubt terrified-and-maker of the movie is politically motivated and Legally flimsy grounds of speech violation. That it's okay for the federal government to call Publicly on Google to pull the video clip from YouTube in an Attempt to mollify rampaging Islamists. That it's okay to concede the fundamentalist religious belief permitted That Ought to be Entitled to the Highest degree of social deference as can-except When Mormons and sundry Christian rubes are Concerned.
And, finally, this: That the most "progressive" administration in recent U.S. history Will Make no principled defense of free speech to a Muslim world That Could stand hearing Such a defense. After the debut of "The Book of Mormon" musical, the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints Responded with this statement: "The Production May Attempt to entertain audiences for an evening purpose the Book of Mormon as a volume of scripture Will Change people's lives forever by Bringing them closer to Christ."
That was it.The People's Front for the Liberation of Provo Will not be gunning for a theater near you. Is it answer ask asking too much of religious and political leaders in Muslim Communities to adopt a similar attitude?
It Need not be. A principled defense of free speech by quoting the start Could Quran: "And It Has already come down to you in the Book That When you hear the verses of Allah [recited], They are denied [by em] and ridiculed, so do not sit with 'em Until They enter into Reviews Reviews another talk. " In this light, the true test of religious belief is indifference, not susceptibility, to mockery.
The Defense That Could add a great religion Surely cannot be goaded into frenetic mob violence on the slimmest provocation. Yet to watch the pictures coming out of Benghazi, Cairo, Tunis and Sana'a is to witness Some significant portion of a civilization Being Transformed into Travis Bickle, the character Robert De Niro in Taxi Driver made unforgettable. "You talkin 'to me?"
A defense also Would Point Out That year Islamic world insists That we measure of religious observance That Needs also to offer respect in turn. Sheikh Yusuf Qaradawi When-the closest thing to a Sunni Islam HAS-pope praises Hitler for exacting "divine punishment" on the Jews, that 'respect Exactly Is not apparent. Nor has it beens Especially apparent in the waves of Islamist-instigated pogroms That-have swept Egypt's Coptic community in recent years.
Finally, it need be Said That the whole purpose of free speech is to protect unpopular, heretical, vulgar and stupid views. So far, the Obama administration's approach to free speech is That It's fine long so as it's cheap and accurate no political price. This is free speech as pizza.
President Obama cam to office promising That Would he start a new chat with the Muslim world, one Listened That lectured less and more. Nearly oven After years of listening, we can now hear more Clearly Where the U.S. stands in the estimation of That world: Equally despised goal considerably less Feared. Just imagine what oven more years of instinctive deference Will do.
On the bright side, dear liberals, you'll still be ble to mock Mormons. They tend not to punch back, All All which is share of What Makes So Many of Them so successful in life.
Finally, see:

The Whispers of Democracy in Ancient Judaism

The prayers of the High Holidays rest on personal responsibility-the Basis of self-government.

Eric Rosenberg

September 20, 2012

Jews are in the Midst of a period known as the Days of Awe, Which Began on Sunday night with Rosh Hashanah and Yom Kippur culminates with next Wednesday. It Seems Almost a misnomer to call them "holidays," though the first marks the Jewish New year. Rather, They are deeply personal events Whose aim is self-reflection, self-improvement and repairing what is broken in daily relationships.

It's striking how much this Most Important period on the Jewish calendar shares with That Most Essential exercise in American democracy. Walt Whitman wrote in the late 1800s That "a well-Contested American national election" was "the triumphant result of faith in human kind. " This country's only sense of optimism-the view That the future is unwritten and full of possibility, that 'anything can be Achieved-is also the sensibility underpinning the Days of Awe.

It was cosmic level, Rosh Hashanah commemorates the birth of the world. On an individual level, it marks the rebirth of the soul as Jews examined Their faults and ask forgiveness from Those They Have wronged. At heart, Yom Kippur and Rosh Hashanah are deeply optimistic events. A major theme in the Jews recite prayers on the High Holidays is the Striving to be a better person, with the understanding Abebooks web are in control of our future.

As moderns, we take for Granted Fundamentally how revolutionary the Jews Were in arriving at this novel concept about time, destiny and personal responsibility. Until Their call to monotheism Nearly oven millennia ago, the worldview in the Levant was very different. Was an endless Life Devoted to agrarian pursuits cycle and appeasing warring gods in aid of Those pursuits.

Thomas Cahill, in His riveting book "The Gifts of the Jews," underscores the heading "For the ancients, nothing new ever DID happen, except for the occasional monstrosity Life on Earth Followed the course of the stars And what HAD beens .. Would , in due course, come around again .... The future Was Always to be a replay of the past, as the past year simply WAS earthly replay of the drama of the heavens. "

Perhaps The Most Profound gift of the Jews Is That They broke down this fatalistic notion of the world, in Which People were trapped on a great spinning wheel, with no future or past. In this way, the ancient Jews invented the concept of history in the future Which Was Not an endless but could be steered by our actions in the present cycle. They inserted the individual, and individual responsibility and justice, into the equation.

This ancient Jewish view was a massive shift in how people viewed mankind's relationship to a deity-and it put responsibility squarely on the shoulders of men and women for Their Own Destiny. This Was The End of The Beginning of predetermination and personal choice, the quest for justice and liberty. These themes, prevalent in the Jewish liturgy, are on display Among the candidates is incumbent compete competing for the White House, whatever the political party.

Democracy, Mr. Cahill says, "Directly grows out of the Israelite vision of Individuals subjects of value-Because They are pictures of God contents contents, each with a unique and personal destiny."

Similarly, the University of Chicago historian William F. Irwin lectured in the 1940s That It Was the ancient Jewish prophets and Their advocacy of freedom That Would find an early expression in the Magna Carta and later in the American Bill of Rights. Perhaps partly That Is Because The ancient Jews HAD Such terrible experiences with monarchs.

Before the Jews swapped Their political system-one of a collection of judges, for a monarchy, to be like other Near Eastern Governments, the prophet Samuel Warned of predilection for the tyranny of kings and over-taxation. A People Will buckle under a king Samuel Warned to no avail. "He Will take your best fields, vineyards, and olive groves, and give 'em to His servants. Tithe He Will your crops and grape harvests to give to His servants and his Officials. He Will take your male and female slaves .... As for you, You Will Become His slaves. "

One can hear, without too much strain, the distant echoes of Samuel's admonitions in Thomas Jefferson's catalog against King George in the Declaration of Independence.

Mr. Rosenberg, a national correspondent for Hearst Newspapers form, is a vice president for Ogilvy Washington.

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Election américaine/2012: To return to the Carter years? (Can we really Afford Another Jimmy Carter Hussein term?)

September 13, 2012

Pacifism is objectively pro-fascist. It's basic common sense. George Orwell

The real conundrum is why the president Seems So Compelled to take Both Sides of every issue, Encouraging voters to project whatever They Want on him, and They Will not Realize Hopping All All which hand is holding the rabbit. That a large section of the country views him as a socialist while in His own party Many are Concluding That Does not he share Their Values speaks volumes - but not the volumes His advisers are selling: that if you make Both the right and left mad, you must be doing something right . As a practicing psychologist with more than 25 years of experience, I will resist the temptation to diagnose at a distance goal as a scientist and Strategic consultant I will venture Some hypotheses. Review: Review: The most charitable explanation is That he and his advisers-have succumbed to a view of electoral success to Which Many Democrats succumb - that "centrist" voters like "centrist" politicians. Unfortunately, reality is more complicated. Centrist voters prefer honest politicians Have you help 'em Their solve problems. A second possibility is That he is simply not up to the task by virtue of His Lack of experience and a character defect That might not-have-been so debilitating at Some Other Time in history. Those of us Who Were bewitched by His eloquence on the campaign trail thing to Some ignore disquieting aspects of His biography: that he HAD accomplished very little before he ran for president, Having never run a business or a state; That He Had a singularly unremarkable career as a law professor, publishing nothing in 12 years at the University of Chicago other than an autobiography; That and, before joining the United States Senate, he HAD voted "present" (instead of "yea" or "nay") 130 times, sometimes dodging difficulty issues. Drew Westen (Emory university, Aug 2011. )

And the usual reactions of self-flagellation of the Obama Administration All which, Effective helping the Libyan Islamists to get rid of Gaddafi continued to more than a trillion dollars a year to finance an increasingly radical Islamic government in Cairo ...

Our media with short memories are already looking forward to two months of the presidential election in November, the "new faux pas" of the Republican candidate Mitt Romney Have you Had the misfortune to want to spot the obvious ...

Discount record straight with military analyst Victor Davis Hanson, Have you pointed out That the current U.S. administration in fact Does reap the benefits of a systematic policy of appeasement to Islamic violence face ...

Strangely like, thirty years of distances

so, to That Which marked the end of the mandate of a Jimmy Carter ...

Storming Embassies, Killing Ambassadors, and 'Smart' Diplomacy

Victor Davis Hanson

National Review

September 12, 2012

The attacks on the U.S. embassy in Cairo yesterday and the storming of the American consulate in Libya, the U.S. ambassador Where WAS murdered along with three staff members - and the initial official American reaction to the mayhem - are all happy reprehensible contents, each in Their Own Way. Let us sort out this terrible chain of events.

Timing:. The assaults cam Exactly on the eleventh anniversary of bin Laden's and al-Qaeda's attack on America If There Was Any doubt about the intent of the timing, the appearance of black flags al-Qaedist Among the mobs removed it. The chanting of Osama bin Laden's name made it doubly clear Who Were the heroes of the Egyptian mob. Why Should we be surprised by the lackluster response of the Egyptian and Libyan "Authorities" to protect diplomatic sanctuaries, Given the kind of the "Governments" in Both countries ? One of the demonstration's organizers WAS Egyptian Mohamed al-Zawahiri, the brother of the top deputy to Osama bin Laden, and a planner of the 9/11 attacks, Which Were led by Mohamed Atta, an Egyptian citizen. In Libya, the violence Reminding the world is sick That the problem in the Middle East is not dictators propped up by the U.S. - Qaddafi Was an archenemy of the U.S. - but the proverbial Arab Street That can blame everything and everyone, from a cartoon to a video, for the wages of icts own self-induced pathologies. So far, all the Arab Spring is the dictatorial Accomplishing is Removing props and authoritarian excuses for grass roots Middle East madness.

Ingratitude: Egypt is a beneficiary of Currently more than $ 1 trillion in annual American aid, and Its New Muslim Brotherhood-led government is Negotiating to-have much of icts sizable U.S. debt forgiven. Libya, remember, Was the recipient of the Obama administration's "lead from behind" That work led to the removal of Muammar Qaddafi - and Gave Apparently the demonstrators present the freedom to kill Americans. This is all called Expired Expired "smart" diplomacy.

Appeasement: Here are a Few sentences from the statement Issued by the Cairo embassy before it attacked This This WAS: "The Embassy of the United States in Cairo Condemns the Continuing efforts by misguided Individuals to hurt the religious feelings of Muslims - as we condemn efforts to offend believers of all religions. . .. We Firmly reject the shares by Those Who abuse the universal right of free speech to hurt the religious beliefs of others. "

The Problem? The embassy WAS Those zealots Have you not condemning Then stormed grounds Their Own, But Some eccentric private Citizens back home Have you made a movie.

One Would Have Thought That The Obama administration HAD learned something from the Rushdie fatwa and prophet cartoon incidents. This initial official American diplomatic reaction - Supposed to condemn the excess of free speech in the United States, as if the government is responsible for the constitutionally- Few protected speech of a private American Citizens, while the Egyptian government is not responsible for a mass demonstration against violence and an embassy of the United States - is not just shameful, absurd goal. The author of this American diplomatic statement shoulds be fired time time immediately -. as well as diplomatic staff Any Have you approved it official overseas Obviously our Representatives do not Understand, read or have-nots, the U.S. Constitution. And if the administration claims the embassy That Issued the appeasing statement About About did so without authority, Then We-have a larger problem with freelancing diplomats across the globe Have you weigh in with statements supposedly do not Reflect That official policy. Note, HOWEVER, that 'the initial diplomatic communiqué is the logical extension of this administration's rhetoric (see below).

Shame: As gratitude for our Overthrowing a cruel despot in Libya, Libyan extremists-have murdered the American ambassador and his staffers. The Libyan government,: such as it is there, or Either cannot Will not protect U.S. diplomatic staff. And the world wonders why last year the U.S. bombed one group of cutthroats only to aid Libyan Reviews Reviews another.

The attacks in Egypt come a little over three Years After the embarrassing Obama Cairo speech, in All All which the president created an Entire mythology about the history of Islam, in vain hopes of appeasing His Egyptian hosts. Ongoing The violence follows as comical efforts of the administration to assure us That the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt is not an Islamic extremist organization bent on turning Egypt into a theocratic state. And the attacks are simultaneous with President Obama's Ongoing and crude efforts to embarrass Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu.

The future. Expect more violence. The Libyan murderers are now empowered, and, like the infamous Iranian hostage-takers, feel Either Their government supports em or can not stop 'em. The crowd in Egypt Knew what it WAS doing it When chanted Obama's Juxtaposed to Osama's name.

Obama's efforts to appease Islam is an utter failure, as we see in various polls That show no change in anti-American attitudes in the Middle East - Despite The president's initial al Arabiya interview ("We sometimes make mistakes We have-nots-been perfect .. "), the rantings of National Intelligence Director James Clapper (eg," The term 'Muslim Brotherhood' ... is an umbrella term for a variety of movements, in the case of Egypt, a very heterogeneous group, Largely secular, All All which eschewed violence and decried HAS HAS al-Qaeda as a perversion of Islam "), and the absurdities of our NASA director (". When I Became the NASA administrator ... Perhaps foremost, he [President Obama] wanted me to find a way to reach out to the Muslim world and engage much more with dominantly Muslim nations to help 'em feel good about Their historic contribution to science ") -. to cite only a Few From Many examples multiplicity.

At Some Point, someone in the administration is going to fathom That the more one seeks to appease radical Islam, the more the lathing despises the appeaser.

These terrible attacks on the anniversary of 9/11 are extremely significant. They come right at a time When We Are Considering an aggregate $ 1 trillion cutback in defense over the next decade. They make us cautious about shoulds give Proposed Intervention in Syria. They leave our Arab Spring policy in tatters, and the whole "reset" approach to the Middle East incoherent. They embarrass Any Have you continue to contextualize radical Islamic violence. Juxtaposed The chants of "Osama" and "Obama" in Egypt make a mockery of the recent "We killed Osama" spiking the football at the Democratic convention. And They remind us why 2012 is sadly looking a lot like 1980 - When in a similar election year, in a similarly minded administration, the proverbial chickens of four years of " smart "diplomacy tragically came home to roost.

See also:

1980 Redux

Victor Davis Hanson

National Review

September 12, 2012

We are in scary times. horrific photos of The Ambassador Stevens bring to mind memories of Mogadishu or Fallujah, and make us ask why Were there not Dozens, if not vastly more Marines around him in His hour of need. By preemptively caving into radical Islam and not defending the U.S. Constitution and our traditions of Protecting odd uncouth expression, the Cairo embassy's shameful release only Invited Greater Such manifest hostility by appeasement.

I'm afraid That A number of hostile entities abroad Will Be reviewing all this in the context of the last years and oven surmising That May this be the best time, as in 1979-1980 (eg, Russians in Afghanistan, Communist take-overs in Central America, the Chinese invading Vietnam hostages in Tehran, etc. ..) to cash in Their chips. Radical Islamists Knew That Their Governments in Egypt and Libya Would not Either, or Could not, do anything Effective When They Went Americans, talk of radical defense cuts and American financial implosion May encourage others to take chances in the past When They Would not-have, there is trouble brewing in Asian waters over Disputed territories and perceptions That The U.S. Whether conventionally or odd in the nuclear sense, is not quite the strong ally of Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, and the Philippines That It once was; When We snub the Israeli prime minister, Effective long series of slights Earlier, the post goes out to Tehran That The U.S. is NOT ENTIRELY sour That It Will aid Israel in coming icts time of crisis. And by now we-have Heard enough Cairo-like speeches, al Arabiya interviews, and seen enough to know bows Abebooks web can always find yet a new way to be culpable for odd self-induced pathologies Middle East.

Note the recurrent theme. We always blame the wrong entities We Netanyahu fault for making a pest of himself for Supposed Reminding us of Tehran's nuclear progress. We go the Effective nuts Have you made the anti-Muslim movie Rather than the far Greater risk of Who Would bloodthirsty Islamists murder to deny all free speech. When Major Hasan WAS His rampage goes on, our chief of staff of the army time time immediately laments the threat to our diversity program. freight KSM That We might not get His civil trial, gold Mutallab His Miranda rights. Targeted As Coptics are, we assure Ourselves That the Muslim Brotherhood is secular, and on and on.

Helene Sallon

The World

12.09.2012

The Republican candidate HAS he made a wrong step by Directly attacking President Obama on His management of deadly incidents in Libya? Mitt Romney Did He not take too much risk in leaving the reservation, and leaving His favorite terrain, economy, to rush headlong on the foreign policy? This is what tend to believe a Majority of the American press, Wednesday, Sept. 12, headlined together on "isolation" of Romney.

"After a surge of criticism, most is Republicans in Washington, odd Among The Most vocal critics of Barack Obama, joined with Democrats to denounce the violent attacks against the American Embassies in Egypt and Libya, while resisting the temptation to criticize the reply thereto Provided the Obama administration, "reports the New York Times. Republican senator from the Like Kentucky, Mitch McConnell, Who Said on Wednesday ". We pay tribute to Americans Who Have Lost Their Lives in Libya and Will show our unity in response need to make"

This message of unity That cam to Deliver an audience of Republicans in the Senate Appeared in perfect contrast with the line taken by Their presidential candidate, Mitt Romney. By Tuesday evening, without waiting for the end of the partisan truce Imposed by the commemorations of September 11, the Republican candidate HAS Described as "shameful" the government's response to Barack Obama's anti-American attacks in Egypt and Libya and Accused of sympathizing with Muslim extremists. "Apologize American values is never the right thing to do," he added , REFERRING to the condemnation by the U.S. Embassy in Cairo movie behind the violence. formalizing Without HOWEVER, that 'the odd statement WAS published before the eruption of violence to appease the Egyptian street.

Read in English on the BBC, the reactions to the attacks of U.S. Embassies in Cairo and Benghazi.

"ATTACKS politicians"

Team Obama campaign Quickly Responded to criticism of Mr. Romney, His Spokesman Ben LaBolt accusing him of launching "attacks politicians" Such tragedy of the day, reports the Politico website. Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry called Expired Mitt Romney to apologize for comments he Described as irresponsible and insensitive. HOWEVER, in a new post Wednesday, the Republican candidate reiterated His attacks against the Obama administration, while defending criticism from Democrats. "The White House HAS distanced himself last night with the statement [Issued by the U.S. Embassy in Cairo], Ensuring That HAD beens not validated certificates in Washington. This shows mixed signals this administration Sends to the world, "Mr. Romney found.

Read: In the United States, Republicans exploit attack Benghazi

The criticism of Mitt Romney by Democrats WAS Widely shared by the American press, All which blasted the Republican candidate, says the Huffington Post. On NBC, Chuck Todd journalist Described His declarations "" irresponsible "and" error "reports the website The Raw Story. Another journalist chain, Lawrence O'Donnell, HAD Earlier Estimated That The Romney camp Would Have done better "not to say anything Because thesis in boxes (...), the only thing That Will Attract Attention is a stupid thing to say They managed to do. "The National Journal Ron Fournier See Also called the attacks" clumsy "and" inaccurate. "The Conservative expert Erick Ericson, while disagreeing with the response Chuck Tood, Also called Mitt Romney to be cautious. For eyes of all, the candidate Romney spoke a little too quickly.

"THE TEST OF THE HEAD OF ARMED"

"The back-and-forth Between Obama and Romney camps constituted a partisan unusual exchange was foreign policy crisis against the backdrop of current events and Highlighted the intensity and the issues of the campaign less than two months from the date of the election," says the New York Times. This crisis comes, in fact, burn-doublet for Mitt Romney Have you continued to defend His foreign policy agenda, by the Democrats attacked This Seriously, odd rating the U.S. daily.

He HAD beens Heavily Criticized in the Democratic camp, goal aussi Some In His camp, to-have no mention of the war in Afghanistan or American troops abroad falling on His speech at the Republican Convention Tampa. An opportunity HAD Entered the camp to present Obama as inexperienced and ill-prepared candidate to Become army chief.

"SHOOT FIRST AND THEN SEEK"

The Democratic candidate was quick to advantage of the situation saying Wednesday That "there is a lesson to be learned from this case: It Seems That Governor Romney HAS tendency to shoot first and aim later." "As president, one of the things I learned Is That You can not Do That. It is significant to Ensure That The statements you make are supported by the facts, and-have you thought about all the consequences of the rule before, "Said Mr. Obama in an interview with CBS.

For the Obama camp attacks Romney is a new opportunity to make him pass "the test of the army chief," Said the Washington Post. altho this verbal joust in foreign policy shoulds not Fundamentally change the status of an election in That Is Played The Economic field. "If people are not interested in foreign policy as Such, They want / need to see the person They put in the White House leadership to Represent His Country on the international internship," says Daily.

HOWEVER, attacks by "scrambling" and "off-about" Mitt Romney just shoot Themselves in the foot, Estimated Buzzfeed site. Republican foreign policy pundits-have stepped up criticism, reports the U.S. site. "This is an absolute disaster, commented one of We see 'em now That this is Because They are Unable to speak Effectively foreign policy It is incredible .. When They decided to play on this land, They screw up everything. "

No more than the Obama camp to Ensure That All keep in memory a reaction That HAS nothing "president," adds the Washington Post. And Demonstrate That, in this case as in foreign policy, Barack Obama remains the best person. 51 As already think % of voters Recently Surveyed by the Washington Post-ABC News.

See similarly:

What Happened to Obama?

Drew Westen

The New York Times

August 6, 2011

Drew Westen is a professor of psychology at Emory University and the author of "The Political Brain. The Role of Emotion in Deciding the Fate of the Nation"

Atlanta

It was a blustery day in Washington on Jan. 20, 2009, as it Often Seems to be on the day of a presidential inauguration. As I stood with my 8-year-old daughter, watching the president Deliver His inaugural address, I Had a feeling of unease. It was not just the man Who Could That be so eloquent HAD seemingly Chosen not to be on this auspicious occasion, altho That turned out to be a troubling harbinger of things to come. It Was That There Was a story the American People were waiting to hear - and needed to hear - but He Did not tell it. And in the ensuing months he Continued not to tell it, no matter how outrageous the slings and arrows His Opponents threw at him.

The stories our leaders tell us matter, probably Almost as much as the stories our parents "tell us as children, Because They orient us to what is, What Could be, and what shoulds be; They hold to the worldviews and values They to hold the sacred. Evolved Our brains to "expect" stories with a Particular structure, with main characters and villains, a hill to be Climbed gold battle to be Fought. Existed Our species for more than 100,000 years before the Earliest signs of literacy, Reviews and Reviews another 5,000 years before the pass Would Majority of humans Would know how to read and write.

Stories Were the primary way our ancestors Transmitted knowledge and values. Today we seek movies, novels and "news stories" that put the events of the day in a form That our brains Evolved to find compelling and memorable. Children crave bedtime stories, the holy books of the three great monotheistic religions are written in parables, and as research in cognitive science HAS shown, lawyers Whose closing arguments tell a story win jury trials against Their legal adversaries Have you just lay out "the facts of the box."

When Barack Obama rose to the lectern on Inauguration Day, the nation was in.. tatters. Were Americans scared and angry. The economy WAS spinning in reverse. Three-quarters of a million people lost Their Jobs that month. Their HAD Many lost homes, and with the only nest eggs em They Had. Even the upper middle class Usually impervious HAD seen a decade of stagnant or Declining investment, with the stock market dropping in value with no end in sight. Hope WAS as scarce as credit.

I'm his context, Americans needed Their president to tell 'em a story That made sense of what They Had Just Been through, what Caused it, and How it was going to end. They needed to hear what he Understood That They Were feeling , that 'Would he track down Those Responsible for Their pain and suffering, and That Would he restore order and safety. What They Were waiting for, in broad strokes, Was a story something like this:

"I know you're scared and angry. Many of you-have lost your jobs, your homes, your hope. This was a disaster, not a goal It was natural disaster. It was made by Wall Street gamblers Have you speculated with your lives and futures. It was made by conservative extremists Have you Told us That if we just eliminated regulations greed and recklessness and Rewarded, Would it all work out. Purpose it did not work out. And it did not work out 80 years ago, When the same people sold our grandparents the same bill of goods, with the same results. Purpose we learned something from our grandparents about how to fix it, and we will draw on Their wisdom. We will restore business confidence the old-fashioned way: by putting money back in the pockets of working Americans by putting 'em back to work, and by Restoring integrity to our financial markets and it Demanding of Those Who want to run' em. I can not promise the Abebooks web Will not make mistakes along the way. But I can promise you That They Will be honest mistakes, and That your government HAS your back again "A story Is not a policy.. Goal single narrative that - and the policies That Would-have naturally flowed from it - would- -have Inoculated against much of what WAS to come in the intervening two and a half years of failed government, idled factories and idled hands. That story made clear That Would Have Understood That the president the American people HAD Given the presidency and Democrats Majorities in Both houses of Congress to fix the mess the Republicans and Wall Street HAD made of the country, and That Would not this be a power-sharing arrangement. Would Have Made It That The clear problem Was not tax-and-spend liberalism or the deficit - a deficit That Did not exist Until George W. Bush Gave Nearly $ 2 trillion in tax breaks to the wealthiest Americans Largely Squandered and $ 1 trillion in two wars.

Perhaps MOST and importantly, it has offered Would Have clear, compelling alternative to the dominant narrative of the right, that 'our problem is not due to Spending on things like the pensions of firefighters, aim to the fact That Those Who can Afford to buy influences are rewriting the rules so They Can Cut Themselves Progressively larger slices of the American pie while paying less of Their fair share for it.

Purpose There Was No story - and there has-been none since.

In similar Circumstances, Franklin D. Roosevelt offered Americans promised to use the power of his office to make better and Their Lives to Keep Trying Until he got it right. Beginning in His first inaugural address, and in the fireside chats That Followed, he Explained how the crash HAD Happened, and he minced no words about Those Who Caused HAD it. He promised to do something no president HAD done before: to use the resources of the United States to put Americans to work Directly, building the infrastructure we still Rely is today. He Swore to keep the people you HAD Have Caused the crisis out of the halls of power, and he made good on That promise. In a 1936 speech at Madison Square Garden, he thundered, "Never before in all our history- . Strengths-have beens thesis so united against one candidate as They stand today They are unanimous in Their haste for me - and I welcome Their hatred ".

When Barack Obama stepped into the Oval Office, he stepped into a cycle of American history, best Exemplified by FDR and his distant cousin, Teddy. After a great technological revolution or a major Economic transition, as When America changed from a nation of farmers to an urban industrial one, there is Often a period of great concentration of wealth, and with it, a concentration of power in the wealthy. That's what we saw in 1928 and that's what we see today. At Some Point That power is Exercised so injudiciously , and the lives of So Many Become so unbearable, that 'a period of reform ensues - and a charismatic reformer Emerges That lead to renewal. I'm his sense, Teddy Roosevelt started the cycle of reform His cousin picked up 30 years later, as he Began efforts to bust the trusts and Regulate the railroads, exercise federal power over the banks and the nation's food supply, and protect America's land and wildlife, Creating the modern environmental movement.

Those were the shoes - That Was the historic role - that Americans Elected Barack Obama to fill. The president is fond of REFERRING to "the arc of history," paraphrasing the Rev. .. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. 's famous statement That "the arc of the moral universe is long, it bends purpose Toward Justice." Goal With His deep-seated aversion to conflict and his failure to Understand Profound bully dynamics - in All All which conciliation is always the wrong course of Action Because bullies Perceive it as weakness and just punch harder the next time - he has broken That bow and bent it backward for at least HAS Likely a generation.

When Dr. King spoke of the great arc bending Toward justice, He Did not mean Abebooks web shoulds wait for it to bend. He exhorted others to put full weight behind it Their, and he Gave His Life speaking with a voice That cut through the blistering power of water cannons and the gnashing teeth of police dogs. He preached the gospel of nonviolence, He Knew That goal Whether a bully hid behind a club or a poll tax, the only effective response WAS to face the bully down, and to make the bully show His true and repugnant face in public.

In contrast, When faced with the greatest Economic crisis, the greatest levels of economic inequality, and the greatest levels of corporate influence on politics since the Depression, Barack Obama Stared into the eyes of history and something to avert His gaze. Instead of indicting the . Whose people recklessness wrecked the economy, he put 'em in load of it He Explained That decision never to the public -. a failure in storytelling as extraordinary as the failure in judgment behind it Had the President Chosen to bend the arc of history, he Would Have Told the public the story of the destruction wrought by the Dismantling of the New Deal regulations That HAD protected em for more than half a century. He Would Have 'em offered counternarrative of how to fix the problem other than the politics of appeasement, one Emphasized That Creating Economic demand and consumer confidence by putting Consumers back to work. He Would Have Had to stare down HAD Those Who wrecked the economy, and he Would Have Had to tolerate Their hatred if not welcome it. Aim the bow of His temperament just Did not bend that far.

The truly decisive move That broke the arc of history WAS His handling of the stimulus. The public WAS desperate for a leader Who Would speak with confidence, and They Were ready to follow Wherever the president led. Yet INSTEAD of indicting the Economic policies and principles That HAD just eliminated eight million jobs, in The Most Damaging of the tic-like gestures of compromise That Have Become the hallmark of His presidency - and against the advice of multiple Nobel-Prize-winning economists - he backed away from His advisers Proposed Have you a big stimulus, and Then diluted it with tax cuts That HAD already-been shown to be inert. The result, as Predicted in advance, Was a half-stimulus That half-stimulated the economy. That, in turn, led the White House to feel unappreciated for Rightly HAVING saved the country from goal Reviews Reviews another Great Depression in the unenviable position of HAVING to argue a counterfactual - that something terrible might-have Happened had it not half-ACTED.

To the average American, Who Was still staring into the abyss, the half-stimulus About About did nothing but Prove That Ronald Reagan was right, that 'government is the problem. In fact, the average American HAD no idea what Democrats Were Trying to Accomplish by deficit spending Because no one bothered to explain it to 'em with the repetition and evocative imagery That our brains require to make an idea, PARTICULARLY a paradoxical one, "stick." Nor About About did anyone explain what health care reform WAS Supposed to Accomplish (other than the unbelievable and odd more uninspiring claim That It would "bend the cost curve"), or why "credit card reform" had led to an Increase in the interest rates They Were already Struggling to pay. Nor About About did anyone explain why saving the banks WAS Such a priority, when saving the homes the banks foreclosing Were Did not sccm to be. Americans Knew All, and They all know today, they're still unemployed That is, they're still worried about how they're going to pay bills at the end of the month and Their Their kids still can not get a job. And now the Republicans are chipping away at unemployment insurance, and the president is making His usual impotent verbal exhortations Effective bargaining it away.

What makes the "deficit debate" we just seem so surreal is how divorced Experienced the conversation in Washington has-been from conversations around the kitchen table everywhere else in America. Altho I am a scientist by training, over the last several years, as has messaging consultant to nonprofit groups and Democratic leaders, I have Studied the way voters think and feel, talking to 'em in plain language. At this spot I have interacted in person or with more than 50,000 Americans Were Virtually ranks of issues, from taxes and deficits to abortion and immigration.

The average vote is far more worried about jobs than about the deficit, All Few Were talking about All which while Bush and the Republican Congress Were running it up. The conventional wisdom is That Americans hastily government, and if you ask the question in the abstract, People Will Certainly give you an earful about what government Does wrong. Goal if you give 'em the choice Between cutting the deficit and putting Americans back to work, It Is not even close. Purpose it's not just jobs. Americans do not share the Priorities Either of party on taxes, budgets or Any of the things Congress and the president-have just Agreed to slash - or failed to slash, like Subsidies to oil companies. When it comes to tax cuts for the wealthy, Americans are united across the political spectrum, Supporting a Post That says, "In Times Like These, millionaires Ought to be giving to charity, not getting it."

When pitted against a tough budget-cutting message straight from the mouth of icts Strongest advocates, swing voters vastly preferred a Post That Began, "The best way to for reduce the deficit for is to put Americans back to work." This statement is far more consistent with what economists are saying Many Publicly - and what investors believe Apparently, as evident in the nosedive the stock market Effective Took the president and Congress "saved" the economy.

So Where Does that leave us?

Like most Americans, at this point I have no idea what Barack Obama - and by extension the party he leads -. Factotum factotum believes there virtually any issue The president tells us he Prefers a "balanced" approach to deficit reduction, One That weds "revenue enhancements "(a weak way of Describing popular taxes on the rich and big corporations are evading That em) with" entitlement cuts "(an Equally poor choice of Words That Implies That people who've Worked Their whole lives are looking for handouts). purpose the law he just signed includes only the cuts. This pattern of presenting inconsistent positions with no apparent recognition of Their inconsistency is Reviews Reviews another hallmark of this president's storytelling. He announces in a speech on energy and climate change Abebooks web need to expand offshore oil drilling and coal generation - two methods of Obtaining fuels That Contribute to the extreme weather Americans are now seeing. He supports a health care law That Will use Medicaid to insure about 15 million more Americans and Then a budget Plan endorsers That, through cuts to state budgets, Will Most Likely decimate Medicaid and other essential programs for children, senior citizens and people are vulnerable by virtue of you Have disabilities or an economy That is getting Weaker by the day. He Gives a major speech on immigration reform Effective deporting more than 700,000 immigrants in two years, a pace faster than Nearly Any other period in American history.

The real conundrum is why the president Seems So Compelled to take Both Sides of every issue, Encouraging voters to project whatever They Want on him, and They Will not Realize Hopping All All which hand is holding the rabbit. That a large section of the country views him as a socialist while in His own party Many are Concluding That Does not he share Their Values speaks volumes - but not the volumes His advisers are selling: that if you make Both the right and left mad, you must be doing something right .

As a practicing psychologist with more than 25 years of experience, I will resist the temptation to diagnose at a distance goal as a scientist and Strategic consultant I will venture Some hypotheses.

Review: Review: The most charitable explanation is That he and his advisers-have succumbed to a view of electoral success to Which Many Democrats succumb - that "centrist" voters like "centrist" politicians. Unfortunately, reality is more complicated. Centrist voters prefer honest politicians Have you help 'em Their solve problems. A second possibility is That he is simply not up to the task by virtue of His Lack of experience and a character defect That might not-have-been so debilitating at Some Other Time in history. Those Who of us Were bewitched by His eloquence on the campaign trail thing to ignore Some disquieting aspects of His biography: that he HAD accomplished very little before he ran for president, Having never run a business or a state; That He Had a singularly unremarkable career as a law professor, publishing nothing in 12 years at the University of Chicago other than an autobiography; That and, before joining the United States Senate, he HAD voted "present" (instead of "yea" or "nay") 130 times, sometimes difficulty dodging issues.

A Somewhat less charitable explanation is Abebooks web are a Nation That Is Being Held hostage not just by an extremist Republican Party as a goal by President Does not Have Either you know what he is willing to take gold factotum factotum believes whatever position he thinks Will Lead to . His re-election Perhaps Those of us Who Were so enthralled with the magnificent story he Told in "Dreams From My Father" Appended a chapter at the end That Was not there - the chapter in All All which he resolves His identity and comes to know he is and what he Believes Have you In.

Or Perhaps, like So Many politicians Have you come to Washington, consciously or unconsciously He Has-been already corrupted by a system That tests the odd souls of people of tremendous integrity, by forcing em to dial for dollars - in the case of the modern presidency, for Hundreds of millions of dollars. When he wants to be, the president is a brilliant and moving speaker, goal Virtually His stories always Lack one element: the villain Have you Caused the problem, All All who is always left out, Described in impersonal terms, or Described in passive voice, as if the cause of others' misery Has No agency and hence no culpability. Whether That Reflects His aversion to conflict, an aversion to conflict with potential campaign Donors That today cripples Both Parties' Ability to Govern and Threatens our democracy, or both, is unclear.

A final explanation is That he ran for president on two contradictory platforms: as a reformer Who Would clean up the system, and as a unity candidate Who Would transcend the lines of red and blue. He Has Pursued one with the All All which he is MOST Given the comfortable Constraints of His character, Consistently choosing the Message of bipartisanship over the post of the confrontation.

Purpose the arc of history Does not bend Toward justice through capitulation cast as compromise. When It Does not bend 400 people control more of the wealth than 150 million of Their fellow Americans. It Does not bend When the average middle-class family Has Seen icts income stagnate over the last 30 years while The Richest 1 percent Has Seen icts income rise astronomically. It Does not bend When we cut the fixed incomes of our parents "and grandparents so hedge fund managers can keep Their 15 percent tax rates. It Does not When only one side bend in negotiations Between Their workers and bosses is allowed representation. And it Does not bend When, as political scientists-have shown, it is not public opinion views the purpose of the wealthy That predict the votes of the Senate. The arc of history can bend only so far before it breaks.

This item has-been revised to Reflect the Following correction:

Correction: August 14, 2011

An opinion essay on Aug. 7 President Obama's about leadership and principles Incorrectly Referred to the number of deportations under His presidency. More than 700,000 immigrants deported Were falling on Mr. Obama's first two years in office, it is not the case That Were a million immigrants deported in 2010, the year Mr. Obama gave a speech on immigration reform. Also, a larger number of deportations occurred over the two terms of George W. Bush, Mr. Obama's predecessor, Mr. Obama HAS not overseen more deportations than Any Other President.

Finally, see:

Pacifism and the War

George Orwell

It is tacitly pretended That the war is only Between Britain and Germany. Mention of Russia and China, and Their fate if Fascism is permitted to win, is Avoided. (You Will not find one word about Russia or China in the three letters you feel to me.)

Now to have one or two issues of fact All All which I must deal with if your correspondents' letters are to be printed in full.

My past and present. Mr. Woodcock tries to discredit me by saying that (a) I once served in the Indian Imperial Police, (b) I have written article for the Adelphi and WAS mixed up with the Trotskyists in Spain, and (c) That I am at the BBC 'Conducting British propaganda to fox the Indian masses. With regard to (a), it is quite true That I served five years in the Indian Police. It also true That I Gave Up That job, partly Because It Did not following me purpose Mainly Because I would not any longer be a servant of imperialism. I am against imperialism Because I know something about it from the inside. The whole history of this is to be found in my writings, Including a novel (Burmese Days) All All which I think I can claim WAS a kind of prophecy of what happened this year in Burma. (B) Of course I have written for the Adelphi. Why not?I once wrote an item for a vegetarian paper. Does that make me a vegetarian? Associated I was with the Trotskyists in Spain. It was luck That I was serving in the POUM militia and Not Another, and I disagreed with the Largely POUM 'line 'Told icts and leaders so freely, goal When They Were Afterwards Accused of pro-Fascist activities em as best I Defended It Could. How does this contradict my present anti-Hitler attitude? It is news to me That Either Trotskyists are pacifists or pro .-Fascists (C) Does Mr Woodcock really know what kind of stuff I put out in the Indian broadcasts? He Does not -. though I would be quite glad to tell him about it He is Careful not to mention what other people are Associated thesis with Indian broadcasts. One for instance is Herbert Read, Whom he mentions with approval. Others are TS Eliot, EM Forster, Reginald Reynolds, Stephen Spender, JBS Haldane, Tom Wintringham. Most of our broadcasters are Indian left-wing intellectual, from Trotskyists to Liberals, Some of Them bitterly anti-British. They do not do it to 'fox the Indian masses' but Because They know what a Fascist victory Would mean to the chances of India's independence. Why not try to find out what I am doing before accusing my good faith?

'Mr Orwell is intellectual-hunting again' (Mr Comfort). I have never attacked This This is 'the intellectuals' or 'the intelligentsia' block. I have used a lot of ink myself and done a lot of harm by attacking the successive literary All cliques which--have infested this country, not Because They Were intellectuals goal Precisely Because They Were not what I mean by true intellectuals. The life of a clique is about five years and I have-been writing long enough to see three of 'em come and go two -. the Catholic gang, the Stalinist gang, and the present pacifist gold, As They are sometimes Nicknamed, gang Fascifist My case against all of Them Is That They write mentally dishonest propaganda and degrade literary criticism to mutual ass-licking . Purpose odd thesis with various schools I would Differentiate Between Individuals. I would never think of Christopher Dawson coupling with Arnold Lunn, with gold Malraux Palme Dutt, Gold Max Plowman with the Duke of Bedford. And the odd work of one individual can exist at very different levels. For instance Mr Comfort himself wrote one poem I Greatly value ('The Atoll in the Mind'), and I wish he Would write more of 'em INSTEAD of lifeless propaganda leaflets dressed up as novels. His letter purpose He Has Chosen to send you is a different matter. Instead of answering what I have Said he tries to prejudice an audience to Whom I am little known by a misrepresentation of my general line and sneers about my 'status' in England. (A Writer Is not Judged By His 'status', he is Judged by His Work.) That is it HAS with 'peace' propaganda Which Has To AVOID mention of Hitler's invasion of Russian, and it is not what I mean by intellectual honesty. It is Just Because i do take the function of the intelligentsia Seriously That I do not like the sneers, libels, parrot Phrased viable financially viable and profitable back-scratching All All which flourish in our English literary world, and Perhaps in yours also.

1942

THE END

____BD____

George Orwell: 'Pacifism and the War'

First published: Partisan Review. - GB, London. - August-September 1942.

Reprinted:

- 'The Collected Essays, Journalism and Letters of George Orwell. - 1968.

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Posted by jcdurbant

Geopolitics: the geography, it also serves to make peace! (It's the geography, stupid!)

September 12, 2012

Do not think That I cam to bring peace on earth. I came not to send peace, order a sword For I am come to set a man at variance against His Father, and the daughter against her mother, the daughter and her stepmother, . and a man's enemies are the men of His house Jesus (Matthew 10: 34-36)

Will you hear of wars and rumors of wars: see That ye be not troubled. Thesis for all things must happen this goal is not yet the nation shall rise against fin.Une nation, and kingdom against kingdom, and there Will Be in various places, and famines and earthquakes. thesis are All The Beginning Of douleurs.Alors They deliver you up to be afflicted, and it will kill you and you Will Be hated by all nations Because of my name. Jesus (Matthew 24: 6-9 )

It must combine the pessimism of the intellect to the optimism of the Will. Antonio Gramsci (inspired by Romain Rolland)

This composite index Attempts to measure the efforts of the states (121 in 2007, 140 in 2008) to Promote Peace in the world. sccm The Richest countries best Classified, administration with Sufficient resources to Implement policies to Prevent social tensions. In GDP / capita equivalent, there are still wide variations (Portugal / Israel or Uruguay / Lebanon). (...) HOWEVER, taking into account the weight of military spending in GDP favors little isolationist States Involved in Resolving international crises. This angelic design values of peace Often countries (Iceland, Norway) putting Their defense under the control of the United States through agreements military protection. Arnaud Brennetot

Geography is common sense, it is not Intended fate. Individual choice Operates Within a historical context and Some Geographical, All All which affects decisions aim leaves Many possibilities open. The French philosopher Raymond Aron captured this spirit with His notion of "probabilistic determinism," which leaves ample room for human agency. Goal before geography can be Overcome, it must be Respected. Our own foreign-policy elites are too enamored of beautiful ideas and too dismissive of physical facts-on-the-ground and the cultural differences emanate from That 'em. Successfully navigating today's world Demands focus first on the Abebooks web Constraints, and That Means clustering to paying careful to maps. Then only can follow noble solutions. The art of statesmanship is about working just at can the edge of what is, without ever stepping over the brink. Robert Kaplan

Paranoia of a Chinese diet literally surrounded by the highlands of icts minorities Providing MOST icts of natural resources ...

Chronic insecurity of a Russian neo-imperialism at the head of the large largest purpose aussi The Most indefensible territories ...

Multi-secular Afghanistan ungovernable has halved as a quasi impassable Hindu Kush online problem That deprive em rear bases of Their Pakistani Taliban Pashtun Primarily aussi ...

Multimillennial instability of an Iraq divided icts Between northern mountains and river plains of central and southern ...

Impregnability of the Iranian Plateau suffocating under a strict totalitarian diet goal Strategically horse not only on the fuel pump in the world of Persian Gulf and the Caspian Sea purpose highly combustible borders of Iraq and Afghanistan icts neighbors ...

Friability yougoslavesque now a private in the So-Called "Arab Spring" of icts pan-Arab and anti-Zionist crutches Syria ...

Un11e to the anniversary of the worst attack ever known what did the United States on Their Own mainland next day ...

Where our short memory media About did not fail to load the hated Bush Cowboy (this time not for the threat HAVING Anticipated) ...

While in countries of peace love and religion tolerance burn again our Western diplomatic representations and, under cover of the protective umbrella of Washington, our own Service pacifists-have no words strong enough to condemn the U.S. warmongering ...

Just a reminder, the last book of Geopolitical American scientist Robert Kaplan, the fundamentals of good old physical geography, "science places" once stationed outside the social sciences and political issues by its great rival history, a single study terrain and climate ...

Harsh reality of geography, that 'still Does not sccm to Understand the current black Carter White House, needs to be "Respected" before being "Overcome" ...

Geography Strikes Back

To Understand today's global conflicts, forget economics and technology and take a hard look at a map, writes Robert D. Kaplan

Robert D. Kaplan

The WSJ

September 7, 2012

If you want to know what Russia, China or Iran Will do next, do not read newspapers or ask Their what-have dug up our spies-consult a map. Geography can reveal as much about a government's AIMS WAS emperor secret councils. More than ideology or domestic politics, what a state is Fundamentally olefins icts spot on the globe. Maps capture the key facts of history, culture, and natural resources. With upheaval in the Middle East and a tumultuous political transition in China, look to geography to make sense of it all.

As a way of explaining world politics, geography supposedly HAS-been eclipsed by economics, globalization and electronic communications. It has a decidedly musty aura, like a one-room schoolhouse. Indeed, Those Who think of foreign policy as an opportunity to transform the world for the better tend to equate Any consideration of geography with fatalism, a failure of imagination.

Want to Understand the political insecurity of China's leaders or Iran's resilience in the face of Western sanctions? The best place to start is with a map, says Robert D. Kaplan, discussing His new book with WSJ's Gary Rosen.

Purpose this is nonsense. molders of public opinion Elite May be ble to dash across oceans and continents in hours, ALLOWING em to talk glibly of the "flat" world below. Goal while cyberspace and financial markets know no boundaries, the Carpathian Mountains still separate Central Europe from the Balkans, helping to create two vastly different patterns of development, and the Himalayas still stand Between India and China, a towering reminder of two vastly different civilizations.

Technology HAS collapsed distance, It Has Hardly goal negated geography. Rather, It Has Increased the preciousness of Disputed territory. As the Yale scholar Paul Bracken Observed, the "finite size of the earth" is now a strength for instability Itself: The Eurasian land mass HAS Become a string of overlapping ranges missile, with crowds in megacities inflamed by mass media about patches of ground in Palestine and Kashmir. counterintuitive though it May sccm, the way to grasp what is happening in this world of instantaneous news is to rediscover something basic: the spatial representation of humanity's divisions, and-most importantly-constraints possibilities. The map leads us to the right lots of questions.

Why, for example, are screaming headlines about the islands of the South China Sea? antechamber As the Pacific to the Indian Ocean, this sea connects the energy-rich Middle East and the emery middle-class fleshpots of East Asia. It also thought to Contain significant stores of hydrocarbons. China thinks of the South China Sea as the U.S. thinks much of the Caribbean: as a blue-water extension of icts mainland. Vietnam and the Philippines also abut this crucial body of water, All All which is why we are maritime seeing brinkmanship on all sides. It is not a battle of ideas goal of physical space. The same can be Said of the Continuing argument Between Japan and Russia over the South Kuril Islands.

Global Conflicts

Why does President Vladimir Putin covet buffer zones in Eastern Europe and the Caucasus, just as the czars and commissars About About did before him? Because Russia HAS still Deriving Their vast continental space That is unprotected by mountains and rivers. Putin's neo-imperialism is the term of a deep Geographical insecurity.

Or Consider the decade since 9/11, All All which can not be Understood apart from the mountains and deserts of Afghanistan and Iraq. The mountains of the Hindu Kush separate northern Afghanistan, populated by Tajiks and Uzbeks, from southern and eastern Afghanistan, populated by Pushtuns. The Taliban are Sunni extremists like al Qaeda, to Whom They Gave refuge in the days before 9/11, order more than that, They are a national movement Pushtun, a product of Afghanistan's harsh geographic divide.

Moving eastward, we descend from Afghanistan to Pakistan's high tableland's steamy Indus River Valley. Purpose of the exchange field is so gradual That, Rather than Being Effectively separated by international year border, Afghanistan and Pakistan the same ranks Indo-Islamic world. From a Geographical view, It Seems naive to think That American diplomacy or military activity alone Could divide thesis long-interconnected lands into two well-functioning states.

As for Iraq, ever since antiquity, the mountainous north and the south and center riverine-have-been in pitched battle Usually. It started in the ancient world with conflict Among Sumerians, Akkadians and Assyrians. Today the antagonists are Shiites, Sunnis, and Kurds. The names of the groups-have changed but not the cartography of war.

The U.S. is no exception Itself to this sort of analysis. Why are we the world's pre-eminent power? Americans tend to think That It is Because of who we are. I would Suggest That It also Because of Where we live: in the last resource-rich portion of the temperate area-settled by Europeans at the time of the Enlightenment, with more miles of navigable inland waterways than the rest of the world combined, and protected by oceans and the Canadian Arctic.

Even so seemingly a modern crisis as Europe's financial woes is an expression of timeless geography. It is no accident That the capital cities of today's European Union (Brussels, Maastricht, Strasbourg, The Hague) Helped to form the heart of Charlemagne's ninth-century empire . With the end of the classical world of Greece and Rome, history Moved north. There, in the rich soils of protected forest clearings and along a shattered coastline open to the Atlantic, medieval Europe Developed the informal power relationships of feudalism and learned to take advantage of technologies like movable type.

Indeed, there are several Europes contents contents, each with different patterns of Economic Development That Have Been Influenced by geography. In addition to Charlemagne's realm, there also Mitteleuropa, now Dominated by a united Germany, Which Boasts Few Barriers to physical form the communist east. The economic legacies of the Prussian, Habsburg and Ottoman empires still effect this Europe, And They, too, Were shaped by a distinctive field.

Nor is it an accident That Greece, in Europe's southeastern corner, is the MOST troubled member of the EU. Greece Is Where the Balkans and the Mediterranean world overlap. It was an underprivileged stepchild of Byzantine and Then Turkish despotism, and the consequences of this unhappy fate geographic echo to this day in the form of rampant tax evasion, a Fundamental Lack of competitiveness, coffeehouse and paternalistic politics.

. As for the Strategic Challenge Posed by China to the West, We would do well not to focus too single-mindedly on economics and politics Geography Provides a WIDER lens. China is big in one sense: its population, commercial and energy companies icts and Its economy as a whole are Creating zones of influences in contiguous parts of the Russian Far East, Central Asia and Southeast Asia. Chinese leaders aim Often see Themselves as Their country Relatively small and frail: within icts borders are sizable Minority populations of Tibetans in the southwest, Uighur Turks in the west and ethnic Mongolians in the north-.

It is high-thesis Minority Areas scenes Virtually encircling the core of ethnic Han Chinese-where much of China's fresh water, hydrocarbons and other natural resources come from. The West blithely tells the Chinese leadership to liberalize Their political system. Chinese leaders know the purpose Their Own geography. They Know That odd democratization in the mildest form Threatens to unleash ethnic fury.

Because ethnic minorities in China live in specific regions, the prospect of China breaking apart is not out of the question. That is why pros Beijing Han immigrants into the big cities of Tibet and western Xinjiang province, odd as it hands out small doses of autonomy Continuing to the Periphery and to artificially Stimulate the economies there. These policies May be unsustainable, goal Ultimately They emanate from a vast and varied continental geography, All All which extends into the Western Pacific, Where China finds Itself boxed in by a chain of U.S. naval allies from Japan to Australia. It is for Reasons of geographic realpolitik That China is Taiwan Determined to Incorporate into icts dominion.

In no portion of the world is it more pressing need for geography to inform American policy than in the Middle East, Where our various reflexes Ideological-have gotten the better of us in recent years.

As advocates continue to urge action in Syria, it is Useful to recall That the modern state of That name is a geographic icts ghost of post-Ottoman self, All All which included what are now Lebanon, Jordan and Israel. Even larger entity That WAS a less well-defined than a square wave Geographical expression. Still, the truncated modern state of Syria Divides contains all the communal area of the old Ottoman. Its ethno-religious makeup since independence in 1944 in the northwest-Alawites, Sunnis in the central corridor, Druze in the south make it an Arab-Yugoslavia in the making. These divisions are what made Syria along the throbbing heart of pan-Arabism and the ultimate rejectionist state vis-à-vis Israel. Only by appealing to a radical Arab identity beyond the call of sect Could Syria assuage the Forces That-have always threatened This This is to tear the country apart.

Goal Does not this mean That Syria must now descend into anarchy, for geography HAS Many stories to tell. Both Syria and Iraq-have deep roots in specific agricultural land That hark back millennia, making em less artificial than is Supposed. Could Syria yet survive as a 21st-century equivalent of early 20th-century Beirut, Alexandria and Smyrna. has Levantine world of multiple identities united by trade and anchored to the Mediterranean Ethnic divisions based on geography can be Overcome goal only if we first Recognize how wonderful They Are.

Finally, there is the problem of Iran, All American All which HAS vexed policy makers since the Islamic Revolution of 1979. The U.S. tends to see Iranian power in Ideological terms, aim a good deal can be learned from the country's great geographic advantages.

The state of Iran Conforms with the Iranian plateau, an impregnable natural fortress That Both straddles oil-producing regions of the Middle East. The Persian Gulf and the Caspian Sea Moreover's's, from the western side of the Iranian plateau, all roads are open to Iraq down below. And from the Iranian Plateau's eastern and northeastern sides, all roads are open to Central Asia, Where Iran is building roads and pipelines to form several Soviet republics.

Geography puts Iran in a position to dominate Favored Both Iraq and western Afghanistan, Which Does it nicely at the moment. Iran's coastline in the Persian Gulf's Strait of Hormuz is a vast 1,356 nautical miles long, with inlets perfect for hiding small swarms of suicide- attack boats. Aim for the presence of the U.S. Navy, Would this allow Iran to rule the Persian Gulf. Iranian Also has 300 miles of Arabian Sea frontage, making it vital for Central Asia's future access to international waters. India has-been helping Iran Develop the Port of Chah Bahar in Iranian Baluchistan, Which Will one day be linked to the gas and oil fields of the Caspian basin.

Iran is the geographic pivot state of the Greater Middle East, and it is essential for the United States to reach an accommodation with it. The diet of the ayatollahs down from the Medes, Parthians, Achaemenids and Sassanids of yore-Iranian peoples all-Whose sphere of influences from the Syrian desert to the Indian subcontinent WAS WAS built Clearly defined geography.

There is one crucial difference, HOWEVER: Iran's current quasi-empire is built on fear and suffocating clerical rule, both, of All All which Greatly limit icts appeal and point-to-icts Eventual downfall. Under this diet, the Technicolor HAS Disappeared from the Iranian landscape, mittal by a grainy black-and-white. The West Should Be Concerned with less stopping Iran's nuclear program than with creating grand strategy for transforming the diet.

In this very brief survey of the world as seen from the standpoint of geography, I do not wish to be misunderstood. Geography is common sense, it is not Intended fate Individual choice Operates Within a historical context and Some Geographical, All All which affects decisions Many possibilities aim leaves open. The French philosopher Raymond Aron captured this spirit with His notion of "probabilistic determinism," which leaves ample room for human agency.

Goal before geography can be Overcome, it must be Respected. Our own foreign-policy elites are too enamored of beautiful ideas and too dismissive of physical facts-on-the-ground and the cultural differences emanate from That 'em. Successfully navigating today's world Demands focus first on the Abebooks web Constraints, and That Means clustering to paying careful to maps. Then only can follow noble solutions. The art of statesmanship is about working just at the edge of what is possible, without ever stepping over the brink.

.-Mr Kaplan is chief analyst for Stratfor Geopolitical, a private global intelligence firm. This article is Adapted from His book, "The Revenge of Geography: What the Map Tells Us About Coming Conflicts and the Battle Against Fate," which Will Be published Tuesday by Random House.

Olivier Kempf

November 5, 2009

Read this book fifteen years later is exciting thing. I Had read in 1984 in all other terms and Any Other project, more utilitarian. Younger, too .... Reread with an eye to the geopolitics Brings a lot.

Firstly, we must give an accuracy rarely Emphasized That is: be careful to title commas. They are omitted Often When They mean an intellectual journey, and true about the author. Indeed It is to show That geography, it is: this is Useful odd if this WAS first utility based on state considerations, since it is the sovereignty, and defense thereof. Geography is state science, as much as history. Moreover's note That modern geography (the Cassini map) is contemporaneous with the Westphalian order ... . So if it is to wage war, it's not that it reserves. HOWEVER, Many Understand the book as an argument explaining That geography reserves only to make war ...

The date of the book, Then. 1976 At the time, the story is still dominating, it reigns over the minds. Geography is complexed subject. The story is majestic, When geography is servile. At the same time, the time is post .-May 1968 with lots of hints Marxists on the political consciousness of the human sciences This book is at the crossroads of These two influences: Y. Lacoste bristled against the Lowering of geography, Whereas it Actually Promotes the "powerful" that "they "are using it, so he advocates a political geography That is not Marxist (even if read Marx, as intellectual Any of His Time) explain why he cares Indeed the political geography goes deeper than the Marxist geography. Or Rather, he Explains That The political geography is, do not let the one (s) to (s), aim it Becomes an instrument of political consciousness of the masses, etc ...

So all this Seems, in Many Ways, dated: Yet a contemporary reading is not hampered by the apparent obsolescence. Behind the nonsense on the popular political consciousness, there is the background, lots of background. And if it deviates quite Easily, activists rags , there is an argument That is exciting for the geo-political. And always current. Clearly, we must continue to read this book, odd today, in 2009.

The word geopolitics, first: Certainly it Appears from page 9 goal attached to the word "Hitler" Lacoste HAS ADOPTED not really the word in 1976. It is much more detached from the context in the afterword of 1982 All which ADOPTED That the word Precisely icts is Evolution, and Its project. aussi It interesting to note of the evolution of a political geography, old tradition of French geography (see Ancel, the Demangeon ...) to geopolitics, All which is the All which means clustering by the same French university HAS turned icts political geography. So THAT today, most is of the "Geopolitical-" are geographers, All which is a problem, that's goal Reviews another debate.

Lacoste watch that?

Geography, that 'we learned in class (see the geography of our grandmothers) is a great tool for building national identity, at least as Powerful as the storied speech Mallet and Isaac.

The French geography WAS Vidalian Organized around the school (Table geography of France, Recently reissued) eclipsing the political kind of things. aussi Note the very interesting Comparison between Vidal Have you invented the concept of "region" means "geographic" to forget the political dimension, and Assumes control Elysée Reclus geography, political dimension of the Assuming this utopian approach Some That Is (Obviously you must rehabilitate E. Reclus has-been forgotten).

The multiscale approach (several scales of analysis) Allows one to describe a reality That Otherwise Would be too uniform, and therefore irrelevant.

The card tool "representation" is nothing less than neutral and must be "read" (there is detected the future contribution Lacostien, Have you later invented the concept of Geopolitical "representation" in a no nonsense goal identity map)

He must lead an epistemological reflection on geography, without falling into the fascination of a quantitative approach to the fashion of the New American Geography (takes a very similar debate to That Which exists in economy!)

And Many other things ...

We read with great interest the postscript of 1982 Brings All which new Elements, Besides the word geopolitics is now ASSUMED: It is Indeed an great picture of the epistemological struggle Between geography and history Between the two world wars and the Geographic dereliction partner after the Second World War.

vidalien repentance (The eastern France, 1916), written in the trauma of war and neglected at the end (it cites the "Geopolitical and geostrategic" Admiral Célérier in What I know, I did not know);

Maintaining the historical supremacy in the interwar period, with Lucien Febvre (Geographical introduction to history, 1922) and the Annales school (see Note), DESPITE Some Attempts at emancipation of geography (J. Brunhes' Geography of history ", 1921).

This felicitous phrase, "the exclusion of politics (I mean the political and non-political) resulted ..." (P. 213).

The desire to claim That "the world is much more complicated That no one wanted to believe" (p. 220) All which summarizes the Geopolitical ambition.

Because in the end, this is THE policy That Allows linking geography to history.

A book engaged, exciting goal, by All which moderate the birth of contemporary French Geopolitical school. That it goes to sleep a little and falls into a geography "classic" Is Another matter: it is Necessary to enjoy this book yet always interesting for Two Reasons :

Because it marks an essential epistemological rupture (gold, there is no Geopolitical without epistemological reflection on the discipline), altho we still do not know if today is a Geopolitical reinvented geography, or if it is .... Reviews another discipline (You can guess That I advocate the second approach .. open debate with B. Tratnjek)

Because it offers analytical instruments REMAIN falling, Regardless of the response That Brings to the previous question.

Is it Necessary to advise you to read .. Strongly? Essential, I tell you ....

See also:

The Deafness Before the Storm

Kurt Eichenwald

The New York Times

September 10, 2012

It was Perhaps the Most Famous presidential briefing in history.

On Aug. 6, 2001, President George W. Bush received a review of the Classified Threats Posed by Osama bin Laden and his terrorist network, Al Qaeda. That morning's "presidential daily brief" - the top-secret document Prepared by America's intelligence agencies - featured the now-infamous heading: "Bin Laden Determined to Strike in U.S." A few weeks later, on 9/11, Al Qaeda That goal accomplished.

On April 10, 2004, the Bush White House declassified That daily brief - and only That daily brief -. In response to pressure from the 9/11 Commission, All All which WAS Investigating the events leading to the attack Administration Officials Dismissed the document's significance, saying That, Despite The jaw-dropping headline, It was only an assessment of Al Qaeda's history, not a warning of the impending attack. While Some critics Considered That claim absurd, a close reading of the brief Showed That The argument HAD Some validity.

That is, Unless It was read in conjunction with the daily briefs PRECEDING Aug. 6, the ones the Bush administration Would not release. While Those records are still not public, I have read excerpts from;; many of 'em, along with other Recently declassified records, and come to an inescapable conclusion of That The administration's reaction to what Mr. Bush Was Told in the weeks before That infamous briefing reflected Significantly more than negligence has-been Disclosed. In other words, the Aug. 6 title for all of the Provoked controversy it, is not Nearly as shocking as the briefs That cam before it.

The Direct warnings to Mr. Bush about the possibility of a Qaeda attack Began in the spring of 2001. By May 1, the Central Intelligence Agency Told the White House of a report That "Presently a group in the United States" Was schedule a terrorist operation. Weeks later, on June 22, reported about about the daily brief Qaeda strikes That Could Be "imminent," altho the intelligence Suggested time frame flexible WAS.

But Some in the administration Considered the warning to be just bluster. An intelligence official and a member of the Bush administration Both Told me in interviews That the neoconservative leaders Have you HAD ASSUMED Recently power at the Pentagon Were warning the White House That The CIA HAD beens fooled; ACCORDING to this theory, Bin Laden WAS Merely pretending to be an attack Planning to distract the administration from Saddam Hussein, Whom the neoconservatives saw as a Greater Threat. Intelligence Officials, sources thesis Said That protested the idea of Bin Laden, an Islamic fundamentalist, conspiring with Mr. Hussein, an Iraqi secularist, WAS ridiculous, aim the neoconservatives' suspicions Were nevertheless carrying the day.

In response, the CIA analysis Prepared That year all purpose pleaded with the White House to accept That the threat from Bin Laden WAS real.

"The U.S. is not the target of a disinformation campaign by Usama Bin Laden," the daily brief of June 29 read, using the government's transliteration of Bin Laden's first name. Going on for more than a page, the document recited much of the evidence , Including an interview That month with a Middle Eastern journalist in All All which Bin Laden Warned aid of a coming attack, as well as competitive Pressures That the terrorist leader WAS feeling, Being Given the number of Islamists gold or recruited for the separatist Russian Region of Chechnya .

And the CIA repeated the warnings in the briefs That Followed. Operatives connected to Bin Laden, one reported about about on June 29, the expected near-term attacks Planned to have "dramatic consequences," including major casualties. On July 1, the brief STATED That The operation HAD beens delayed, goal "will Occur soon." Some of the briefs again Reminded Mr. Bush That The timing attack WAS flexible, and That, DESPITE Any Perceived delay, the assault on Planned WAS track.

Yet, the White House failed to take significant action. Officials at the Counterterrorism Center of the CIA Grew apoplectic. On July 9, at a meeting of the counterterrorism group, one official Suggested That The staff put in for a transfer so somebody else That Would Be Responsible When the attack Took up two people Who Were Told me there in interviews. The suggestion WAS batted down, They Said, Because there Would be no time now to anyone else.

That same day in Chechnya, According To intelligence I reviewed, Ibn Al-Khattab, an extremist Who Was known for His brutality and his links to Al Qaeda, His followers Told That There Would soon be very big news. Within 48 hours, an intelligence Official Told me that 'WAS Conveyed information to the White House, Providing more data Supporting the CIA's warnings. Still, the alarm bells Did sound.

On July 24, Mr. Bush WAS Notified That the attack WAS still Being readied, Aimed That It HAD beens postponed, Perhaps by A Few months. Aim the president About About did not feel the briefings on potential attacks Were Sufficient, one intelligence official Told me , and INSTEAD Abebooks websites for a Broader analysis on Al Qaeda, icts aspirations and Its history. In response, the CIA set to work on the Aug. 6 brief.

In the aftermath of 9/11, Bush Officials Attempted to deflect criticism That They Had ignored CIA warnings by saying They Had not Been Told When and where the attack Would Occur. That is true, as far as it goes, it misses the aim points . Throughout That Summer, There Were events That Might Have Exposed the planes Had the government on high alert beens. Indeed, as the odd Aug. 6 WAS brief being prepared, Mohamed al-Kahtani, a Saudi Believed to Have Been Assigned a role in the 9/11 attacks, Washington stopped at an airport in Orlando, Fla., By a suspicious customs agent and feels back on Aug overseas. 4.Two weeks later, Reviews Reviews another co-conspirator Zacarias Moussaoui, arrested This This WAS on immigration in Minnesota Effective load arousing suspicions at a flight school. Purpose Were not connected the dots, and Washington About About did not react.

Could the 9/11 attack-have-been stopped, Had the Bush team reacted with urgency to the warnings contained in all of Those daily briefs? We can not ever know. And That May be The Most agonizing reality of all.

Kurt Eichenwald, a contributing editor at Vanity Fair and see a form for The New York Times, is the author of "500 Days. Secrets and Lies in the Terror Wars"

Author Kurt Eichenwald talks about what the White House Knew leading up to the attacks and How They used the intelligence information in the months after.

Robert Windrem

NBC News

On the 11th anniversary of the worst terrorist attack on U.S. soil, there is mounting evidence That the Bush administration received intelligence warnings more than Calculated calculated previously known prior to the Sept. 11 attacks killed That Nearly 3,000.

Kurt Eichenwald, to form New York Times reporter, wrote in an op-ed piece Free Free in Tuesday's newspaper about a number of Calculated calculated previously unknown warnings relayed to the White House by U.S. intelligence in the weeks and months prior to the attacks. Eichenwald wrote of the warnings in His new book, "500 Days. Secrets and Lies in the Terror Wars"

And former U.S. intelligence Officials say there Were more odd warnings, pointing to a little Noticed section of George Tenet's memoir, "At the Center of the Storm."

In it, Tenet Describes a July 10, 2001 meeting at the White House in the office of Condoleezza Rice, President George W. Then Bush's national security adviser. Was Not Discussed The meeting in the 9-11 Commission's final report on the attacks, Tenet wrote That altho he Provided information on it to the commission.

What's critical to understanding the Difference between this meeting and others, says one senior U.S. intelligence form official Have you spoke with NBC News on terms of anonymity, Is That the intelligence Provided That Day WAS fresh, some of it HAVING beens Collected the previous day. intelligence and other national security and Officials, speaking on terms of anonymity also, say the briefings make clear That, while Bush administration Officials Understood the Nature of the Threat, They Did not Understand icts magnitude and urgency.

"This intelligence Delivered on July 10 WAS Specific and was generated within 24 hours of the meeting," Said the first official, pointed out the text Have you in the Tenet memoir.

Tenet wrote about how Effective Being Briefed by His counterterrorism team on July 10 - two months prior to the attacks - "I picked up the big white secure phone on the left side of my desk - the one with a straight line to Condi Rice - and That Told her I needed to see her time to time immediately Provide an update on the al-Qaeda threat. "

Tenet Said he Could not recall Another Time In His seven years as director of the CIA That he Sought Such an urgency meeting at the White House. Rice Agreed meeting time to the time immediately, and 15 minutes later, he was in.. Rice's office.

An analyst handed out the briefing packages Tenet HAD just seen and Began to speak. "His opening line got everyone's attention," Tenet wrote, "in hand Because it left no room for misunderstanding: 'There Will be a significant terrorist attack in the coming! weeks or months "

The team laid out in a series of slides icts Concerns, based on information included That intelligence "from the past 24 hours."

Citing His notes on the briefing, Tenet wrote, "A chart displayed Specific seven pieces of intelligence Gathered over the past twenty-four hours, all of 'em Predicting an imminent attack. Among the items: Islamic extremists Were traveling to Afghanistan in Greater numbers , and there HAD beens significant departures of extremist families from Yemen. Other signs pointed to new terrorism terrorism threats against U.S. Interests in Lebanon, Morocco, and Mauritania. "

A second chart Followed, listing a summation of The Most chilling comments by al-Qaida. According To Tenet, They Were:

• A mid-June statement from Osama bin Laden to trainees That There Will Be an attack in the near future.

• Information That Talked about moving Toward decisive acts.

• Late June Cited That information has "big event" That Was forthcoming.

• "Two separate bits of information Collected only A Few days before our meeting in Which People were Predicting a stunning turn of events in the weeks ahead."

Another slide detailed how Chechen Islamic terrorist leader Ibn Khattab HAD promised some "very big news" to His troops.

Were there more details, as laid out by one of Tenet's top analysts, known in the book as "Rich B." Tenet Recounts His help telling Rice and others, "The attack Will Be 'spectacular.' and designed to inflict mass casualties against U.S. facilities and Interests. 'Attack preparations made-have-been,' he said. 'Multiple and simultaneous attacks are possible, , and They Will Occur with little or no warning. Al-Qaida is waiting us out and looking for vulnerability. "

Rice, Tenet wrote, Positively reacted to the briefing and counter terrorism Asked her adviser, Richard Clarke, if he Agreed with the assessment. Clarke Said He Did, and Tenet Said he and his aids left the meeting feeling That Rice Understood the threat. HOWEVER , he wrote, the White House never Followed up on the presidential finding That Tenet HAD beens answer ask asking for since March, Broader Authorizing covert action against al-Qaida. finding signed by President That WAS Bush on Sept. 17, six days after the attacks .

Roger Cressey, Who Was Clarke's deputy and is now an NBC News terrorism analyst counter, says one thing is missing from That Tenet's description of the events Is That the intelligence pointed to overseas attacks. altho CIA DID tell Officials That They Could not discount an attack on the U.S. homeland.

"Everything we had (from U.S. intelligence) pointed overseas, SPECIFICALLY to the Gulf," he said. "There Was No actionable intelligence That pointed to the homeland. DID What we know, and what we Told domestic agencies, was there WAS "a disturbance in the Force, "and we were very worried about an attack.

Still, Cressey remains critical of the Lack of a response going back to the first week of the administration, saying the team counterterrorism at the National Security Council and experts Elsewhere in the government Were "butting our heads against the wall" in an Attempt to get Meaningful a response from the White House.

Would Action by the White House-have Helped? Like Eichenwald, Cressey says he Is not sure, Notes That goal When intelligence pointed to similar attacks on January 1, 2000 "Sandy Berger (Rice's predecessor) and (President Bill) Clinton Went to battle stations. " Did warnings prior to the millennium help thwart a number of attacks Back Then? Cressey Believes They Did.

One intelligence official also Noted That the interception of the Effective July intelligence, There Was little talk on the al-Qaida communications network prior to Sept. 11. It was not much later Until U.S. intelligence Understood why: With the schedule and operational staff in place , Were the plotters simply waiting for an opportune time to strike.

"They laid low Because They Were waiting for Congress to come back in session," the official said.

The reason, he said: United Flight 93 WAS headed for the U.S. Capitol, Congress was in.. Where session, When passengers overpowered the hijackers, Causing the plane to crash in a field near Shanksville, Pa.

Robert Windrem is a senior investigative producer for NBC News.

Finally, see:

Geography Will Decide Our Destiny?

The NY Review of Books

February 21, 2013

Malise Ruthven

The Revenge of Geography: What the Map Tells Us About Coming Conflicts and the Battle Against Fate

Robert D. Kaplan

Random House, 403 pp., $ 28.00

When maps Were Introduced into Ottoman schools in the 1860s, conservative Muslims-people We would now call Salafists-were so outraged That They ripped 'em off classroom walls and threw them down the toilet. Though Muslim geographers: such as Muhammad al-Idrisi ( 1099-1166) Produced HAD serviceable maps, They Were not Widely available and for MOST of Ottoman history the spatial configuration of territory in two dimensions HAD beens Largely restricted to military specialists.

The pictures available to the sultan's subjects and to others pondering Were His domains for the MOST verbal part, with reference to imprecise formulas: such as Memaliki Mahrusi Shahane-"divinely protected imperial possessions." The imaginary-the different ways of conceiving the world-was human-centered Rather than territorially based. Political power Was Not Perceived as spatially distributed over a homogenous, two-dimensional field, goal vertically through a hierarchy of human filters emanating from the sultan through His overlords. As Albert Hourani pointed out in His History of the Arab Peoples, in the arid Areas of North Africa and the Middle East Where pastoralists ranged over deserts and steppes frontierless, power tended to radiate out of urban centers, Weakening with distance.

For the MOST of the world, boundaries Between States Were not fixed Until Europeans Arranged Between Themselves treaties with local rulers gold. late nineteenth century From the, HOWEVER, WAS the map essential to this process. As Benedict Anderson in Imagined Communities Noted, one of . the map's effects to compel WAS Citizens to Identify with a Specific territorial entity According To the historian Benjamin Fortna, the Ottoman rulers damaged damaged deliberately used schoolroom maps to Promote loyalty to the state: "The map insists on the importance of the shape of the territory and begins to shape this takes tremendous political importance as emblematic for the territory in issue. "1

Maps cam to be used polemically to assert political sovereignty gold to deny political realities. Fortna Note That The "pink" of Ottoman sovereignty used in maps approved by the Ottoman ministry of education in 1906 Showed Tunis occupied by France since 1881-as still share of the Ottoman Empire while Bulgaria, independent from the 1870s, Washington still shown as an imperial province.

More Recently, maps used Throughout the Arab world Routinely denied the existence of Israel, while Palestinian activists show the map of the whole of Palestine (to the exclusion of the Jewish state or "Zionist entity") as Their national logos. Yasser Arafat damaged deliberately damaged His headdress folded, kaffiyeh gold to resemble the whole of Palestine. In South Asia it hard to conceive of an Indian Would Be Any government ceding portion of the Disputed territory of Kashmir (the only state with a Muslim Majority) When every Indian schoolchild grows up with a diamond-shaped picture of the country with icts apex far in the Himalayan north. Maps-have-been agents of political homogenization, an essential share of what the anthropologist Ernest Gellner called Expired Expired the "universal conceptual currency ...

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Back with the geo-political and advise the candidate Romney Lebanese-American Walid Phares, this kind of new Eisenhower Doctrine unreported as the threat of a Continuing re-election Obama Consisting HAVING maintained while the fuel of terrorism device of icts predecessor - Including Guantanamo - Intensified and odd Targeted killings , "letting North Africa to the Muslim Brotherhood and the Iranian influences in the Levant."

As well as "'incredible servility" Unfortunately shared by much of Western countries Towards Islam, the "leading to Systematically Support The Most archaic regimes, less democratic, the MOST anti-Westerners, Then, When They collapse, to turn to the Most Extreme "revolutionary ...

The Syrian failure of Obama administration

Walid Phares (advisor Mitt Romney)

Orient the day

28/08/2012

Advisor to the U.S. Congress for terrorism and the Middle East adviser on foreign policy and national security Mitt Romney.

OPINION

The bloodshed in Syria HAS Almost Reached the proportions of genocide. Since spring 2011, the massacres perpetrated by the Assad regime Took away tens of Thousands of Civilians, Including children, women and elderly. If it is a fact-have Emerged That jihadist Militias, and In Some cases perpetrated abuse Actually, the vast Majority of Syrians protesting against the Baathist diet Does not seek to build an emirate of the Taliban style. This political reality Clearly Understood by APÉNDICE and seasoned experts, continuing to elude much of the international public opinion. The conflict in Syria is internal, regional and international levels, and is now about to issue human catastrophe, forcing the international community to act in defense of an endangered population. Not only international law aim aussi the UN Charter require a bailout for millions of innocent Civilians trapped in a War That HAS Continued to expand icts spectrum.

As I Predicted in my book The Coming Revolution: Struggle for Freedom in the Middle East, published A Few months before the Arab Spring and six months before the Syrian revolution, civil society in Syria HAS Reached a critical level of rejection of the repressive and diet security of Assad. In my projection, I Had Carefully argued That Would Eventually the Syrians revolt against the Baathist diet, Some Because of past repression, as Sunnis, others Because of the treatment against ethnic minorities: such as Kurds ... goal majorité Eventually mimic the popular uprising of the Cedar Revolution in Lebanon in 2005 against the Syrian occupation and the Green Revolution in Tehran against the hand Khomeini diet, Assad ally in the area. Syrians-have finally broken the wall of fear and swept the streets in spring 2011. The insurgents of Deraa, in the south, and Homs, in the center, Following the example of the Egyptians, Have you cam to overthrow Mubarak, and Tunisian Have you HAD pushed Ben Ali into exile. Many thought at the time That It Would suffice mass demonstrations Took to the streets for the international community, led by the United States, strength Assad to resign. Syrians and Arabs HAD Witnessed the escalation of diplomatic pressure led by President Obama against Cairo and Tunis, and thought It Would be the same with Damascus. Gaddafi and When Launched His chariots on Benghazi and parts of Tripoli in 2011, Washington led, from a position Rearward it is true, air and maritime NATO campaign Aimed at the Strategic Weapons exhausting the dictator, giving the opposition the opportunity to Deliver His battle on the ground, All which led to the downfall Ultimately of the madman, as Sadat used to call it.

Meanwhile, Syrian demonstrators Were beaten, tortured children and the hundreds of people killed per week. The Obama administration HAS beens not commensurate with the level of hope and tragedy taking up Throughout Syria. Months-have elapsed before U.S. diplomatic Pressures Have Become serious enough and Economic sanctions. Pressures The time Egyptian, and more, Have Been ADOPTED in Syria, the circumstances already HAD Become similar to That of Libya. Washington WAS late, very late. Assad already Troops Slaughtered Thousands of Civilians in the towns and villages and a "Free Syrian Army "had already challenged the Emerged and diet.

When the revolution HAD Become a virtual civil war, the United States appealed to the Security Council for an initiative on Syria. Goal Because Russian leaders Claimed to Have Been duped on Libya with Resolution 1973, the veto Moscow - supported by China - Blocked ANY reference to a resolution based on Chapter 7, a sine qua non for military actions against the Plan. Again, Unfortunately, the Obama administration WAS late for a warrant in favor of Establishing a no-fly area or odd Humanitarian corridors to help Civilians. And for Good Reason: any enclave jacket must be protected by UN forces under a decision autorisée under the Chapter 7 now impossible.

Last spring, the equation on the ground Has Changed with dramatic consequences. The rebels-have won more tactical victories, penetrating In Many towns and villages, capturing checkpoints and borders, as we-have seen Recently, wearing blows to the Executive Assad. THUS, the opposition Progressed through His own strength and with minimal support from regional actors. Goal without international or Arab-Western Strategic initiative, internal opposition risk the slaughter at the hands of a Powerful army, DESPITE multiple defections continued to crush the rebel enclaves and emery Broaden the spectrum of violence against Civilians.

Why did the Obama Administration Does not act Firmly Strategically and on the Syrian issue, odd though it Could have benefited from European media - Especially French - Turkish and Arabic? The main reason for Such Action HAS Slowed - due undeclared aim Widely accepted - lies in the fears of the White House what it calls a regional escalation. In fact, Assad is an ally of the Iranian diet and Hezbollah in Lebanon, and Many in the Iraqi government quietly supporting this axis. Washington fears That military actions against Syria, in Any Whatsoever form causes offensive against not one, aim oven regimes. In the context of an election year, as it Appears in the spirit of Obama strategists, was president May not want to risk a military campaign against a country Whose diet is share of a regional alliance led by Iran. And as the administration containment Has No Plan for Iran, it is therefore Unable to start in Syria, a number of Shares That Could lead to a confrontation in the Gulf, Iraq and Lebanon, Besides It Could Involve Israel to a larger scale.

Unfortunately, the Inability to debunk Assad is due to a Lack of U.S. Strategic Decision Regarding Iran and Hezbollah, an attitude HAS That feels a clear Message to the Syrian dictator: he can act with Impunity, at least Until November 6, what he is doing , without mercy. One of the major results of this failure is the dramatic growth in the number of civilian casualties in Syria. you can see the death and chaos via Internet and YouTube everyday Another effect of the failure is worrying étatsunienne penetration by jihadist networks armed opposition in Syria. Albeit we Reduced scale, the supporters of al-Qaeda-have Claimed tactical victories against the diet, more convincing Islamists to join Their ranks. liberal and secular In the origin, the Executive Board of the opposition is confused Between the lack of a decision of the West and the diet's brutality. Meanwhile, pro-Iranians in Iraq and Strengthen the Syrian diet supporters take actions against the pro-Western March 14 coalition in Lebanon.

In short, the Obama administration HAS Unfortunately failed to come to the rescue of an endangered by an ally of Iran's population. Some Point Out That This Could Be a political Rather than a Lack of policy, Which Evokes in us the attitude Towards the Iranian protesters in June 2009. Observers Suggest That undeclared and the Middle East wants to leave North Africa to the Muslim Brotherhood and the Iranian influences in the Levant Obama doctrine.

It is Hoped That changed leadership in Washington Quickly icts policy in the Middle East, improvising a strategy That Would Produce has Weakening Assad and a gradual Strengthening of the opposition, while Ensuring That The secular and liberal camp the rebels receive much support. The development of Such a strategy is it now Considered? Emergency Plans still exist in Washington, the goal Question That Arises Is That of political decision. Is it? If we do not want to see the Syrians Suffer irreversible Until the elections are completed in the United States, real pressure must be Performed in America and around the world on the administration to initiate at least one alternative campaign for the protection of civil society in Syria. In summary, that 'Syria is released, Washington must change direction. Otherwise, it Will Be a change of administration to benefit from the Romney alternative to Obama's reluctance to confront Iran, the main carrier of Bashar al-Assad.

See also:

Middle East

Arab Spring. Nothing is

Michel Gurfinkiel

Current values

28/06/2012

Military regimes or theocracies? Contrary to the Egyptian Suggest elections, the future of Arab and Islamic countries can not be Reduced to simplistic choice. Interview with Walid Phares geopolitics.

Born in Lebanon, Walid Phares HAS Studied in France, and lives in the United States since 1990. Professor at the National Defense University American, author of many books in Arabic and English, it is official expert of Congress on issues of terrorism and Special Advisor to the Republican candidate Mitt Romney on issues related to Islam and the Middle East.

Will we in Egypt to a "historic compromise" between the army and Islamists? In fact, this is already compromised in place for over a year. goal it is an unstable compromise, Where Each partner tries to win over the other.

Review: The most complex case is Obviously Syria. Unlike Gaddafi's Libya, the Assad diet Has the holder of three other regional powers: Iran, share of Iraq and the Lebanese Hezbollah. Aim the Syrian opposition HAS aussi external support, so That the diet can no follow tame. A kind of "status quo violent" Was therefore installed, with the consequently Increasing numbers of civilian casualties. Western response is not without U.S. support, Which Makes it highly Unlikely, except cataclysm before November: the United States is slanted, so far ., the presidential election Purpose again, the issue again: if Assad falls, Who Will replace him?

The crisis can it reach other countries in the Middle East? The crisis is brewing in the whole area. probably Will We see serious Difficulties in Lebanon and Iraq, for porosity with Syria. Jordan Will see a rise of Islamists, Algeria Will a new face Islamist wave, goal separatism Kabyle. Salafists are already Strengthening in Mali and Their influences Will extend Mauritania, Niger and of course in Nigeria. Sudan faces new non Arab uprisings, Darfur, Nubia or the Beja tribes to the east of the country. The Liberal opposition can manifest again in Iran, ethnic minorities and touch.

Western countries-have a role to play Continuing in this area? Unquestionably. In the Arab-Islamic world, the West is in fact the absolute reference: the epitome of a Powerful free, peaceful society Developed.

Purpose Westerners do not Realize gold do not want to Realize it. A kind of tropism leads to Systematically Support The Most archaic, less democratic, more anti-Western, and Then When They break down, to turn to the Most Extreme revolutionary regimes. A damning example of this behavior WAS provided by Barack Obama, Went Have you pronounce a speech in Cairo of an incredible servility Towards Islamism in June 2009, at a time When Iranian civil society revolted against the dictatorship of the mullahs.

Interview by Michel Gurfinkiel

See also:

Bad turn in Lebanon "

Walid Phares

The Washington Times

translation Voltaire Network

February 21, 2005

When the explosion hit Beirut, killing form Prime Minister Rafik Hariri and his companions, history Took a new turn in Lebanon. Sunnis turned away from Bashar al-Assad and a Sunni-Druze-Christian alliance WAS Formed, turning to the Shiites.

How the Syrian diet, known for His skill, He Was ble to make Such a mistake as a suicide? All Those Who Have Studied the Syrian diet-have Concluded the same thing. no one is in control of Syria When an occupant begins to hit His form allies, the end is near. ba'asiste The occupation of Lebanon since last 30 odd years and the end of the Soviet era About did not put an end to the Syrian Anschluss. Relic of the Soviet era, the Assad diet HAS His Annihilated Opponents stuck Between Christian and Sunni terror icts and That of Hezbollah. Placing the terrorist By not diet in the "Axis of Evil" Was allowed him a chance to evolve and leave Lebanon, aim He Did not take it.

Today, Saddam fell and Yasser Arafat is dead. Syria is alone. After 1559, the Lebanese opposition Began to gather and Syria attacked This. Damascus can not abandon Lebanon ballast the "Reich" fall Within icts borders. Syria is lost in an apocalyptic leak before All which leave Lebanon May ash.

See also:

Radical Islam

The Candidate Who Can See the Enemy, Can Defeat It

Walid Phares

2/1/2008

Indeed, since the attacks against New York and Washington and the commitment of the nation in the war with Jihadism since 2001, the selection of the U.S. President can Fundamentally affect the survival of the American People. Who would occupy the White House in 2009 Will Have to make decisions for four to eight years with cataclysmic consequences on the physical security and the freedom of 300 million Citizens in this country and the free world Eventually we got a whole: For the leader of the Most Powerful democracy in the world HAS to be ble to know the enemy is so you Have That all resources are put into action. Short of this Ability to be very clear and precise on the nature of the hazard and the processes to address it, a next U.S. President Could after a major disaster to this nation. cannot American voters Afford to install a man or a woman Who Can Identify and define the enemy. If you can not see That enemy, you simply cannot defeat it.

In the 2004 Presidential election, the real choice WAS not between Parties and Socio Economic platforms. It was Between the option of war against the RESUMING What Was Called then "Terrorism," and the option of retreating from the confrontation. Everything else WAS decoration. Were Americans agonizing on the management to adopt Before Their numerical majority resettled President Bush in the White House. Some Americans do not argued That exchange was falling Presidents War. I think That the country WAS Influenced by the aforementioned two directions and one thing over the other, aim at the same time I do think though an overwhelming Majority That Was not fully Informed of voters as to the real stakes. Less than half of the country Was Told That The war in Iraq was wrong, and That There Was No War on terror, and more than half of the country Was Not Told odd Have you the enemy WAS or what it really wanted.

The 2004 Presidential elections Took Place in quasi popular ignorance. The sitting - and fighting - President WAS reelected by basic instincts not by enlightened Citizens, All All which if Compared to the opposing agenda Were a sophisticated choice.

In 2008, America is quite different and the outlook of the forthcoming confrontation is by far more dramatic. American Forces are still in Afghanistan and Iraq and the Jihadists Deployed - all kinds of regimes and organizations - are still reverse-committed to democracy thesis in two countries. The war is not over there Rather the Greater challenges are yet to begin. Al Qaeda got beaten badly in the Sunni Triangle and in Somalia goal is younger generation of Jihadists Being put into battle across the area. Not one single Sunni country Will escape the rise of Salafi Terror in the next U.S. Presidential term. Iran's diet is speeding up icts Strategic armament, testing American resolve When possible; Syria is surviving icts isolation and bleeding our allies in Iraq and Lebanon, Hezbollah is about to sixteen Lebanon, Hamas HAS Seized Gaza, Turkey's Islamists are reversing secularism, and Pakistan's Jihadists are eying the nuclear missiles. Worse goal, three generations of Jihadists-have penetrated the social and defense layers of Western Europe and the United States. in few years from now, the next President May-have to witness European cities burned by urban warfare in his (or her) first term, and Could Be forced to arm the doom day devices for the first time in this century by the Following presidential term. These images from a not so distant May Become the future reality to face the leaders we will select in the primaries and the one Who Will be sitting in the oval office next January. The prospects are really serious. Malthus the choice of the best candidate at Party and national levels is not a matter of routine or a regular exercise of U.S. politics.

Never before-have Americans must scrutinize the agendas of Their candidates and find out the All All which platform is best suited for what is to come, Among Them Have you can face off with the lethal enemy, shield the economy, the marriages daily lives while building the HAS vital coalitions the world ever needed? Who can Withstand the pressure, Understand the Nature of the enemy and bring into the decision making posts the men and women Have you can win the conflict. And it is from a mere reading of thesis platforms - as posted and published - as well as from the public speeches of the candidates That anyone among us can shop around for the best of the suitable candidates. At this point of U.S. and world history, Party, gender, race, and social class affiliations can not . offer only the right choice for the forthcoming Presidential election At the end it is a personal selection act the the for each citizen. Certainly In Democracies and in the United States this year one can make many choices and select the Appropriate candidates:

1. Unilaterally Decided to Withdraw from the war and let the next generation struggle with the consequences

2. Think That if we mind our business as a nation the world as it exists today Will simply comply.

3. Commit to continue the confrontation by Maintaining the status quo and Awaiting for things to get better by Themselves

4. Engage the enemy deeper, smarter and WIDER and end the war faster.

All depends on how educated about We Were the conflict and what is it Abebooks web Consider Priorities in our lives. If We Were Misinformed about the events-have bled That Will bring this country and the world into dramatic times, Before They recede, We would vote for the candidates Have you Sees No Threat to America and Have you practice politics as if Peace is secure. Purpose if we know Where we are in the world we're living in, we'd look at survival first before we argue about everything . else Among Those Who am I believe - and see - that this country (and other Democracies) are marked for aggression and Terror. Concerns about All our economy, social justice, cultural harmony, wealth, and technological advancement are Dramatically pending on the Ability of the rising threat to national security crumble this country and all collapse with What Would That's Fall.

Probably I am Among The Few Have you see the clouds gathering around the globe and Malthus Have Been Urging leaders to act fast, decisively and early on to AVOID the future Jihad-that HAS Began already. If what I see WAS not there I would be fully excited - not not like any citizen - to argue forcefully about the crucial matters of our existence: health, environment, nutrition, scientific discoveries, animal protection, and why not space exploration. Had not I Realized That All That WAS debate hinging on what Bin laden and Ahmedinijad Were Preparing, I would-have been looking at a whole different roaster of Presidential candidates. That goal is not the world I see ahead of us, in the immediate future.

Hence, I'll leave the debate about the best Economic and technological directions to Their experts and I would postpone the social and philosophical dreams to better times. Right now and right here I am interested in. Among the candidates have you can simply Understand the tragic equation we're in May and be ble to use the resources of this nation to cross the bridge ahead of us. Elected President Bush WAS before 9/11 on the grounds Neither of Avoiding the Jihadi winning wars nor em. Very odd Few Knew That We Were already at war. reelected He Was on the ground of Being a better choice than the defeatist political alternative. This year I Suggest That Americans deserve a more daring choice. They need to see and certify That the next occupant of the White House lives on this Planet, at this age, knows the Abebooks web are at war and above all knows All All which war we are fighting. The margin of error is too slim to allow hesitations.

By May 2012 the Jihadists recruit one million suicide bombers and two nuclear powers Could align. By 2016 Would They deploy 10 million suicide bombers and sixteen five regimes equipped with the final weapon. In the next eight years NATO's European membership Could Be battling urban intifada and U.S. task forces lacking shelters worldwide. thesis To Avoid prospects of the Apocalypse offices on Pennsylvania Avenue must catch up with the lost Opportunities as of next winter.

Malthus, and Unlike traditional classical Commentators in U.S. politics I am not looking at what and Who Said Have you flipped flopped WHEN condition. Frankly, it Does not matter at this race if it is a he or a she, of this or other race, of this or other church, and if the President is single, HAS HAS large family or divorced twice. The stakes are much higher than the sweet goal irrelevant American usual personality debate. I want to know if the candidates are strong willed, smart, educated about the world, Informed about the threat, can define it, can IDENTIFY it, can fight it, are not duped by Their bureaucracy, can not be Influenced by foreign regimes,-have the right advisors, can run an economy while commanding a war and still see the Threats As They handle daily crisis and take drastic measures as the hard times are approaching. I want to know if the candidates are very Their Specific When They inform the public about the threat. Yes, it is a vital function of national Indeed security need to insure the Abebooks web for the next Few Years, So THAT all other issues can be Addressed thoroughly. In short I do not want to see the fall of Constantinople Being repeated thesis on shores in the next decade or two. Humanity Will not recover from Such a disaster.

And That potential hyper drama hinges on the mind and the nerves of the next President of this country. At this race three men and a woman, all remarkable politicians, are the finalists (or so it Seems) for the ultimate job. Their skills are Rich, Their past and present are colorful, Their pictures are attractive to many and inspired the dreams They are Equally Powerful. A Minority symbol, a successful woman, a war hero and a bright entrepreneur If There Was No Jihadi threat, meaning a different Planet, I would be ble to choose Hardly. Senator Obama Would Be an amazing choice to end the wounds of the past. Senator Clinton, as a woman, Would break the gender taboo. Senator McCain, as a man Have you Suffered for His Country Would epitomize the faithfulness of this nation. Governor Romney, the family man and the successful businessman can be the symbol of a hopeful America. As beautiful as thesis tales can be, my search for the best choice is not as dreamful as the descriptions the candidates inspires, Unfortunately. I am looking at the scariest item on andrds Any Presidential agenda and Kucinich (Before They quit the race) acknowledge That a "war on terror" is on. Both-have Pledged to Pursue al Qaeda relentlessly INSTEAD of blaming Their country as Their matt-have STATED. Also, Obama and Clinton, to the surprise of Their critics counter terrorism-have enlisted experts as advisors Good. Goal from there on, the findings gets darker. The Senator from Illinois wants to end the campaign in Iraq Abruptly, Which would lead to the crumbling of the democratic experiment and a chain of disasters from Afghanistan to Lebanon opening the path for a Khomeinist Jihadi empire Accessing the Persian Gulf and the Eastern Mediterranean: Too Many Sufferings and devastating results. Obama's campaign need to Radically transform icts agenda on world view so That the voices of the oppressed peoples'm His share of the world, can be Heard. Maybe a trip to Darfur and Beirut can help rethinking his agenda. Unfortunately the latest news from the campaign Is not Encouraging. The Senator wants to shake the hands of Dictator Assad, authoritarian Chavez, apocalyptic Ahmedinijad and odd Perhaps the Khartoum bullies of Sudan's Africans. No need for further evidence: such an agenda in the next White House is anathema to the sense of human history.

Senator Clinton HAS A Powerful political and engine happens to-have enlisted top national security experts in her team. Will she commit to stand by Israel and Would not visit the Oppressors of women in Tehran. thesis Purpose beyond two red lines her foreign policy agenda ( Despite The knowledgeable expertise available to her) is (ironically using the words of Obama in other fields) "a bridge back to the twentieth century." Indeed, the Plan is to Withdraw from Iraq without defeating the Jihadists, the Iranians and without Containing without solidifying Democracy. It is an asphalted path to the Obama pull out, With Some decorations and prizes consolation. A retreat from the Middle East Will Be paved with fabulous commitment not to let Israel down. A commitment Which would icts lose teeth, once the Pasdaran Will Be marching through Iraq and Syria and Armageddon's Shahhab Would install missiles in the hands of Hezbollah. On the Senator's agenda there is no definition of the enemy or commitment to Contain it, reverse it or defeat it. There are no policies of solidarity with oppressed peoples and there is no alliance with the democratic Strengths of the area. Mrs. Clinton Will not befriend Ahmedinijad goal Would she let him - and other Islamists - crush her own gender across the continents.

Perhaps more significant goal, from an American perspective Would the crisis be expected in Homeland Security if one or the other agendas advanced by the two Senators Would enter the White House. If no drastic Reforms Would take Their Place Within projected policies of non confrontation of Jihadism , an army of experts, activists and lobbyists is expected to invade all levels of national security and reinstall the pre 9/11 attitudes. Jihadophilia Would prevail In short, odd without the knowledge or consent of the White House That future. It already happened in the 1990s and led to what we know. The reading of political genomes Has No margin for error. The electoral platforms of the two Senators are enemy-definition-free. Not Identifying the enemy is equal to not defining the threat. Malthus, and Unless the good advisors rush to fill That gap before the national election, Democratic voters Will Lack Their opportunity to bring in a solid defender of the nation.

On the other side of the spectrum, Republicans are Struggling with a different choice, nonetheless as challenging and with long term consequences. Aside from Congressman's Paul isolationist program All All which calls for striking deals with bloody Dictatorships, disengaging from Any containment of Jihadi terrorism terrorism threats, Abandoning peoples in jeopardy, and giving free ride to penetration and infiltration within the U.S. homeland (all Clearly and unequivocally stated in the open), aside from this anomalistic agenda, all other platforms Review: Review: had a minimum baggage of resistance to Terror Forces happy, Each one with a different rhetoric.

I am sour Senator McCain can follow the same reasoning and catch up with the geopolitics of the enemy but so far Governor Romney HAS readied himself better in the realm of strategizing the defeat this enemy. The next race of the war HAS to do with a mind battle with the Jihadists. HAS The lath arent just a bunch of Barbarians set to bloodshed. They have a very advanced strategy, Projecting for Decades, And They are ready to confront our next president and defeat the United States. This is why I have come to the conclusion that-based on What Was Provided to the public by the leading candidates oven-Governor Romney Has the capacity of managing the counter strategies against the Jihadists, Because He STATED only to the public That he Sees the enemy as to Who They are . And if a President can see 'em, he can defeat em. His Republican contender, now leading the polls, can sense goal em em Have not shown. The leading candidates on the other side are making progress in the direction of the opposite: One wants to end the War unilaterally and the other wants to make Peace with the Oppressors. In short, if Elected, Romney Will try to destroy the mother ship, McCain Will supply the trenches, Clinton Will pull the troops back to the barracks and Obama Will visit the foes' bunkers.

Hence, as is, I have recommended Governor Romney for the Republican Primaries as first among equals while Senator McCain Considering as a genuine leader. If Romney is selected I believe America May-have a chance to try new strategies. If His contender is selected, we will-have oven or eight more years of the past seven years. On the other side, I have to counter-Terrorism experts to help Suggested Democratic candidates restructures Their agendas on national security in line with the reality of the enemy: For I would Both sides like to see presenting a united vision of the threat while we Differing how to confront it. Would That Be the ideal location in America and can be a response to the deepest Will of the American public.

(PS: This analysis Represents my personal views and not the views or position of Any of the NGOs I am affiliated with.)

Finally, see:

Libya, Sharia law and we

Bernard-Henri Lévy

Point

03/11/2011

What should we think of the case of Sharia? And could it be That It HAS supported the rebels in Benghazi to meet up with that, on arrival, a State divorce and re Prohibiting polygamy? Details. Explanations.

1.It all started with a sentence. One sentence. HAS It Certainly not-been pronounced, this sentence by the first comer as this is Mustafa Abdeljalil, chairman of the National Transitional Council and father of victory. Goal or not the president, is a member Abdeljalil of a Board Whose decisions are collegial. And this Council is, as icts name Suggests, a transitional body That Is not Intended to enact the laws of the future Libya.

Expressed opinion abdeljalil year.

Perhaps a wish.

Maybe It was not a wish odd Given the goal of Islamist fighters Minority Have you paid the heaviest tribute to release pledge.

And odd if he Would Have Expressed the gasoline of His thought, what weight Would It When You Know That it is committed, like everyone CNT, not run post in Libya Effective the transition?

It Will Be Necessary to know what this looks like Will Libya, expect the Constituent Assembly in eight months. Then the general election. Then the kind of government That Will emerge. Act as if a small sentence uttered in the heat of a meeting by year estimable man, drank in the process of leaving the scene enough to "topple" the country is malice, prejudice.

2.There Sharia and Sharia. And must, before singing the great outdoors regression and glaciation, know what you are talking.

Sharia, first, is not a dirty word.

As "jihad" (All which means "spiritual endeavor" and That the Islamists Were Eventually translated into "holy war") as "fatwa" (All which means "religious opinions" and the world, Because of the Rushdie affair HAS Become Accustomed To hear " death sentence "), the very word sharia is the result of a semantic war without thank you for continuing to serve fortunately the Majority of Muslims, something eminently respectable goal.

It is a term That Appears five times in the Koran and the French translations render as "The Way."

That's not the name of a "code", let alone a comprehensive "straitjacket" of rules, order a set of "values" subject to interpretation by doctors.

This is a generic term, ie he belongs legislators to propose an implementation more or less progressive, more or less strict.

Whereby Almost all Muslim countries Refer to the sharia.

Most, Including Gaddafi's Libya in 1993, making it one of the sources of law.

When, as in Morocco, They Do not Because Islam is the state religion is already.

And the whole problem is, Then, what we put in this term: the stoning of the adulteress, as in Iran amputation of thieves, as in Saudi Arabia or a sum of moral precepts That One Strives to combine, as in Egypt, with the Napoleonic Code?

3. The Question Arises, from there, the "way" that Libya Will choose, Either.

A new battle ahead, one Ideological, Where He Will arbitrate Between the Minority of Those Who hear the Shariah meaning fanatics and Those Who want to see her deal with the democratic ideal, it will self.

That in this second battle, we-have a role to play, it is for the friends of the new Libya, the allies That Helped it releases one of the bloodiest Dictatorships of the time, help not to fall under the yoke of tyranny Reviews another, Obviously .

Purpose please, no bad faith.

Do not redo the Libyans kick, civilian release of the famous "quagmire" that after eight days of air strikes, Washington already getting bored.

And do not ask this broken forty-two years of despotism Libya, do not ask this country without a state, without legal tradition, no real civil society to Become, in three months, a country of human rights.

Polish democracy, thirty Years After Solidarity, still looking.

Russia is still in Putin.

It Took a Terror France, a Restoration, two empires and more bloodshed to embody the republican ideal of 1789 and the idea of secularism.

And We would like Libya happening, her night light?

The Battle Will Be fierce.

She know yaw, flashbacks, times of bewilderment.

But I know enough men and women in Benghazi or Misrata, wanted this revolution to Know That They Will not allow Themselves to confiscate if Conquered Their rights struggle.

The great schism That Runs through the Muslim world, the historic confrontation (and now Democratic) Between the two Islams, the Enlightenment and the darkness, the moderates and the extremists, the outstretched hand to the Europe and That of the clash of civilizations, the postkadhafiste Libya HAS Become a major scene - and I bet That form, this is the course, the victory Will Be for the friends of liberty.

Radical Islam

The Candidate Who Can See the Enemy, Can Defeat It

By: Walid Phares
2/1/2008 3:50 PM

RESIZE: A A A

The post 9/11 era Has Changed the rules of engagement for national security experts and for Those Who can read the mind of the Jihadists, When It Comes to U.S. Presidential elections. While the principle Was That the Counter Terrorism community shoulds let the voters something Their candidates and select Their chief executive first, Then the offer expert advice to the President later, Unfortunately For That principle, Things Have Changed.
Indeed, since the attacks against New York and Washington and the commitment of the nation in the war with Jihadism since 2001, the selection of the U.S. President can Fundamentally affect the survival of the American People. Who would occupy the White House in 2009 Will Have to make decisions for four to eight years with cataclysmic consequences on the physical security and the freedom of 300 million Citizens in this country and the free world Eventually we got a whole: For the leader of the Most Powerful democracy in the world HAS to be ble to know the enemy is so you Have That all resources are put into action. Short of this Ability to be very clear and precise on the nature of the hazard and the processes to address it, a next U.S. President Could after a major disaster to this nation. cannot American voters Afford to install a man or a woman Who Can Identify and define the enemy. If you can not see That enemy, you simply cannot defeat it.
In the 2004 Presidential election, the real choice WAS not between Parties and Socio Economic platforms. It was Between the option of war against the RESUMING What Was Called then "Terrorism," and the option of retreating from the confrontation. Everything else WAS decoration. Were Americans agonizing on the management to adopt Before Their numerical majority resettled President Bush in the White House. Some Americans do not argued That exchange was falling Presidents War. I think That the country WAS Influenced by the two afore MENTIONED directions and one thing over the other, aim at the same time I do think though an overwhelming Majority That Was not fully Informed of voters as to the real stakes. Less than half of the country Was Told That The war in Iraq was wrong, and That There Was No war on terror, and more than half of the country Was Not Told odd Have you the enemy WAS or what it really wanted.
The 2004 Presidential elections Took Place in quasi popular ignorance. The sitting - and fighting - President WAS reelected by basic instincts not by enlightened Citizens, All All which if Compared to the opposing agenda Were a sophisticated choice.
In 2008, America is quite different and the outlook of the forthcoming confrontation is by far more dramatic. American Forces are still in Afghanistan and Iraq and the Jihadists Deployed - all kinds of regimes and organizations - are still reverse-committed to democracy thesis in two countries. The war is not over there Rather the Greater challenges are yet to begin. Al Qaeda got beaten badly in the Sunni Triangle and in Somalia goal is younger generation of Jihadists Being put into battle across the area. Not one single Sunni country Will escape the rise of Salafi Terror in the next U.S. Presidential term. Iran's diet is speeding up icts Strategic armament, testing American resolve When possible; Syria is surviving icts isolation and bleeding our allies in Iraq and Lebanon, Hezbollah is about to sixteen Lebanon, Hamas HAS Seized Gaza, Turkey's Islamists are reversing secularism, and Pakistan's Jihadists are eying the nuclear missiles. Worse goal, three generations of Jihadists-have penetrated the social and defense layers of Western Europe and the United States. in few years from now, the next President May-have to witness European cities burned by urban warfare in his (or her) first term, and Could Be forced to arm the doom day devices for the first time in this century by the Following Presidential term. These images from a not so distant May Become the future reality to face the leaders we will select in the primaries and the one Who Will be sitting in the oval office next January. The prospects are really serious. Malthus the choice of the best candidate at Party and national levels is not a matter of routine or a regular exercise of U.S. politics.
Never before-have Americans must scrutinize the agendas of Their candidates and find out the All All which platform is best suited for what is to come, Among Them Have you can face off with the lethal enemy, shield the economy, the marriages daily lives while building the HAS vital coalitions the world ever needed? Who can Withstand the pressure, Understand the Nature of the enemy and bring into the decision making posts the men and women Have you can win the conflict. And it is from a mere reading of thesis platforms - as posted and published - as well as from the public speeches of the candidates That anyone among us can shop around for the best of the suitable candidates. At this point of U.S. and world history, Party, gender, race, and social class affiliations can not . offer only the right choice for the forthcoming Presidential election At the end it is a personal selection act the the for each citizen. Certainly In Democracies and in the United States this year one can make many choices and select the Appropriate candidates:
1. Unilaterally Decided to Withdraw from the war and let the next generation struggle with the consequences
2. Think That if we mind our business as a nation the world as it exist today Will simply comply.
3. Commit to continue the confrontation by Maintaining the status quo and Awaiting for things to get better by Themselves
4. Engage the enemy deeper, smarter and WIDER and end the war faster.
All depends on how educated about We Were the conflict and what is it Abebooks web Consider Priorities in our lives. If We Were Misinformed about the events-have bled That Will bring this country and the world into dramatic times, Before They recede, We would vote for the candidates Have you Sees No Threat to America and Have you practice politics as if Peace is secure. Purpose if we know Where we are in the world we're living in, we'd look at survival first before we argue about everything . else Among Those Who am I believe - and see - that this country (and other Democracies) are marked for aggression and Terror. Concerns about All our economy, social justice, cultural harmony, wealth, and technological advancement are Dramatically pending on the Ability of the rising threat to national security crumble this country and all collapse with What Would That's Fall.
Probably I am Among The Few Have you see the clouds gathering around the globe and Malthus Have Been Urging leaders to act fast, decisively and early on to AVOID the future Jihad-that HAS Began already. Had Was Not what I see there I would be fully excited - not not like any citizen - to argue forcefully about the crucial matters of our existence: health, environment, nutrition, scientific discoveries, animal protection, and why not space exploration. Had not I Realized That All That WAS debate hinging on what Bin laden and Ahmedinijad Were Preparing, I would-have been looking at a whole different roaster of Presidential candidates. That goal is not the world I see ahead of us, in the immediate future.
Hence, I'll leave the debate about the best Economic and technological directions to Their experts and I would postpone the social and philosophical dreams to better times. Right now and right here I am interested in. Among the candidates have you can simply Understand the tragic equation we're in May and be ble to use the resources of this nation to cross the bridge ahead of us. Elected President Bush WAS before 9/11 on the grounds Neither of Avoiding the Jihadi winning wars nor em. Very odd Few Knew That We Were already at war. reelected He Was on the ground of Being a better choice than the defeatist political alternative. This year I Suggest That Americans deserve a more daring choice. They need to see and certify That the next occupant of the White House lives on this Planet, at this age, knows the Abebooks web are at war and above all knows All All which war we are fighting. The margin of error is too slim to allow hesitations.
By May 2012 the Jihadists recruit one million suicide bombers and two nuclear powers Could align. By 2016 Would They deploy 10 million suicide bombers and sixteen five regimes equipped with the final weapon. In the next eight years NATO's European membership Could Be battling urban intifada and U.S. task forces lacking shelters worldwide. thesis To Avoid prospects of the Apocalypse offices on Pennsylvania Avenue must catch up with the lost Opportunities as of next winter.
Malthus, and Unlike traditional classical Commentators in U.S. politics I am not looking at what and Who Said Have you flipped flopped WHEN condition. Frankly, it Does not matter at this race if it is a he or a she, of this or other race, of this or other church, and if the President is single, HAS HAS large family or divorced twice. The stakes are much higher than the sweet goal irrelevant American usual personality debate. I want to know if the candidates are strong willed, smart, educated about the world, Informed about the threat, can define it, can IDENTIFY it, can fight it, are not duped by Their bureaucracy, can not be Influenced by foreign regimes,-have the right advisors, can run an economy while commanding a war and still see the Threats As They handle daily crisis and take drastic measures as the hard times are approaching. I want to know if the candidates are very Their Specific When They inform the public about the threat. Yes, it is a vital function of national Indeed security need to insure the Abebooks web for the next Few Years, So THAT all other issues can be Addressed thoroughly. In short I do not want to see the fall of Constantinople Being repeated thesis on shores in the next decade or two. Humanity Will not recover from Such a disaster.
And That potential hyper drama hinges on the mind and the nerves of the next President of this country. At this race three men and a woman, all remarkable politicians, are the finalists (or so it Seems) for the ultimate job. Their skills are Rich, Their past and present are colorful, Their pictures are attractive to many and inspired the dreams They are Equally Powerful. A Minority symbol, a successful woman, a war hero and a bright entrepreneur If There Was No Jihadi threat, meaning a different Planet, I would be ble to choose Hardly. Senator Obama Would Be an amazing choice to end the wounds of the past. Senator Clinton, as a woman, Would break the gender taboo. Senator McCain, as a man Have you Suffered for His Country Would epitomize the faithfulness of this nation. Governor Romney, the family man and the successful businessman can be the symbol of a hopeful America. As beautiful as thesis tales can be, my search for the best choice is not as dreamful as the descriptions the candidates inspires, Unfortunately. I am looking at the scariest item on Any Presidential agenda and check out if They are conscious about it: national security. Here is what I found so far.
Senators Obama and Clinton, unlike Their colleagues Edwards and Kucinich (Before They quit the race) acknowledge That a "war on terror" is on. Both-have Pledged to Pursue al Qaeda relentlessly INSTEAD of blaming Their country as Their matt-have STATED. Also, Obama and Clinton, to the surprise of Their critics counter terrorism-have enlisted experts as advisors Good. Goal from there on, the findings gets darker. The Senator from Illinois wants to end the campaign in Iraq Abruptly, Which would lead to the crumbling of the democratic experiment and a chain of disasters from Afghanistan to Lebanon opening the path for a Khomeinist Jihadi empire Accessing the Persian Gulf and the Eastern Mediterranean: Too Many Sufferings and devastating results. Obama's campaign need to Radically transform icts agenda on world view so That the voices of the oppressed peoples'm His share of the world, can be Heard. Maybe a trip to Darfur and Beirut can help rethinking his agenda. Unfortunately the latest news from the campaign Is not Encouraging. The Senator wants to shake the hands of Dictator Assad, authoritarian Chavez, apocalyptic Ahmedinijad and odd Perhaps the Khartoum bullies of Sudan's Africans. No need for further evidence: such an agenda in the next White House is anathema to the sense of human history.
Senator Clinton HAS A Powerful political and engine happens to-have enlisted top national security experts in her team. Will she commit to stand by Israel and Would not visit the Oppressors of women in Tehran. thesis Purpose beyond two red lines her foreign policy agenda ( Despite The knowledgeable expertise available to her) is (ironically using the words of Obama in other fields) "a bridge back to the twentieth century." Indeed, the Plan is to Withdraw from Iraq without defeating the Jihadists, the Iranians and without Containing without solidifying Democracy. It is an asphalted path to the Obama pull out, With Some decorations and prizes consolation. A retreat from the Middle East Will Be paved with fabulous commitment not to let Israel down. A commitment Which would icts lose teeth, once the Pasdaran Will Be marching through Iraq and Syria and Armageddon's Shahhab Would install missiles in the hands of Hezbollah. On the Senator's agenda there is no definition of the enemy or commitment to Contain it, reverse it or defeat it. There are no policies of solidarity with oppressed peoples and there is no alliance with the democratic Strengths of the area. Mrs. Clinton Will not befriend Ahmedinijad aim Would it let him - and other Islamists - crush her own gender across the continents.
Perhaps more significant goal, from an American perspective Would the crisis to expect in Homeland Security if one or the other agendas advanced by the two Senators Would enter the White House. If no drastic Reforms Would take Their Place Within projected policies of non confrontation of Jihadism , an army of experts, activists and lobbyists is expected to invade all levels of national security and reinstall the pre 9/11 attitudes. Jihadophilia Would prevail In short, odd without the knowledge or consent of the White House That future. It already happened in the 1990s and led to what we know. The reading of political genomes Has No margin for error. The electoral platforms of the two Senators are enemy-definition-free. Not Identifying the enemy is equal to not defining the threat. Malthus, and Unless the good advisors rush to fill That gap before the national election, Democratic voters Will Lack Their opportunity to bring in a solid defender of the nation.
On the other side of the spectrum, Republicans are Struggling with a different choice, nonetheless as challenging and with long term consequences. Aside from Congressman's Paul isolationist program All All which calls for striking deals with bloody Dictatorships, disengaging from Any containment of Jihadi terrorism terrorism threats, Abandoning peoples in jeopardy, and giving free ride to penetration and infiltration within the U.S. homeland (all Clearly and unequivocally stated in the open), aside from this anomalistic agenda, all other platforms Review: Review: had a minimum baggage of resistance to Terror Forces happy, Each one with a different rhetoric.
McCain, Romney, Huckabee, as well as Giuliani and Thompson (Before They pulled out) Were all ready to engage battle with "the" enemy, Pursue the So-Called War on Terror and is fighting al Qaeda in Iraq and Afghanistan Agreed. Their agendas Attempted to define the threat, leaping ahead of Their Competitors on the other side of the aisle. Their statements and materials posted are irrefutable Evidence That If They gain the White House Would there Neither surrender the country to domestic infiltration nor Would They disengage from the confrontation overseas. On this ground alone, and the Democratic contenders Unless and Their final nominee Their exchange counter Terrorism approach (All which is not that All Likely), the final choice American voters Will Have to make - is national security - and Will Be Dramatically Different irreversibly full of consequences.
Purpose of the course at this great choices Seems the primaries to-have to be made by Republicans. Indeed, in what I Consider the Most Important single ingredient in the War with Jihadism, the identification of the threat is at the heart of the success or . failure the leading Republican candidates oven All Were equal in fingering What They Perceived as the enemy: They Called it "radical Islam" and Gave it different attributes, "Islamo-fascism," "extremist Islamism," "Islamic terrorism," and other similar descriptions. I'm his eyes They are at the opposite end of Their Democratic contenders. Purpose in my analysis, more than 25 years of Effective study and observation of the phenomenon, and Seven Years After 9/11, the term "radical Islam "is not enough When a U.S. President (or other world leaders) wants to define the risk and build strategies against it: Without delving into the deeper layers of academic research (at least not in this article), the term used outside a doctrine is too general, Does not pin down the actual forces acting against Democracies and can be overturned and Easily manipulated by skilled operatives in the War of ideas. So, the slogan of "Radical Islam" could be a linguistic indicator to the management of the From Where threat is coming from, goal falls short of catching the actual threat doctrine. Jihadism Hence in my judgment Have you Those candidates take the Ideological battle lightly are not equipped as Those Who Have Done Their homework fully and offered the voters, and Perhaps the public , comprehensive doctrine on counter Jihadism.
We're not dealing with semantics here, aim with keys to unlock the stagnation in the current conflict. Having Short of a future President who knows the enemy Exactly Have you is, how does it think, and how to defeat it, the conflict cannot be won. There can be no guesses, no broad drawings, no general directions, no colorful slogans, and no good intentions alone. This next President Has To Understand the Jihadist ideology by himself (herself as well) and not Rely on advisors to site descriptions in the speeches, and exchange em at the wish of lobbyists. This nuance in understanding the threat and in articulating the rhetoric HAS gigantic consequences. All strategies related to fighting al Qaeda in Afghanistan, in Iraq and Within the West, and related to Containing Khomeinist power in the area and beyond emanates from a U.S. understanding of Their ideologies, key Elements of the foes global strategies. Hence When I examine the agendas of the Republican candidates and analyze Their speeches I look at indicators showing the understanding of the bigger picture. All leaders oven, McCain, Romney, Giuliani and Huckabee-have Developed common instincts as to Where it is coming from;. That goal is not enough Americans need to see and Know That Their future President can man sophisticated rhetoric, is ready to go on the offensive, and move against the enemy before the lath jumps at American and allied targets. Being just tough and willing to strike back Heavily is not anymore an acceptable threshold. We need the next President to be aware of what the other side is Preparing, preempt it and do it faster than Any predecessor. The next course in this war is not about sitting in the trenches and Increasing the level of troops Wherever we currently are. It Will Be about moving swiftly and stealthily and sometimes reaching the output structure of the enemy. And to do this, our projected leaders need to Identify and define the threat doctrine and design a counter doctrine, a matter the U.S. Government Has Failed to Achieve in the first seven years of the war.
The two leading contenders on the Republican side, McCain and Romney, both, Recognize That There is an enemy, are-committed to defeat it, aim it in different intensities IDENTIFY. Senator McCain says it is "Radical Islam," and Pledges to Increase . the current level of involvement On Iraq, the train Navy Pilot Says He Will continue to fight till there are no more enemies to fight. That to me is a battlefield trenches. We'll pound 'em Till They Have no more trenches Governor Romney says the enemy is Global Jihadism, and It Has more than the one battlefield of Iraq. And Because The Jihadists are in control of regimes, Interests and omnipresent in the area and worldwide, the U.S. counter strategies and cannot shoulds not be limited to " entrenchment "aim to counter attacks, preemptive moves and putting allies strength on the Existing and new battlefields. Besides not all confrontations-have to be militarily. The difference in wording Between the general term "radical Islam" and the Focused threat doctrine "Jihadism" says it all. One leads to concentrate one kind of power in one spot Regardless of what the enemy is and wants to do, and the other concept lead to pinch the foe from many places on multiple levels and decide over the ending of the conflict process .
I am sour Senator McCain can follow the same reasoning and catch up with the geopolitics of the enemy but so far Governor Romney HAS readied himself better in the realm of strategizing the defeat this enemy. The next race of the war HAS to do with a mind battle with the Jihadists. HAS The lath arent just a bunch of Barbarians set to bloodshed. They have a very advanced strategy, Projecting for Decades, And They are ready to confront our next President and defeat the United States. This is why I have come to the conclusion that-based on What Was Provided to the public by the leading candidates oven-Governor Romney Has the capacity of managing the counter strategies against the Jihadists, Because He STATED only to the public That he Sees the enemy as to Who They are . And if a President can see 'em, he can defeat em. His Republican contender, now leading the polls, can sense goal em em Have not shown. The leading candidates on the other side are making progress in the direction of the opposite: One wants to end the War unilaterally and the other wants to make Peace with the Oppressors. In short, if Elected, Romney Will try to destroy the mother ship, McCain Will supply the trenches, Clinton Will pull the troops back to the barracks and Obama Will visit the foes' bunkers.
Hence, as is, I have recommended Governor Romney for the Republican Primaries as first among equals while Senator McCain Considering as a genuine leader. If Romney is selected I believe America May-have a chance to try new strategies. If His contender is selected, we will-have oven or eight more years of the past seven years. On the other side, I have to counter-Terrorism experts to help Suggested Democratic candidates restructures Their agendas on national security in line with the reality of the enemy: For I would like to see Both Parties presenting a united vision of the threat while we Differing how to confront it. Would That Be the ideal location in America and can be a response to the deepest Will of the American public.
(PS: This analysis Represents my personal views and not the views or position of Any of the NGOs I am affiliated with.)

Sunday, January 19, 2014

Obama 2: Hide this jihad That I know see (Obama's appointments: No jihad please, we're Americans)

Wait a minute, you have-nots Heard anything yet. Jolson Al

If the United States Actually Demonstrates That It Will work to help advance Rather than thwart Iranian Interests, the course of Iranian politics as well as the future of US-Iranian Relations Could Be forever altered. John Brennan

The FBI gave a guided tour of one of our MOST sensitive counter-terrorism facilities to a known Hamas operative. Gaffney

John Brennan is the man under Whom President Obama HAS Consolidated Unprecedented power of the assassination. He Directly Oversees and controls all aspects of the program That HAD beens calculated previously divided Between the Pentagon, the CIA, and other Officials. Patrick Poole

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It is with fine sentiments That Made bad literature. André Gide

In the term 'Islamic government', why throw suspicion on the time immediately adjective 'Islamic'? The word 'government' is Sufficient in Itself to arouse the vigilance. Foucault (December 1978)

Khomeini is a kind figure to Gandhi. William Sullivan (U.S. Ambassador to Tehran)

Khomeini (...) is not a 'mujahid crazy, "a man of purpose impeccable integrity and honesty. Bill James (Councillor Carter, Newsweek, February 12, 1979)

Number of statements [Iran] are reprehensible Certainly, goal They Do not Constitute incitement to genocide. Nobody HAS Implemented. Roth (President of Human Rights Watch)

During the Cuban missile crisis, the United States faced HAS not in Cuba, the Soviet Union goal. HAS not Israel faced in Gaza aim to Iran. Michael B. Oren (Israeli Ambassador to the United States and military historian)

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This is a terrible advantage of doing nothing, do not abuse it purpose. Rivarol

It is (...) the price of courage, audacity, solidarity. François Hollande

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The key factor is the demographic factor. Generally, people are killing people Have you men are 16 to 30 years. Samuel Huntington

Sunnis, dominant demographically, politically Dominated

Kurds, demographic Minority Dominated politically

Attitude Contrasted other minorities

Alawites: a politically dominant Minority population

Movement Socioeconomic patch

Risks transitions at two speeds

The impossible partition

See also:

Youth Bulge: A Demographic Dividend or a Demographic Bomb in Developing Countries?

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The descendants of the Proscribed falling on the revocation of the Edict of Nantes families continue to benefit from the provisions of the Act of 15 December 1790 goal only if a special order the for each application covered. This decree Shall be effective for the future. Act of 26 June 1889

The vast Majority of the fellahin do not originate from Arab invaders, That purpose before, Jewish fellahin Who Were the Majority of the countries are. Yitzhak Ben Zvi (second president of the State of Israel, 1929)

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In modern warfare, a picture is worth a thousand weapons. Bob Simon

Al Jazeera HAS set fire in Tunisia, Lebanon and several Arab countries. Saeb Erekat (Palestinian chief negotiator, 2011)

Primo Would be remiss to darken the picture about the visit of the Emir of Qatar in Gaza. This Will finance the French suburbs, to buy PSG, snatch the narco-Islamists Mali Both light reflection has strong business acumen and a very Particular interpretation of the public interest.

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Do not think That I cam to bring peace on earth. I came not to send peace, order a sword For I am come to set a man at variance against His Father, and the daughter against her mother, the daughter and her stepmother, and a man's enemies are the men of His house. Jesus

This is a general rule of human nature: people despise Those Who treat 'em well and look to Those Who do not Have Their concessions.

The strong do what They can and the weak Suffered what he must Undergo.

It is in the nature of man to oppress Those Who give respect and Those Who resist . Thucydides (fifth century BC)

When people see a strong horse and a weak horse, by nature They will like the strong horse. Osama Bin Laden (2001 AD)

All the efforts of violence can not weaken the truth, and only serves to raise more. All the lights of truth can do nothing to stop the violence, and Merely irritate more. Pascal

Christianity is a rebellion against natural law, a protest against Nature. icts Taken to logical extreme, Christianity Would mean the systematic cultivation of the human failure. Hitler

We do not know Whether Hitler is going to found a new Islam. It is already on the way, he looks like Muhammad. The emotion in Germany is Islamic, warlike and Islamic. They are all drunk with a fierce god. Jung (1939)

Mein Kampf (...) This Was the new Koran of faith and war: pompous, tedious, formless, full of purpose icts own message. Churchill

We live in an age of inversely proportional deterrence, the more militarily Powerful cicvilised a western nation is, the less icts enemies-have to feel the full strength of That Being power ever unleashed. Mark Steyn

In Any War Between the colonizer and the Colonized, supporting the oppressed. Support the Palestinian right of return. Reject racism. sticker pro-Palestinian (San Francisco)

In Any War Between the civilized man and the savage, supporting the civilized man. Support Israel. Reject jihad. Decal organization American Freedom Defense Initiative (the Initiative for the defense of American liberty)

I will not yield to intimidation, I will not stop telling the truth Because it is dangerous. Defended Freedom must be vigorously. (...) If someone commits an act of violence, it is His responsibility, not the responsibility of anyone else. Pam Geller

In the consensus view of modern American liberalism, it is hilarious to mock Mormons and Mormonism goal outrageous to mock Muslims and Islam. Why? Maybe it's Because nobody HAS ever been Harmed, much less killed, making fun of Mormons.

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Pacifism is objectively pro-fascist. It's basic common sense. George Orwell

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Do not think That I cam to bring peace on earth. I came not to send peace, order a sword For I am come to set a man at variance against His Father, and the daughter against her mother, the daughter and her stepmother, . and a man's enemies are the men of His house Jesus (Matthew 10: 34-36)

It must combine the pessimism of the intellect to the optimism of the Will. Antonio Gramsci (inspired by Romain Rolland)

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The Candidate Who Can See the Enemy, Can Defeat It

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